Splendid-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$445

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved (90d)

176

Trades (90d)

445

1,495 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$42.0K

$128.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-27 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

99% 70% -$1,393

Politics

0% 67% +$10

Crypto

0% 50% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp justo ambrogi 2026 06 13	16	$3.0K	1,850	1,850	+0	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	+$121	06-13 19:09
atp mrva tseng 2026 06 10	4	$2.2K	1,127	1,127	+0	Maxim Mrva	+$39	06-11 13:16
atp mikrut moelle 2026 06 05	17	$2.1K	1,425	1,425	+0	Luka Mikrut	-$98	06-05 18:34
atp fery bu 2026 06 06	7	$1.6K	885	885	+0	Yunchaokete Bu	+$164	06-07 12:51
atp jong baena 2026 06 14	4	$1.6K	807	807	+0	Jesper de Jong	+$42	06-14 16:33
atp montsi donski 2026 06 06	8	$1.4K	766	766	+0	Alexander Donski	+$90	06-06 13:32
wta bartunk shnaide 2026 06 15	11	$1.4K	1,286	685	+601	Nikola Bartunkova	-$911	06-15 15:49
atp azkara montsi 2026 06 05	10	$1.4K	790	790	+0	Khololwam Montsi	+$155	06-05 09:29
atp baez izquier 2026 06 06	8	$1.4K	714	714	+0	Sebastian Baez	+$46	06-06 12:54
atp baena forti 2026 06 13	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Roberto Carballes Baena	+$27	06-13 18:15
atp villalo rodrig 2026 06 10	4	$1.3K	688	688	+0	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	+$77	06-10 16:12
atp sakamot wu 2026 06 15	4	$1.3K	651	651	+0	Yibing Wu	+$33	06-14 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 14?	2	$1.3K	639	639	+0	No	+$9	06-14 02:36
wta zhang eala 2026 06 09	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$35	06-09 15:48
atp damm minaur 2026 06 10	4	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$40	06-10 17:16
wta cirstea inglis 2026 06 09	4	$1.1K	579	579	+0	Sorana Cirstea	+$32	06-09 14:54
wta trevisa ruggeri 2026 06 08	4	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Martina Trevisan	+$30	06-08 17:30
atp kokkina barrios 2026 06 08	6	$1.1K	565	565	+0	Thanasi Kokkinakis	+$39	06-08 14:52
atp daniel nava 2026 06 11	8	$999	555	555	+0	Taro Daniel	+$110	06-11 15:15
atp binda tunglin 2026 09 08	2	$990	500	500	+0	Tung-Lin Wu	+$10	09-08 10:51
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira	5	$965	562	562	+0	Elmer Moeller	+$58	10-09 17:23
wta burrage blinkov 2026 06 06	4	$951	485	485	+0	Anna Blinkova	+$19	06-07 10:54
atp tabur mochizu 2026 06 25	9	$920	743	743	+0	Shintaro Mochizuki	-$229	06-25 13:03
wta pree garland 2026 06 06	8	$915	487	487	+0	Joanna Garland	+$58	06-06 17:52
atp izquier midon 2026 06 05	11	$800	411	411	+0	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	+$21	06-05 17:07
atp mochizu zheng 2026 06 15	6	$793	638	638	+0	Shintaro Mochizuki	-$198	06-14 17:31
atp ribecai agameno 2026 06 08	8	$786	486	486	+0	Franco Agamenone	-$109	06-08 15:56
atp forti agameno 2026 06 10	6	$780	400	400	+0	Francesco Forti	+$20	06-10 14:22
Phan Thiet 4: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Benjamin O'Connell	4	$775	400	400	+0	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	+$25	09-15 08:54
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	3	$762	400	400	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$38	06-03 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:02:29	Set 1 Winner: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x11f016…
10-26 02:13:32	Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xe41086…
10-26 02:02:36	Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x9f7271…
10-26 02:02:35	Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x44885d…
10-26 01:57:03	Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0xdd49d6…
10-26 01:56:09	Sioux Falls: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xe4cd3b…
10-26 01:37:54	Sioux Falls: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xdcbebd…
10-24 09:04:54	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Maya Joint	SELL	217	43¢	$93	0x5cf643…
10-24 08:57:57	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Maya Joint	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xa6bbc6…
10-24 08:56:53	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x3e230a…
10-24 08:49:30	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdcdf8e…
10-24 08:44:47	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x872b99…
10-24 06:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0xca3a4b…
10-24 03:31:06	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Yulia Starodubtseva	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xfebccf…
10-24 03:23:00	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x7c30ce…
10-24 03:13:26	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x5a241c…
10-24 03:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfbf3a5…
10-24 03:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	57	81¢	$46	0x15a130…
10-23 10:42:00	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xf0da74…
10-23 10:13:14	Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x8d820c…
10-23 10:00:06	Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x7bf28d…
10-23 10:00:05	Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x2aed19…
10-23 10:00:03	Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xee444a…
10-23 09:58:08	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x7fb989…
10-23 09:15:12	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0x913dfb…
10-23 09:02:38	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0x9eb2ae…
10-23 09:00:53	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x2d7f2a…
10-23 08:56:59	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7c94fe…
10-23 01:25:14	Cali: Miguel Tobon vs Nicolas Mejia	Miguel Tobon	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xb5f8c5…
10-23 01:13:26	Cali: Miguel Tobon vs Nicolas Mejia	Miguel Tobon	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xf101ef…
10-20 02:11:06	Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios	Nicolas Jarry	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x356ff0…
10-20 01:56:35	Cali: Nicolas Jarry vs Tomas Barrios	Nicolas Jarry	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8d8526…
10-19 08:50:54	Guangzhou 2: James McCabe vs Elias Ymer	James McCabe	SELL	44	56¢	$25	0xfa8b1d…
10-19 08:48:53	Guangzhou 2: James McCabe vs Elias Ymer	James McCabe	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0xd7c66e…
