Substantial-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

197

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-21 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% -$157

Other

1% 29% -$7

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC	5	$95	72	67	+6	Down	+$10	03-14 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	4	$77	60	59	+1	Down	+$7	03-16 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:50 UTC	3	$69	64	32	+32	Down	-$6	03-16 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:20 UTC	4	$63	52	51	+1	Up	+$5	03-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$53	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:10 UTC	6	$52	39	39	+0	Up	+$3	03-14 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 10:15 UTC	2	$50	64	63	+1	Down	+$10	03-11 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$48	67	0	+67	Down	-$48	05-13 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:40 UTC	2	$48	33	33	+1	Down	+$15	03-16 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:15 UTC	4	$48	37	37	+1	Down	+$2	03-14 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$45	53	43	+10	Up	+$2	05-13 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$42	65	32	+34	Up	+$7	05-21 02:17
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:30 UTC	3	$37	104	22	+81	Up	+$4	03-14 20:33
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC	3	$36	37	18	+19	Down	-$4	03-14 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	2	$35	60	59	+1	Down	-$28	03-16 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 04:35
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:40 UTC	2	$31	27	27	+0	Up	+$12	03-14 22:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:45 UTC	3	$30	29	16	+14	Up	+$0	03-14 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:35 UTC	3	$29	42	21	+20	Down	+$7	03-16 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:10 UTC	4	$28	59	59	+0	Up	+$2	03-11 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	8	$27	46	36	+10	Up	+$11	05-13 04:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:20 UTC	3	$27	28	13	+14	Up	-$1	03-14 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:55 UTC	2	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$6	03-11 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 11:00 UTC	2	$24	20	19	+0	Down	+$5	03-11 11:12
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:15 UTC	2	$23	16	15	+0	Down	+$8	03-11 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:45 UTC	4	$23	25	25	+0	Down	+$9	03-11 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$22	39	0	+39	Down	-$22	05-13 04:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:10 UTC	3	$22	44	36	+8	Down	-$4	03-14 22:13
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:35 UTC	3	$22	27	15	+12	Down	+$2	03-14 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:25 UTC	3	$21	48	15	+34	Up	+$6	03-14 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x44484d…
05-21 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc9c722…
05-21 02:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x9c149c…
05-21 02:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	32	77¢	$24	0x4c5efc…
05-21 02:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	42¢	$13	0xa57cb0…
05-21 02:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5ba999…
05-13 05:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3fc738…
05-13 05:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x967188…
05-13 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0a747c…
05-13 04:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x86088a…
05-13 04:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xbb93ec…
05-13 04:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x565896…
05-13 04:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0x45e1fd…
05-13 04:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	23¢	$13	0x04aafe…
05-13 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc26e31…
05-13 04:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xff091b…
05-13 04:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xdef831…
05-13 04:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x04a79a…
05-13 04:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x625555…
05-13 04:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x2071d1…
05-13 04:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x48920b…
05-13 04:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6b7472…
05-13 04:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0556ac…
05-13 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x17f409…
05-13 04:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x81ed2b…
05-13 04:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x9999cc…
05-13 04:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x19cc8e…
05-13 04:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x8ff984…
05-13 04:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x491a84…
05-13 04:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x9ff69b…
05-13 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xd59f6d…
05-13 04:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xe9a556…
05-13 04:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd863b7…
05-13 04:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x3e5c19…
05-13 04:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdb3227…
05-13 04:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2a9020…
05-13 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0x3f96c9…
05-13 04:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x478784…
05-13 04:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x8cead0…
05-13 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x9b8405…
05-13 03:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x7c0dfe…
05-13 03:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x59ce92…
05-13 03:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4e0d68…
05-13 03:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x06462b…
05-13 03:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x88c3ac…
05-13 03:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xa71219…
05-13 03:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0c0617…
03-18 22:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x35df17…
03-18 22:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x09a307…
03-18 22:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x30100c…
03-18 22:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x9f94b9…
03-18 22:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xee7371…
03-18 22:17:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5a5c94…
03-16 16:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xde213d…
03-16 16:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xf1dd3f…
03-16 16:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf8fd9e…
03-16 16:07:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xebb831…
03-16 16:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xc2beec…
03-16 16:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0xe86789…
03-16 16:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe220fe…
03-16 15:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xaae3f2…
03-16 15:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x4b79ba…
03-16 15:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x7d8bef…
03-16 15:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x1928c7…
03-16 15:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xa3beab…
03-16 15:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x026de4…
03-16 15:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xed8bbf…
03-16 15:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x11b4db…
03-16 15:47:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	52	68¢	$35	0x354168…
03-16 15:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0x860193…
03-16 15:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x28c428…
03-16 15:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xb38016…
03-16 15:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d774a…
03-16 15:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0xfeee13…
03-16 15:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x762458…
03-15 00:13:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe81798…
03-15 00:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xab76c8…
03-15 00:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc531cc…
03-15 00:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3c0d85…
03-14 23:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe808e5…
03-14 23:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x720e5d…
03-14 23:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7b0ac5…
03-14 23:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	92¢	$13	0x4c19d5…
03-14 23:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xcbee70…
03-14 23:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa557d6…
03-14 23:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0x54d479…
03-14 23:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x975e0b…
03-14 23:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x3203be…
03-14 23:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xfe1c1c…
03-14 23:01:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5ff330…
03-14 23:00:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x351d97…
03-14 22:55:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x801348…
03-14 22:54:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x093a2b…
03-14 22:54:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x173b19…
03-14 22:50:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa16981…
03-14 22:47:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xae2bc6…
03-14 22:43:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x5fdeff…
03-14 22:40:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x84f2c9…
03-14 22:38:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x58e344…
03-14 22:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xfe39ba…