Belated-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

112

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 06-12 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$76	48	48	+0	Down	+$16	06-02 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$57	43	43	+0	Up	+$27	05-17 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$52	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$51	42	42	+0	Up	-$9	05-17 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$50	29	29	+0	Down	+$6	06-02 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$50	71	0	+71	Down	-$50	06-02 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$49	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	06-02 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	8	$44	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	05-31 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$39	24	24	+0	Up	+$9	05-16 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$37	29	29	+0	Up	+$5	05-15 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$37	27	27	+0	Down	+$3	05-16 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$37	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	05-31 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	4	$34	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	06-12 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	05-17 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$34	89	89	+0	Up	+$14	05-15 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$33	32	32	+0	Up	-$11	05-17 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$33	23	23	+0	Up	-$1	05-17 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	4	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	06-12 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:40 UTC	2	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	06-12 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$30	57	0	+57	Down	-$30	05-17 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$30	35	24	+11	Up	-$4	05-17 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$29	36	23	+13	Up	-$1	05-31 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	6	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	06-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$28	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-17 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$26	28	22	+6	Up	+$1	05-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$25	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-31 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$5	05-31 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	Down	+$9	06-02 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xce2357…
06-12 13:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd105c8…
06-12 13:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7570d3…
06-12 13:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x03079f…
06-12 13:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb6aafc…
06-12 13:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x27fef7…
06-12 13:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xb5085b…
06-12 13:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6b646b…
06-12 13:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x57254a…
06-12 13:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe7af99…
06-12 13:36:15	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x5c25b7…
06-12 13:35:25	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xed7702…
06-12 13:34:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x26f8b8…
06-12 13:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x051841…
06-12 13:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x487c48…
06-12 13:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc83108…
06-12 13:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x6c60b7…
06-12 13:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x115a1e…
06-12 13:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x54916a…
06-12 13:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaf0634…
06-12 13:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf9d097…
06-12 13:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3eca48…
06-12 13:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x34615a…
06-12 13:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x22e72e…
06-12 13:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1165e3…
06-12 13:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf0eacd…
06-12 13:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x0f3aa4…
06-12 13:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbf5e4e…
06-12 13:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x759482…
06-12 13:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4c5c05…
06-12 13:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x1595a6…
06-12 13:12:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb5f5ce…
06-12 13:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb57210…
06-12 13:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6d0406…
06-12 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x54619d…
06-12 13:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x835e2a…
06-12 13:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe05d37…
06-12 13:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbe6989…
06-12 13:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb1a33e…
06-02 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe72684…
06-02 14:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xa3672a…
06-02 13:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x802478…
06-02 13:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb3a374…
06-02 13:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9c89cb…
06-02 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x09da4f…
06-02 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x48443d…
06-02 12:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x53133c…
06-02 12:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x060039…
06-02 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x62f4ca…
06-02 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xdc6af4…
06-02 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xe586a0…
06-02 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x7c79af…
06-02 12:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x0ff8e7…
05-31 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0cb219…
05-31 16:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x31bfa9…
05-31 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4fbec2…
05-31 16:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x1ee125…
05-31 16:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7a4254…
05-31 15:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x2737e8…
05-31 15:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdd38a8…
05-31 15:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x3ef86a…
05-31 15:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7e8cfb…
05-31 15:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x663ac5…
05-31 15:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x898d65…
05-31 15:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x63a4e6…
05-31 15:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x112a82…
05-31 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x08aef3…
05-31 15:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6c22d1…
05-31 15:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x45a2a8…
05-31 15:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x042a89…
05-31 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc75c2f…
05-31 15:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdc4a36…
05-31 15:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xad6f50…
05-31 15:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x385d83…
05-31 15:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x631452…
05-31 15:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3657a6…
05-31 15:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xea0046…
05-31 15:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x891dd0…
05-31 15:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x03c1c9…
05-31 14:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x7436fc…
05-31 14:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7e03f6…
05-31 11:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x34c59a…
05-31 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb05174…
05-31 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x96422c…
05-31 11:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x65da5b…
05-31 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x40cdb7…
05-31 11:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf315a…
05-31 11:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x4e3942…
05-31 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x574422…
05-31 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xbb508f…
05-31 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3eee06…
05-31 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x100c6a…
05-31 11:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x137c36…
05-31 11:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xa86617…
05-31 11:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x275f8c…
05-31 11:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe9f9a8…
05-31 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x559d83…
05-31 11:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xaa620b…
05-31 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x15b036…
05-31 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb17f32…