Fatal-Zebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

200

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$3.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-23 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$129

Other

0% 100% +$8

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 03:15 UTC	2	$61	40	39	+1	Up	+$18	04-21 03:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 01:00 UTC	2	$59	40	38	+1	Up	+$18	04-14 01:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 10:00 UTC	7	$59	40	38	+1	Down	+$18	04-18 10:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 06:30 UTC	4	$58	38	37	+1	Up	+$17	04-21 06:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 02:15 UTC	2	$57	38	36	+1	Down	+$16	04-14 02:29
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$57	55	55	+0	Up	-$3	05-02 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 11:15 UTC	2	$56	36	35	+1	Up	+$15	04-18 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 02:15 UTC	2	$55	35	34	+1	Down	+$14	04-14 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	05-26 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	4	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	08-09 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:30 UTC	2	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	08-10 01:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	4	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	08-10 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	4	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$13	08-10 01:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	2	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	08-10 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	6	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	08-10 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	4	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$13	08-09 21:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	Up	+$13	05-26 12:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-26 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	5	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	08-10 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	Down	+$13	05-26 10:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 22:15 UTC	3	$42	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	07-14 22:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	2	$42	28	28	+0	Down	+$12	08-09 22:23
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	Up	+$12	05-26 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	05-26 10:19
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$42	27	27	+0	Up	+$12	05-26 13:50
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$41	28	28	+0	Down	+$11	05-27 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$41	28	28	+0	Up	+$11	05-26 13:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$41	29	29	+0	Up	+$11	05-26 11:43
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$41	27	27	+0	Up	+$11	05-26 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$40	27	27	+0	Up	+$10	05-27 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 04:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfaa129…
10-14 07:37:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x43ead5…
10-14 07:16:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2d3e93…
10-03 02:58:11	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0d2d6f…
09-25 08:29:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x59ae91…
09-18 05:44:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc04169…
09-18 05:44:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7acbb5…
09-18 05:44:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x153a0a…
09-18 05:44:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0c3f5e…
09-18 05:16:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x89d4a4…
09-12 12:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc649f6…
09-04 03:59:15	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08f3f0…
08-24 02:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2c537f…
08-24 02:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc67496…
08-24 02:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe851d3…
08-24 02:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x401880…
08-16 22:59:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf353be…
08-15 21:20:03	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x80fb9b…
08-10 06:58:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x767cd9…
08-10 06:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xbcfb16…
08-10 05:43:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6afd8a…
08-10 05:09:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x88c41e…
08-10 04:41:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x51bf88…
08-10 04:39:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x5ab870…
08-10 04:28:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xc1142a…
08-10 04:28:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x989aae…
08-10 04:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe6c771…
08-10 04:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc127e2…
08-10 04:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x405339…
08-10 04:12:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe530dd…
08-10 03:43:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xef6e2b…
08-10 03:43:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xca1776…
08-10 03:43:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xdc7c0b…
08-10 03:43:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa2140d…
08-10 03:13:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8aa38f…
08-10 02:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc9e4d1…
08-10 02:18:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb50ccf…
08-10 02:07:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc797c8…
08-10 02:07:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf5c474…
08-10 02:07:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x641130…
08-10 02:07:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1428c7…
08-10 01:50:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe9af11…
08-10 01:37:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x15f331…
08-10 01:15:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe68164…
08-10 01:10:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xd0c862…
08-10 01:10:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xfab2b3…
08-10 01:10:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x343913…
08-10 00:41:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xde48ee…
08-10 00:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb73e0c…
08-09 23:23:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x518f6d…
08-09 23:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x35555c…
08-09 22:35:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x109240…
08-09 22:23:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x82d947…
08-09 22:08:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xd2c704…
08-09 21:40:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe65dbe…
08-09 21:36:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfc3a79…
08-09 21:36:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6b59cd…
08-09 21:36:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$18	0x39c99a…
08-09 21:14:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x706a83…
08-09 21:12:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6d8a49…
08-09 21:12:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x61a55b…
08-09 21:12:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x245048…
08-09 20:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbb01ab…
08-09 10:14:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1f29a6…
08-09 09:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6cd93…
08-09 09:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xa6a041…
08-09 09:44:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x0b1745…
08-09 09:15:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x217a0f…
08-09 09:13:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x35a87b…
08-09 08:44:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x70eda0…
08-09 08:27:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcc6d79…
08-09 08:04:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xbe5a24…
08-09 07:45:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6b245e…
08-09 07:21:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x4bf29f…
08-09 07:16:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3a8d52…
08-09 06:15:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9142b4…
08-09 05:55:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5a4d9e…
08-09 05:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd99c38…
08-09 05:29:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c54ff…
08-09 05:27:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x06520a…
08-09 05:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe31bde…
08-09 05:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa01675…
08-09 05:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4810a0…
08-09 05:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x45d4a4…
08-09 05:10:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd2b4c3…
08-09 04:50:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x278c8c…
08-09 04:35:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1ceda9…
08-09 04:28:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc6752d…
08-09 04:28:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x92d9f3…
08-09 04:27:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2eca71…
08-09 04:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcb9bed…
08-09 04:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2f7e6b…
08-09 04:13:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x382e35…
08-09 03:42:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ba08d…
08-09 03:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xa398a0…
08-09 03:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x974332…
08-09 03:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x85e393…
08-09 03:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x353d18…
08-09 02:23:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbfa2f5…
08-09 01:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xb4a9c4…