Elderly-Bug-Degree — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

5,463 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$789 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-25 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

59% 15% -$84

Crypto

21% 8% -$49

Politics

13% 14% -$12

Sports

5% 9% -$1

Pop-Culture

2% 7% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	25	$13	6,722	6,451	+271	No	$0	05-12 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	36	$11	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$3	05-11 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	20	$10	5,000	4,000	+1,000	No	+$0	05-16 14:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	28	$9	4,982	3,981	+1,001	No	-$1	05-09 10:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	23	$8	4,469	3,999	+470	No	$0	05-16 05:56
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	15	$8	3,464	3,000	+464	No	+$2	05-15 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?	82	$8	4,453	3,452	+1,001	No	$0	05-12 06:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	49	$8	4,423	3,815	+608	No	$0	05-17 18:49
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	34	$8	4,000	2,999	+1,001	No	+$0	05-09 10:29
Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	43	$8	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$0	05-08 20:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	7	$8	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$0	05-12 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	7	$7	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1	05-11 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	71	$7	3,000	2,750	+250	No	+$1	05-12 07:44
Will Ryan Lin be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	36	$6	3,007	3,006	+1	No	$0	05-08 23:06
Will Oscar Hemming be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	28	$6	3,011	3,000	+11	No	$0	05-10 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	12	$6	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$6	3,000	3,000	+0	No	$0	05-18 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	11	$6	3,000	2,999	+1	No	$0	05-18 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 9?	22	$6	3,000	2,722	+278	No	$0	05-08 01:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	33	$6	2,854	2,854	+0	No	$0	05-11 23:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	8	$6	2,000	1,849	+151	Yes	+$2	05-12 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 9?	142	$6	2,503	2,502	+1	No	+$1	05-08 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 9?	20	$5	2,745	2,744	+1	No	$0	05-08 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 9?	27	$5	3,000	2,357	+643	No	-$1	05-07 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on May 9?	86	$5	2,614	2,614	+0	No	$0	05-08 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on May 9?	114	$5	2,977	2,118	+859	No	-$1	05-09 04:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?	4	$5	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$1	05-16 13:16
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	10	$5	3,000	2,000	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on May 9?	13	$5	3,000	2,000	+1,000	No	-$1	05-07 22:43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$5	3,000	2,000	+1,000	No	-$1	05-12 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x43b02d…
05-25 05:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x8558bc…
05-25 05:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd3b0e9…
05-25 05:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0ec4a5…
05-25 05:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x40eaf2…
05-25 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x56286d…
05-25 05:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xa9bbbb…
05-25 05:36:24	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc7ac4c…
05-25 02:35:31	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb7998e…
05-25 02:23:56	Will Evan Mobley win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x10e8d1…
05-25 02:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55d0ef…
05-25 02:04:53	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	411	0¢	$0	0xec1af6…
05-25 01:58:21	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x153b69…
05-25 01:47:15	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb43703…
05-25 00:58:55	Will Jesus Luzardo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5da43e…
05-25 00:02:09	Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,965	0¢	$2	0xabf6af…
05-24 22:16:52	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78b22b…
05-24 22:04:09	Will Steven Gerrard be the next manager of Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe4c9aa…
05-24 21:33:47	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x71e7ba…
05-19 18:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	0¢	$0	0x833142…
05-19 18:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc4bac…
05-19 18:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc761d6…
05-19 18:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x90aaa6…
05-19 18:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbd3f58…
05-19 18:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xad8f31…
05-19 18:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc2d2ec…
05-19 18:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x48ee1e…
05-19 18:14:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1cc824…
05-19 18:12:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xecf8db…
05-19 18:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb1e194…
05-19 18:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	0¢	$1	0x15760e…
05-19 16:51:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d0321…
05-19 16:33:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	261	0¢	$0	0x223126…
05-19 15:14:39	Will William Saliba win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x1c3213…
05-19 14:51:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd27943…
05-19 14:46:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	523	0¢	$1	0xf498bc…
05-19 14:39:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	206	0¢	$0	0x4d6da6…
05-19 14:32:04	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4fd9da…
05-19 13:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	962	0¢	$2	0x0749ce…
05-19 12:57:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xd55ad8…
05-19 12:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x513e80…
05-19 10:31:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$0	0x4d4cb3…
05-19 10:31:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xe4cb08…
05-19 10:31:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf40a4…
05-19 10:26:13	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0xb891b7…
05-19 10:26:13	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	458	0¢	$0	0x5ff2a0…
05-19 10:08:49	Will Ryan Zink be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x1a3965…
05-19 09:58:45	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xcd4a55…
05-19 09:58:45	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x42cb9e…
05-19 09:58:43	Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf4a471…
05-19 08:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x482688…
05-19 08:30:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x482fbc…
05-19 08:12:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x1813ec…
05-19 08:06:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$0	0xb2520a…
05-19 07:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x955439…
05-19 07:21:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x6fcd9b…
05-19 04:17:04	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	523	0¢	$1	0x3c4970…
05-19 02:40:57	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	477	0¢	$0	0x93ddf9…
05-19 01:53:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb58072…
05-18 20:38:14	Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	283	0¢	$0	0xc98323…
05-18 20:32:26	Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe7cba4…
05-18 20:27:02	Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	716	0¢	$1	0xf64421…
05-18 17:41:43	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	551	0¢	$1	0x11a8db…
05-18 17:33:28	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfd03f9…
05-18 17:31:57	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$0	0x859072…
05-18 17:30:49	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	238	0¢	$0	0x7c3c3b…
05-18 15:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,999	0¢	$2	0x404aa0…
05-18 14:26:20	Will Morgan Rogers win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1a2de6…
05-18 13:59:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	No	SELL	485	0¢	$1	0xda5c45…
05-18 11:59:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0eb467…
05-18 08:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3616b5…
05-18 08:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x05b116…
05-18 04:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ab713…
05-18 04:08:53	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x1d95ca…
05-18 00:07:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$1	0x85fadf…
05-17 23:52:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$0	0x48ab7e…
05-17 23:14:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xf10a60…
05-17 23:14:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd1ede4…
05-17 23:14:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9f20d1…
05-17 23:14:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3021b2…
05-17 23:05:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8df538…
05-17 22:31:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7e8bcf…
05-17 22:31:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x6b354b…
05-17 22:31:27	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x386533…
05-17 22:31:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x74f832…
05-17 22:31:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x5790d5…
05-17 22:01:07	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x28603d…
05-17 21:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7eb8f…
05-17 21:47:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6ee740…
05-17 18:49:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaab2c0…
05-17 18:49:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6b997a…
05-17 18:49:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xdf5f7e…
05-17 18:49:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x94049a…
05-17 18:49:43	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xfeb835…
05-17 18:49:43	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x46e558…
05-17 18:49:42	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xf03dd4…
05-17 18:49:42	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x6d2e0b…
05-17 18:49:38	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdf4a37…
05-17 18:49:38	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xddfb8d…
05-17 18:49:38	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xd9a70b…