Beautiful-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$309

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

1,417

Trades

12,582

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-29 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

88% 36% +$424

Crypto

9% 35% -$135

Politics

3% 43% +$47

Sports

0% 42% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	—	+55	$4	2¢	$1	-$2	10-29 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	48	$682	767	815	-48	Yes	-$9	04-07 01:15
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	31	$339	281	279	+2	No	+$3	04-07 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	78	$326	373	373	+0	No	+$13	05-15 11:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	14	$314	196	177	+20	Up	+$34	05-15 18:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	50	$256	446	446	+0	Yes	+$29	06-02 15:51
dota2 sar1 mouz 2026 04 22	34	$246	238	236	+2	South America Rejects	-$42	04-22 13:19
dota2 bb4 flc 2026 04 20	24	$238	176	174	+2	BetBoom Team	-$2	04-20 14:59
dota2 flc gl 2026 04 21	14	$222	198	196	+3	Team Falcons	-$7	04-21 11:26
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	31	$215	255	243	+12	Lavked	-$54	05-06 17:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	13	$194	544	544	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 20:16
dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	23	$192	183	180	+2	Team Liquid	+$13	04-20 10:41
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	105	$188	408	408	+0	Yes	+$55	05-05 16:30
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	15	$172	227	227	+0	Yes	-$5	04-08 13:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	103	$169	731	731	+0	No	+$58	05-08 03:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC	11	$166	168	166	+2	Down	+$7	03-07 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	25	$161	154	154	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 12:07
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	16	$159	121	121	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$13	05-02 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	36	$155	344	344	+0	Yes	+$81	07-24 11:26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	26	$153	201	201	+0	Yes	+$31	07-21 15:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?	9	$152	153	153	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 05:43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	59	$149	556	475	+81	No	-$48	09-30 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	3	$145	88	88	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 01:20
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 48 49f	20	$144	85	84	+1	Yes	+$2	04-19 21:53
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	19	$144	109	80	+29	GAM Esports	+$1	05-02 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	36	$142	231	231	+0	Yes	+$33	05-19 00:45
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	32	$140	127	127	+0	LOUD	-$13	05-03 23:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	43	$136	648	557	+91	No	-$6	07-07 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 06:15 UTC	15	$136	154	152	+2	Up	+$5	03-17 06:28
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	11	$136	167	167	+0	Yes	+$2	04-10 14:11
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 12:00 UTC	5	$131	68	68	+0	Up	+$2	08-19 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:36:52	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x518559…
10-29 04:29:14	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe8c39d…
10-29 02:57:25	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e84a6…
10-29 02:56:43	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x01a89d…
10-29 02:55:40	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x25ebef…
10-29 02:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x45b4eb…
10-29 02:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4dd78c…
10-29 02:11:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0xf3abab…
10-29 02:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x56a1b7…
10-29 02:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x04fd26…
10-29 02:10:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xff4c2d…
10-29 01:21:38	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf63f28…
10-28 23:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3b9635…
10-28 23:20:43	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x82427f…
10-28 22:37:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xae7434…
10-28 18:01:05	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x245bea…
10-28 18:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x138c5f…
10-28 18:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb54b43…
10-28 16:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x63c927…
10-28 16:11:29	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xcba2e8…
10-28 16:11:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x6ddc0e…
10-28 16:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x6bdba0…
10-28 15:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4d46ba…
10-28 15:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x8af325…
10-28 15:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdd15f0…
10-28 15:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9dc39e…
10-28 15:16:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd8c07f…
10-28 15:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x38900a…
10-28 15:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xb1cb0a…
10-28 15:02:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6ccc6c…
10-28 15:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x88f5cd…
10-28 15:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5992cf…
10-28 14:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xe34752…
10-28 14:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xdc6ee0…
10-28 14:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xaa9039…
10-28 14:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8e7972…
10-28 14:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe30a83…
10-28 14:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9523a6…
10-28 14:41:07	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x234d42…
10-28 14:40:58	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7238e…
10-28 14:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xd000b9…
10-28 14:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	4¢	$2	0x1d711d…
10-28 14:31:29	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x60bfe4…
10-28 14:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x9485ee…
10-28 14:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcc1ad1…
10-28 14:06:28	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x17315d…
10-28 14:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x40a92f…
10-28 14:05:55	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xd14800…
10-28 14:04:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0xa34efb…
10-28 13:20:14	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x01f78c…
10-28 13:19:46	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xde462c…
10-28 13:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x59306e…
10-28 13:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0xdcf1f7…
10-28 11:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x035801…
10-28 10:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7f8a95…
10-28 10:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x51e597…
10-28 10:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x356b90…
10-28 10:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x96e31a…
10-28 10:32:11	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd45e19…
10-28 10:31:58	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x55063b…
10-28 10:22:11	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x70e449…
10-28 10:21:52	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xf229b1…
10-28 10:21:16	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xb9bd6b…
10-28 10:19:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	722	0¢	$2	0xcf144d…
10-28 06:05:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x8f44de…
10-28 06:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xedb93a…
10-28 06:03:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x4475a8…
10-28 06:03:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xca5816…
10-28 06:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xca49a4…
10-28 06:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x3b1157…
10-28 06:00:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xcf9cdc…
10-28 05:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x7e1787…
10-28 05:59:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xa3ac22…
10-28 05:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xfb9ab8…
10-28 04:32:52	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1cca47…
10-28 03:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x00f607…
10-28 02:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb468e2…
10-28 02:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x325a9d…
10-28 02:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb9a1fd…
10-28 02:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb7dd26…
10-28 02:35:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9c7e4a…
10-28 02:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf8083d…
10-28 02:34:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd35a88…
10-28 02:30:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4889d0…
10-28 01:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfce11e…
10-28 01:45:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x76adab…
10-28 01:36:50	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xa04387…
10-27 23:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xc133cd…
10-27 23:38:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$2	0x2c8e36…
10-27 23:38:35	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x6f05db…
10-27 23:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0x36ec25…
10-27 23:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xa43e04…
10-27 23:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	1¢	$1	0x13871c…
10-27 23:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xfbf185…
10-27 23:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x1e35bf…
10-27 23:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x721a67…
10-27 23:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	0¢	$0	0xd5fccc…
10-27 22:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf399fe…
10-27 22:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0xec772b…
10-27 22:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$0	0xcd8186…