Somber-Aside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$576

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% +$576

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$1.1K	5,442	0	+5,442	open	—	05-15 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$930	885	489	+396	Up	+$178	05-13 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$918	683	683	+0	Up	+$140	05-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$771	390	1,428	-1,038	Down	+$507	05-07 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$655	720	720	+0	Down	+$81	05-13 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$567	524	524	+0	open	—	05-29 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$512	2,133	1,809	+324	Up	$-476	05-14 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$500	1,575	0	+1,575	Up	$-500	05-07 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$500	926	0	+926	open	—	05-28 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$500	719	0	+719	Up	+$219	05-07 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$499	588	588	+0	Down	+$99	05-12 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	5	$484	1,640	1,414	+226	Up	$-37	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$475	1,405	0	+1,405	Up	+$930	05-07 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$463	290	290	+0	Up	+$63	05-13 01:49
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$415	341	341	+0	open	—	01-11 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$400	471	0	+471	Down	$-59	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$371	737	737	+0	open	—	05-15 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$367	318	318	+0	Down	+$67	05-13 13:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$343	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	02-28 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$310	449	449	+0	Down	+$35	05-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$300	479	0	+479	open	—	05-04 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$300	306	0	+306	open	—	05-29 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$291	502	0	+502	Down	$-291	05-13 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$289	535	0	+535	Down	$-289	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$287	670	0	+670	open	—	05-30 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$284	330	0	+330	open	—	05-04 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$275	744	0	+744	Down	$-275	05-13 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	5	$255	342	154	+188	open	—	05-03 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$250	290	0	+290	Down	+$40	05-12 10:32
btc updown 5m 1775976000	2	$227	449	430	+20	open	—	04-12 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 02:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	670	43¢	$287	0x6be845…
05-29 00:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	524	51¢	$267	0xc89ca8…
05-29 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	524	57¢	$300	0x52c4db…
05-29 00:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x0e0657…
05-28 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0x1d649d…
05-15 04:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	994	15¢	$152	0xd267b1…
05-15 04:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,195	27¢	$329	0xbfbcc2…
05-15 04:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	908	24¢	$220	0x83be3d…
05-15 04:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,088	19¢	$211	0x3fa083…
05-15 04:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,257	11¢	$139	0x0aedcd…
05-15 04:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	238	34¢	$81	0xfb1704…
05-15 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	737	7¢	$51	0x40585f…
05-15 03:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	737	43¢	$320	0x69b052…
05-15 03:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	429	44¢	$190	0x4247f6…
05-14 03:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	262	56¢	$148	0xb5e44b…
05-14 03:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x82144f…
05-14 02:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1,809	1¢	$18	0x2d7c8d…
05-14 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	164	27¢	$45	0xfa7c37…
05-14 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,574	24¢	$377	0x17e94c…
05-14 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	395	18¢	$71	0x154ff7…
05-14 02:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	473	42¢	$200	0xf58ac4…
05-13 14:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	720	51¢	$368	0x0fba26…
05-13 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	720	40¢	$287	0xb4c911…
05-13 14:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	396	73¢	$287	0xfb2ae8…
05-13 14:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	489	73¢	$356	0x08bf91…
05-13 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	489	59¢	$287	0x8738ee…
05-13 14:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0xb2f61e…
05-13 14:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	107	95¢	$102	0xb323ce…
05-13 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	493	74¢	$365	0xcd5310…
05-13 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	83	74¢	$61	0x31dbbe…
05-13 14:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	576	50¢	$287	0xce8106…
05-13 14:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	449	38¢	$172	0xedf3b9…
05-13 14:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	449	31¢	$138	0x57780d…
05-13 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	318	68¢	$217	0x268655…
05-13 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	318	47¢	$150	0x3ec747…
05-13 13:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x9f7e53…
05-13 11:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	744	37¢	$275	0x6788f3…
05-13 11:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	502	58¢	$291	0xa452e8…
05-13 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	265	54¢	$143	0x95ec82…
05-13 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	147	61¢	$90	0x8c8d4f…
05-13 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x07acf5…
05-13 08:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	240	62¢	$150	0x5cce80…
05-13 04:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	359	42¢	$150	0x23ef80…
05-13 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	290	91¢	$263	0x4e5046…
05-13 01:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x5542f4…
05-12 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0xc33603…
05-12 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	290	86¢	$250	0x0b194a…
05-12 07:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0xb39c62…
05-12 07:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	278	3¢	$8	0x530275…
05-12 07:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0xca28a5…
05-12 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	233	46¢	$107	0x94f18c…
05-12 06:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6d881a…
05-12 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	214	50¢	$107	0x6c7ca7…
05-12 05:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	374	51¢	$192	0x6b4f1f…
05-12 05:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xde8d7d…
05-12 04:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x7bd7a4…
05-07 05:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	774	32¢	$251	0xed810e…
05-07 05:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	630	36¢	$224	0x6b79de…
05-07 05:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	390	84¢	$327	0x592c5d…
05-07 05:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	456	28¢	$127	0xc280be…
05-07 05:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	971	33¢	$317	0x9ea288…
05-07 05:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	800	33¢	$268	0xfe3389…
05-07 05:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	776	30¢	$232	0xa3cf23…
05-07 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	719	70¢	$500	0xbb50f7…
05-07 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	649	23¢	$150	0xb2cb58…
05-07 05:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	159	94¢	$150	0xe9d62e…
05-07 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1,205	11¢	$129	0x4b46e8…
05-07 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	209	7¢	$15	0x41c705…
05-07 05:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	275	14¢	$39	0x5d20df…
05-07 05:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,206	13¢	$151	0x18d616…
05-07 04:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	463	41¢	$190	0xe13031…
05-07 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	249	76¢	$190	0x742723…
05-06 05:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	340	56¢	$190	0xd482f6…
05-06 04:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	373	51¢	$190	0x22e29d…
05-06 04:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc94bf8…
05-06 04:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	322	31¢	$100	0x399e02…
05-05 06:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	535	54¢	$289	0xfe3833…
05-05 02:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x10cd80…
05-05 02:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xff54f4…
05-05 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc01ff4…
05-05 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x178acd…
05-04 02:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	479	63¢	$300	0xdb843f…
05-04 02:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	330	86¢	$284	0x5321b5…
05-03 09:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	131	74¢	$97	0x9922fd…
05-03 04:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7a8253…
05-03 04:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$31	0xafb018…
05-03 04:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x0ea51e…
05-03 04:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0x2fdd4e…
05-03 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x08ed6f…
05-03 04:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xff9b69…
05-03 04:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xe0ed3c…
05-03 04:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x932259…
05-03 04:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x870df0…
05-03 01:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	176	43¢	$75	0x5e668a…
05-03 01:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xb687b2…
05-03 01:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xa46357…
05-03 01:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x34f448…
04-29 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	408	51¢	$209	0x65b9da…
04-27 05:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	87	81¢	$70	0x464b3f…
04-27 05:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	116	62¢	$72	0x1f918e…