Outrageous-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-19 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-1

Sports

35% 0% $-1

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$1.0K	534	534	+0	Yes	$-1	03-16 14:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$830	436	436	+0	No	$-1	04-13 16:44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$742	379	379	+0	open	—	04-09 20:31
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$602	332	332	+0	open	—	03-24 12:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	5	$600	313	313	+0	open	—	03-26 05:02
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$441	233	233	+0	open	—	04-22 23:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$384	202	202	+0	open	—	04-07 08:41
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$374	193	193	+0	open	—	03-31 21:52
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	03-11 20:33
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$334	170	170	+0	open	—	03-10 09:03
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$333	172	172	+0	open	—	03-13 15:01
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$329	169	169	+0	open	—	03-12 09:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$327	167	167	+0	open	—	03-12 18:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$325	169	169	+0	open	—	03-15 13:15
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$324	167	167	+0	open	—	03-19 13:14
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	3	$323	166	166	+0	open	—	03-21 02:47
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$317	162	162	+0	open	—	03-17 19:43
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$315	162	162	+0	open	—	03-23 21:17
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$314	163	163	+0	open	—	03-17 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$313	169	169	+0	open	—	03-22 22:14
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$311	167	167	+0	open	—	03-15 18:33
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$307	157	157	+0	open	—	03-18 17:27
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$304	159	159	+0	open	—	03-21 12:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$296	152	152	+0	open	—	03-26 12:30
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$294	152	152	+0	open	—	03-26 21:10
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$291	149	149	+0	open	—	03-21 22:24
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$286	154	154	+0	open	—	03-27 12:54
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$226	119	119	+0	open	—	04-14 06:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	4	$218	114	114	+0	open	—	05-19 10:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	4	$196	103	103	+0	open	—	05-20 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 12:45:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x9aa326…
06-19 07:41:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xb40bf2…
06-19 07:40:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x796d8d…
06-19 07:40:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x31621f…
06-18 16:05:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0xd67996…
06-18 11:04:58	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0xefb6a4…
06-17 21:13:05	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x5e7b9d…
06-17 15:23:05	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x760b8e…
06-17 15:12:53	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x65f35f…
06-17 14:36:11	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xfb42f5…
06-17 07:29:28	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6b6d7b…
06-16 02:12:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0xfe52ee…
06-15 14:55:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x448d03…
06-15 08:53:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4528bb…
06-10 13:23:43	will qatar reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120741	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xa0a181…
06-09 12:42:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7cc838…
06-09 08:37:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xc399a7…
06-07 03:28:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x07c3d7…
06-06 20:22:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0xb0485c…
06-05 05:34:33	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xeeef95…
06-05 00:28:00	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4e42ef…
06-04 23:50:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x949593…
06-04 16:44:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xaf8953…
06-04 16:09:22	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x5ccc6f…
06-04 09:06:34	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xf3756f…
06-04 09:06:34	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x0e2bd9…
05-20 20:32:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x58db89…
05-20 15:26:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x7c4271…
05-20 14:53:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0xa47d44…
05-20 10:48:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xb41088…
05-19 10:36:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x910206…
05-19 02:32:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x9e2dc6…
05-18 13:40:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x7ed8a5…
05-18 05:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x316654…
05-18 04:04:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x618249…
05-16 10:26:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$50	0x3baab9…
04-27 12:28:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	147	94¢	$137	0xf19c31…
04-22 23:10:44	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	93¢	$58	0xde626d…
04-22 15:09:12	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x1535e9…
04-21 08:04:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xf608bf…
04-21 03:14:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0xcac419…
04-20 13:30:16	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xd9c402…
04-20 06:44:44	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xb35ec2…
04-17 20:57:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x5c30a4…
04-17 14:19:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xbef303…
04-14 06:49:47	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xdcda59…
04-14 02:36:43	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0xd13877…
04-14 02:36:05	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xba91a5…
04-13 16:44:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$49	0xb5bed2…
04-13 09:30:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$49	0x1fb1e6…
04-12 07:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x3dc0b2…
04-12 00:36:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x1336a3…
04-11 10:28:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x656fb2…
04-11 03:35:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$50	0x95220e…
04-11 02:55:57	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x4f1859…
04-10 18:34:31	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x53ae74…
04-10 17:47:59	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xa52e53…
04-10 13:35:29	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x63665d…
04-09 20:31:45	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xecdbe9…
04-09 15:49:23	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xddfc4d…
04-09 04:43:13	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xa1c6b3…
04-08 20:19:31	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0x56647b…
04-08 20:16:59	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x011368…
04-07 08:41:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x91fe9c…
04-01 05:36:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x231183…
04-01 03:54:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x3530f6…
03-31 22:39:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x763268…
03-31 21:52:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xfccb78…
03-31 13:39:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x1a4c22…
03-30 16:21:33	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x6def7b…
03-30 10:21:12	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x3ef08b…
03-29 06:47:00	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0xd5d442…
03-28 21:49:22	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0x93e28c…
03-27 12:54:57	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	154	92¢	$142	0x7557fd…
03-27 03:56:41	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	154	94¢	$144	0xcd2f7a…
03-26 21:10:15	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	152	97¢	$146	0x3bc947…
03-26 13:52:15	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x831aa3…
03-26 12:30:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0xae30a3…
03-26 06:12:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	152	97¢	$148	0xf5b535…
03-26 05:02:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	155	96¢	$149	0xcb81f3…
03-25 22:58:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0xebeceb…
03-25 22:41:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	158	96¢	$151	0x54bba0…
03-25 14:23:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x53064c…
03-25 14:22:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x657770…
03-24 12:08:01	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xac6b3d…
03-24 12:07:33	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	163	89¢	$146	0x591900…
03-24 07:11:35	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	73	91¢	$67	0x623909…
03-24 03:01:19	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x9035f9…
03-23 21:17:59	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	162	97¢	$158	0x8cfb53…
03-23 07:15:23	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0x90a3b0…
03-23 06:51:35	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	169	91¢	$154	0x94ef52…
03-22 23:13:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	169	91¢	$154	0x38b052…
03-22 22:14:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	169	92¢	$155	0x6e3b37…
03-22 12:41:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	117	94¢	$109	0x6a4de8…
03-22 12:31:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc2b9a6…
03-22 12:30:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x7132c6…
03-22 12:05:51	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	98¢	$161	0x19dda5…
03-22 07:19:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$161	0xcecd31…
03-22 04:50:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	161	94¢	$152	0xdc67e8…
03-21 23:13:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	161	95¢	$153	0x7993cd…