Fatal-Zebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-08 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 15m 1776741300	2	$61	40	39	+1	open	—	04-21 03:29
sol updown 15m 1776128400	2	$59	40	38	+1	open	—	04-14 01:14
sol updown 15m 1776506400	7	$59	40	38	+1	open	—	04-18 10:09
sol updown 15m 1776753000	4	$58	38	37	+1	open	—	04-21 06:38
btc updown 15m 1776132900	2	$57	38	36	+1	open	—	04-14 02:29
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$57	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 07:12
btc updown 15m 1776510900	2	$56	36	35	+1	open	—	04-18 11:28
eth updown 15m 1776132900	2	$55	35	34	+1	open	—	04-14 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	05-26 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 12:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 10:59
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 10:19
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 13:50
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	05-27 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 13:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 11:43
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	05-26 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	05-27 01:53
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-26 10:58
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-26 10:59
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 07:54
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	7	$28	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$25	25	15	+10	open	—	04-30 01:44
eth updown 15m 1776752100	1	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	04-21 06:09
btc updown 15m 1776751200	1	$22	42	0	+42	open	—	04-21 05:55
eth updown 15m 1776149100	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	04-14 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:43:30	xrp updown 15m 1780925400	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x3aa1ab…
06-08 13:28:27	xrp updown 15m 1780925400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa2b0ec…
06-08 09:25:43	xrp updown 15m 1780910100	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xff7a52…
06-08 09:22:19	xrp updown 15m 1780910100	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x411a14…
06-08 09:11:57	xrp updown 15m 1780910100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3c0ed9…
06-08 09:11:00	xrp updown 15m 1780909200	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xcc7214…
06-08 08:46:48	xrp updown 15m 1780909200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8729f9…
06-08 08:41:03	xrp updown 15m 1780907400	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x423194…
06-08 08:41:03	xrp updown 15m 1780907400	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x1bfe20…
06-08 08:29:31	xrp updown 15m 1780907400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xabcde4…
06-08 08:21:52	xrp updown 15m 1780906500	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xbc4b0b…
06-08 08:21:27	xrp updown 15m 1780906500	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa729e6…
06-08 08:15:12	xrp updown 15m 1780906500	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x31b6d2…
06-08 08:02:16	xrp updown 15m 1780905600	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0ba99b…
06-08 07:59:42	xrp updown 15m 1780905600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa9fe03…
06-06 06:03:03	sol updown 15m 1780725600	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa34a0e…
06-06 06:02:25	xrp updown 15m 1780725600	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa946c8…
05-27 01:53:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xeadc97…
05-27 01:36:44	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x3dfe18…
05-27 01:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x3ab768…
05-27 01:20:52	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x6297f5…
05-27 01:14:39	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe77500…
05-27 00:38:59	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x96dd3b…
05-26 23:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x40be0c…
05-26 23:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x329c15…
05-26 23:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x1d8f93…
05-26 23:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xae5e7d…
05-26 23:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xda2799…
05-26 14:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xccbf96…
05-26 14:09:26	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x3a5b68…
05-26 14:08:39	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf7a4ab…
05-26 14:07:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x539c22…
05-26 13:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x07a1a5…
05-26 13:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0x851fc5…
05-26 13:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1dc255…
05-26 13:34:42	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x92f826…
05-26 12:43:43	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x9da957…
05-26 12:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x9b4490…
05-26 12:27:09	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xb32ec0…
05-26 12:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x54d6b3…
05-26 11:44:37	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x0d6609…
05-26 11:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	89¢	$26	0x524666…
05-26 11:25:31	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x59310d…
05-26 11:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x17632c…
05-26 11:21:37	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xd27300…
05-26 11:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd94278…
05-26 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x6543f1…
05-26 10:59:07	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd8a49e…
05-26 10:59:07	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x72b1fb…
05-26 10:58:59	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xb8db5f…
05-26 10:58:59	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6dd9f0…
05-26 10:58:52	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x5a93af…
05-26 10:41:02	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xf000ef…
05-26 10:39:51	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd88087…
05-26 10:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x006ad3…
05-26 10:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x71d6b1…
05-26 10:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x2815ce…
05-26 10:16:45	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	62¢	$17	0x932a76…
05-26 10:07:35	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xeb40f0…
05-26 10:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x0efb8a…
05-26 09:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0x3b7f2f…
05-26 09:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4250dd…
05-26 09:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x58c010…
05-26 08:58:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x38623b…
05-26 08:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1483c8…
05-22 13:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x282a82…
05-22 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x501ace…
05-22 13:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e334b…
05-22 13:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc1dd55…
05-22 13:10:32	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe01103…
05-22 12:11:23	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x046cc3…
05-22 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7ab4c7…
05-22 11:33:30	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2bf59d…
05-22 11:31:49	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x909b9b…
05-22 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe64442…
05-22 10:14:45	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2487c5…
05-22 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b1d75…
05-22 09:37:18	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0xfa4900…
05-13 05:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x153c3f…
05-11 07:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0d3460…
05-11 07:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7ed81f…
05-11 07:13:35	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1b6a90…
05-11 06:56:26	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x084c07…
05-11 06:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0d1f1a…
05-11 06:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x644199…
05-11 06:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x548784…
05-11 06:40:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc96933…
05-11 06:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4263a3…
05-11 06:39:47	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x254cad…
05-11 06:28:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe8474e…
05-09 12:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x739a06…
05-09 12:13:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xba7961…
05-09 11:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b9363…
05-02 07:12:58	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	55	48¢	$27	0xb8b48d…
05-02 07:11:52	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x5fbc4e…
05-02 07:11:42	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x76f1e9…
04-30 03:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x13e9fb…
04-30 01:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x71608b…
04-30 01:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa7416b…
04-30 01:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb94916…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	87	$20.0K	4,368	06-08 13:44
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	86	$21.2K	6,056	06-08 13:44
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	84	$10.7K	1,134	06-08 13:44
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	82	$16.3K	6,732	06-08 13:44
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	76	$2.87K	638	06-08 13:43
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	75	$2.95K	663	06-08 13:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	71	$11.7K	914	05-27 01:59
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	57	$5.14K	1,258	06-06 06:09