Unusual-Handlebar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

6,375

Trades

9,050

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-29 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 41% +$121

Other

10% 41% -$3

Politics

1% 100% +$66

Tech

1% 0% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	3	$303	195	195	-0	No	+$37	05-13 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?	2	$297	198	198	+0	Yes	+$97	05-15 00:15
deepseek v4 released by april 24	5	$207	151	151	+0	Yes	+$7	04-24 02:57
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$166	165	165	+0	No	+$66	05-15 00:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	2	$161	102	102	+0	Yes	+$41	05-11 08:18
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$150	561	0	+561	Yes	-$150	04-28 01:13
Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	1	$150	387	0	+387	Yes	-$150	05-19 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 13?	3	$129	73	73	+0	Yes	+$14	05-13 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9?	2	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$3	05-09 15:11
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?	4	$100	69	69	+0	Yes	+$20	04-24 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	2	$78	44	44	+0	No	+$10	05-11 08:18
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	5	$78	63	63	+0	Yes	-$2	04-24 04:12
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	5	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	+$3	04-24 03:06
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	4	$60	106	106	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 03:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:25 UTC	4	$26	36	36	+0	Up	+$17	03-24 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 21?	1	$26	85	0	+85	No	-$26	05-20 01:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	2	$26	21	20	+1	Up	+$14	04-09 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	2	$23	25	25	+0	Yes	-$21	05-14 06:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC	3	$22	33	30	+3	Down	+$16	04-05 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?	4	$22	25	25	+0	Yes	-$6	04-29 03:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 12:45 UTC	2	$22	17	16	+1	Up	+$10	04-09 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 11:00 UTC	2	$21	17	16	+1	Down	+$10	04-09 11:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 03:45 UTC	2	$21	16	16	+1	Up	+$9	04-09 03:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 03:45 UTC	4	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$8	06-08 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 06:45 UTC	2	$20	15	14	+1	Up	+$8	04-09 06:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 06:00 UTC	2	$20	16	15	+2	Up	+$10	04-06 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 10:45 UTC	2	$20	15	15	+1	Down	+$8	04-09 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	2	$20	15	15	+1	Down	+$8	04-09 21:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 03:00 UTC	2	$20	15	15	+1	Down	+$9	04-09 03:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 04:45 UTC	2	$20	18	16	+2	Down	+$9	04-08 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x175208…
10-29 21:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6264fa…
10-29 21:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd6df01…
10-29 20:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3efa2a…
10-29 20:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x80698f…
10-29 20:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe165e3…
10-29 20:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0d7da8…
10-29 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe73917…
10-29 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x42d047…
10-29 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xef8396…
10-29 16:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4768bd…
10-29 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd53d72…
10-29 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x64302c…
10-29 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x118959…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e4285…
10-29 14:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc83415…
10-29 14:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8e0da0…
10-29 14:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x785680…
10-29 14:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6e817…
10-29 14:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c9831…
10-29 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ee15a…
10-29 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x16ddb8…
10-29 13:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe0bab4…
10-29 13:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x90d969…
10-29 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdd5051…
10-29 09:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbd72e6…
10-29 06:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xce76b6…
10-29 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x84c2e8…
10-29 02:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4fd997…
10-29 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x64daa5…
10-29 00:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x791376…
10-28 21:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb6cd3d…
10-28 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd06a61…
10-28 19:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x09658b…
10-28 19:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd9e18…
10-28 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xedc890…
10-28 18:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4873c7…
10-28 18:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x65eb09…
10-28 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3e6106…
10-28 16:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4db1aa…
10-28 14:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd49c1b…
10-28 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd69d42…
10-28 13:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd702d6…
10-28 12:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c6f82…
10-28 12:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf073ee…
10-27 14:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf149a6…
10-27 14:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x52ac4f…
10-27 13:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfbf505…
10-27 12:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x353c1f…
10-27 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x155cd5…
10-27 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf7c7df…
10-27 07:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9fd83a…
10-27 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf94fa0…
10-27 05:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe0e5bf…
10-27 02:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5fae35…
10-27 01:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a1cd5…
10-27 00:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f5f6a…
10-26 22:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4dd863…
10-26 19:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x58c014…
10-26 17:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xba6dd9…
10-26 17:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x047a6a…
10-26 16:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0908d…
10-26 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f81ba…
10-26 15:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x40b6fb…
10-26 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x78cbf1…
10-26 15:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3769c3…
10-26 14:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x40b57d…
10-26 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xefa201…
10-26 14:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa92257…
10-26 14:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6699cc…
10-26 14:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x67c354…
10-26 13:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a402f…
10-26 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdff5ef…
10-26 11:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde7ae1…
10-26 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf08ced…
10-26 09:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbac2de…
10-26 08:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x54dea4…
10-26 08:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5ed18c…
10-26 04:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe9907f…
10-26 03:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf567ce…
10-26 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x45ffd8…
10-26 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xabc75d…
10-26 02:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5a19a2…
10-26 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c869e…
10-26 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d7593…
10-26 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x44920d…
10-26 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad70ef…
10-26 01:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6d12ab…
10-26 00:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x633d13…
10-26 00:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf1cb19…
10-25 23:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9596fc…
10-25 20:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc32104…
10-24 20:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x706352…
10-24 19:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x307043…
10-24 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xefd794…
10-24 16:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb55930…
10-24 15:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e18af…
10-24 14:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe6e8a5…
10-24 13:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x61261f…
10-24 07:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa7deb4…