10-19 08:46:18	Guangzhou 2: Mert Alkaya vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x01f41c…
10-19 08:41:18	Guangzhou 2: Mert Alkaya vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0x77470a…
10-19 08:40:35	Guangzhou 2: Mert Alkaya vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xdd2a96…
10-19 08:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x517bc6…
10-19 03:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?	No	BUY	91	76¢	$69	0xe38965…
10-19 01:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 19?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x71f7bf…
10-16 09:47:55	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	94	62¢	$58	0x3a4630…
10-16 09:13:49	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x0886af…
10-16 05:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0xdd0a54…
10-16 05:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?	No	SELL	90	54¢	$49	0x8e535d…
10-16 03:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 16?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x747c39…
10-16 02:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0xa02591…
10-16 02:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	88	93¢	$81	0x7fe52d…
10-16 02:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x4281df…
10-16 01:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x59a005…
10-16 01:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x57f5c4…
10-16 01:27:01	Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena	Facundo Mena	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb6d6a0…
10-16 01:23:45	Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena	Facundo Mena	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xb30e2e…
10-15 09:45:46	Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl	Liam Draxl	SELL	180	64¢	$115	0xe139b1…
10-15 09:36:31	Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl	Liam Draxl	BUY	180	84¢	$151	0x8a7c78…
10-15 09:33:22	Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl	Ilya Ivashka	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x9f1c88…
10-15 09:19:52	Jinan: Ilya Ivashka vs Liam Draxl	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x7e3621…
10-15 08:20:58	wta jovic chwalin 2026 10 14	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0xad892c…
10-15 08:10:20	wta jovic chwalin 2026 10 14	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x0337c2…
10-15 08:08:31	wta jovic chwalin 2026 10 14	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x374e37…
10-15 03:19:58	itf ovchar2 sun3 2026 10 15	Ekaterina Ovcharenko	SELL	150	85¢	$128	0xbdc98b…
10-15 02:46:58	itf ovchar2 sun3 2026 10 15	Ekaterina Ovcharenko	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0xf3e6b5…
10-12 10:05:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x515984…
10-12 06:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	SELL	107	23¢	$25	0xd59924…
10-12 06:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12?	No	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x228dc9…
10-12 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 12?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x924a51…
10-12 06:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe9ca60…
10-12 06:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?	No	SELL	59	36¢	$22	0xef2b16…
10-12 04:25:56	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	121	7¢	$8	0x84e143…
10-12 03:54:32	Set 1 Winner: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	82	23¢	$19	0xbcb0de…
10-12 03:53:50	Set 1 Winner: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	82	28¢	$22	0x9a35a0…
10-12 03:39:59	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	121	67¢	$81	0x2fd316…
10-12 03:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x25a774…
10-12 03:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x97a715…
10-12 02:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0xa90ac7…
10-12 02:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xef436e…
10-12 01:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x159262…
10-12 01:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xafb1d0…
10-10 07:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x5c26f4…
10-10 07:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xccba6f…
10-10 06:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0xc66757…
10-10 06:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x8d4fe3…
10-10 06:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x21c4f6…
10-10 06:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xd57ecc…
10-10 06:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x16dae0…
10-10 06:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x733647…
10-10 06:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	95	87¢	$82	0x3b0b40…
10-10 05:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 10?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8d2e66…
10-10 02:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?	No	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x90beb8…
10-10 01:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	206	48¢	$99	0xc255db…
10-10 01:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	206	45¢	$92	0x3a86e2…
10-10 01:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 10?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0xe1788d…
10-09 17:23:10	atp moeller pereira 2026 10 09	Elmer Moeller	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x26af65…
10-09 17:09:07	Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira	Elmer Moeller	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xa33600…
10-09 17:08:02	Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira	Elmer Moeller	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8f4502…
10-09 17:05:58	Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira	Elmer Moeller	SELL	262	82¢	$215	0xc3bac0…
10-09 16:49:05	Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira	Elmer Moeller	BUY	262	69¢	$181	0x2cafc4…
10-09 16:39:44	wta waltert sakatsu 2026 10 09	Himeno Sakatsume	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xb50f81…
10-09 16:18:50	Samsun: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume	Himeno Sakatsume	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x502c77…
10-09 16:16:09	wta waltert sakatsu 2026 10 09	Himeno Sakatsume	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x7b9953…
10-09 14:14:13	atp zhou musetti 2026 10 09	Yi Zhou	SELL	70	35¢	$24	0x113262…