Even-Carabao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-03 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% $-1

Other

7% 0% $-39

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772107500	2	$275	181	178	+3	open	—	02-26 12:09
btc updown 5m 1772301600	4	$263	275	271	+4	open	—	02-28 18:04
btc updown 5m 1772105400	2	$245	148	146	+2	open	—	02-26 11:35
btc updown 5m 1772105100	2	$243	148	146	+2	open	—	02-26 11:29
btc updown 5m 1772301000	2	$241	161	159	+2	open	—	02-28 17:54
btc updown 5m 1772105700	2	$236	142	140	+2	open	—	02-26 11:39
btc updown 5m 1772299800	2	$226	150	147	+2	open	—	02-28 17:35
btc updown 5m 1772307900	2	$220	122	121	+1	open	—	02-28 19:50
btc updown 5m 1772106900	2	$217	119	119	+1	open	—	02-26 12:00
btc updown 5m 1772106600	2	$216	118	117	+0	open	—	02-26 11:55
btc updown 5m 1772109900	2	$179	127	125	+2	open	—	02-26 12:49
btc updown 5m 1771084800	2	$177	130	128	+2	open	—	02-14 16:05
btc updown 5m 1772305800	2	$173	106	105	+1	open	—	02-28 19:13
btc updown 5m 1771083600	2	$172	126	124	+2	open	—	02-14 15:45
btc updown 5m 1772107800	2	$159	95	94	+1	open	—	02-26 12:14
btc updown 5m 1772309700	4	$150	100	98	+1	open	—	02-28 20:19
btc updown 5m 1771081500	2	$147	99	98	+2	open	—	02-14 15:10
btc updown 5m 1771087200	2	$146	98	96	+2	open	—	02-14 16:45
btc updown 5m 1771067700	2	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	02-14 11:20
btc updown 5m 1771156800	2	$134	96	95	+1	open	—	02-15 12:05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$128	120	119	+2	open	—	04-26 13:16
btc updown 5m 1771068600	2	$124	75	74	+1	open	—	02-14 11:35
btc updown 5m 1772304900	2	$117	75	74	+1	open	—	02-28 18:59
btc updown 5m 1771075200	2	$116	67	66	+1	open	—	02-14 13:25
btc updown 5m 1775383200	2	$114	81	78	+3	open	—	04-05 10:05
btc updown 5m 1771086900	2	$107	59	58	+0	open	—	02-14 16:39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$105	66	65	+1	open	—	04-25 16:22
btc updown 5m 1772109300	2	$100	67	66	+1	open	—	02-26 12:37
btc updown 5m 1772110500	1	$100	254	0	+254	open	—	02-26 12:57
btc updown 5m 1772109000	1	$100	162	0	+162	open	—	02-26 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7c018d…
06-02 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2ae14f…
06-02 21:30:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcadc15…
06-02 21:30:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x15c224…
06-02 21:29:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$4	0x21e6f5…
06-02 21:28:38	Will MrBeast's next video get 56 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x58b110…
06-02 21:28:31	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xdcba25…
06-02 21:10:00	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf4ac63…
06-02 20:47:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4ada6e…
06-02 20:47:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 56 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7d218e…
05-30 13:00:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xdc8712…
05-26 11:37:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xefcebe…
05-26 10:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa55ea4…
05-25 20:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xfdb21a…
05-25 19:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa2fb97…
05-25 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x904e96…
05-25 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0d451d…
05-25 11:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x5a1d63…
05-25 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc9bc5b…
05-25 10:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf08fc0…
05-24 17:50:08	Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfb1352…
05-24 16:18:56	Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2b8657…
05-24 13:15:49	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Twisted Minds	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6cb93c…
05-24 12:05:58	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Twisted Minds	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x409b4f…
05-24 11:51:07	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Twisted Minds	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd798b2…
05-24 11:48:00	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Twisted Minds	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x42f75d…
05-24 11:47:51	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Twisted Minds	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfb4ff6…
05-24 11:47:15	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Gentle Mates	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9ef40d…
05-24 11:37:13	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Twisted Minds (BO7) - RLCS Major Paris Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x942804…
05-16 18:11:35	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf6421e…
05-16 18:06:24	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xbe8ca6…
05-16 18:03:48	Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x957de4…
05-16 17:44:15	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa328e7…
05-16 17:44:15	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73bb6e…
05-09 18:03:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,101	0¢	$1	0xe5b446…
05-09 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x297025…
05-09 17:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3c6b84…
05-09 17:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7d8b79…
05-04 15:10:40	Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	61	64¢	$39	0x0cec3b…
04-28 10:26:00	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xa0250e…
04-27 20:54:08	Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	205	10¢	$20	0xa8ef20…
04-27 20:38:56	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	97	23¢	$22	0x8251c3…
04-26 13:22:28	Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	63¢	$62	0xb6815c…
04-26 13:16:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	119	53¢	$63	0xe7ba48…
04-26 13:06:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x80d67d…
04-25 16:22:34	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x987376…
04-25 14:21:50	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x9bc4fb…
04-24 17:54:42	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x87f4d7…
04-24 17:53:18	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa149c4…
04-24 13:25:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x87e843…
04-22 08:04:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xd5bf09…
04-22 08:03:44	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x268f4c…
04-22 07:53:34	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x2e0b4f…
04-21 14:08:12	will mrbeasts video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x04ca92…
04-21 14:04:40	will mrbeasts video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc7aad1…
04-21 14:01:58	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x590265…
04-21 13:58:20	will mrbeasts video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x52e8af…
04-21 13:25:06	will mrbeasts video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x93e21f…
04-21 10:47:34	will mrbeasts video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcf210e…
04-20 17:57:34	will mrbeasts video get 72 million or more views on day 3	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd77fd6…
04-20 17:52:46	will mrbeasts video get 72 million or more views on day 3	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb790d3…
04-20 10:40:44	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xca0baf…
04-20 10:35:34	will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x93acca…
04-20 10:29:54	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5f1f5d…
04-20 10:26:00	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0eb7b9…
04-20 10:21:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc49f99…
04-19 16:10:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xae99ab…
04-19 05:15:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xc45e7a…
04-19 05:15:16	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc046d7…
04-19 05:15:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0xa9474b…
04-19 05:14:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x323df3…
04-19 05:10:38	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	No	SELL	168	4¢	$7	0xecaff5…
04-18 22:49:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x322f3a…
04-14 11:06:13	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x11fb2f…
04-14 11:03:13	btc updown 5m 1776164400	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x365fbe…
04-14 11:00:37	Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x9e0278…
04-14 10:59:31	btc updown 5m 1776164100	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdd61bc…
04-11 09:50:53	Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x580e5c…
04-10 09:42:27	btc updown 5m 1775814000	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x73943e…
04-10 09:38:53	btc updown 5m 1775814000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4a82a9…
04-10 09:37:49	btc updown 5m 1775813700	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xa5e1f9…
04-10 09:37:07	btc updown 5m 1775813700	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd5f411…
04-10 09:29:51	btc updown 5m 1775813100	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x25cf1a…
04-10 09:28:59	btc updown 5m 1775813100	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x778c2c…
04-10 09:26:13	btc updown 5m 1775813100	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf7fc34…
04-10 09:24:37	btc updown 5m 1775812800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x72dcdf…
04-10 09:24:21	btc updown 5m 1775812800	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba8eb5…
04-10 09:19:33	btc updown 5m 1775812500	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcdb5c5…
04-10 09:15:43	btc updown 5m 1775812500	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b1c58…
04-10 09:15:11	btc updown 5m 1775812200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc09952…
04-10 09:10:41	btc updown 5m 1775812200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9d5654…
04-10 09:09:59	btc updown 5m 1775811900	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6377e7…
04-10 09:08:11	btc updown 5m 1775811900	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6907de…
04-05 14:44:05	will mrbeast say lock in during his next video	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb0e28e…
04-05 14:29:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6bc925…
04-05 14:24:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd94535…
04-05 11:05:49	btc updown 5m 1775387100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf5f16e…
04-05 10:48:13	btc updown 5m 1775385900	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d4f08…
04-05 10:45:53	btc updown 5m 1775385900	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x701c8b…
04-05 10:44:21	btc updown 15m 1775385900	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9da383…