Glossy-Musicbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

111

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$190.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$368

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 09-26 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

52% 75% +$11,439

Other

42% 31% -$7,788

Sports

6% 12% -$6,738

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$7.0K	4,020	4,020	+0	No	+$940	04-29 06:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$6.7K	3,794	3,794	+0	Yes	+$699	05-24 08:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$6.5K	4,419	4,419	+0	No	+$426	05-30 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6.4K	4,452	4,452	+0	No	-$266	05-06 13:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	21	$6.0K	5,007	5,007	+0	Yes	-$236	04-27 03:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$5.6K	3,075	3,075	+0	No	-$72	05-06 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$5.2K	3,662	3,662	+0	No	+$37	05-06 09:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$4.3K	3,333	3,333	+0	No	+$305	05-06 09:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$4.2K	2,556	2,556	+0	No	+$198	04-23 17:18
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$3.4K	11,373	9,867	+1,506	Argentina	+$434	07-12 03:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	4	$3.4K	2,870	2,870	+0	No	+$1,382	06-12 05:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$3.1K	3,937	3,937	+0	No	+$76	04-25 00:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$3.0K	3,710	0	+3,710	No	+$707	05-05 14:19
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$3.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$1,000	07-05 21:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$2.9K	5,333	5,333	+0	Yes	-$983	05-06 10:19
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$2.8K	5,267	5,267	+0	No	-$1,349	05-11 16:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$2.6K	1,667	1,667	+0	No	+$644	04-29 07:00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	109	$2.6K	107,249	59,249	+48,000	No	-$1,634	06-30 03:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	2	$2.5K	1,579	1,579	+0	No	+$539	06-18 04:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.5K	3,448	3,448	+0	Yes	+$1,503	07-15 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.4K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$380	04-24 15:15
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$2.3K	1,560	1,560	+0	Yes	+$315	05-06 09:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,659	2,659	+0	No	-$87	05-01 13:06
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	10	$2.3K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$281	06-23 06:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	2	$2.2K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$184	06-18 04:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	32	$2.1K	6,225	0	+6,225	Yes	+$4,105	05-01 16:26
Japan leading at halftime?	12	$2.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$1,480	06-29 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.1K	1,099	1,099	+0	No	+$73	05-05 11:26
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	3	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	No	+$69	05-01 06:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$59	04-29 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 19:13:41	England vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,194	46¢	$1,000	0x897b34…
09-26 19:09:45	Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,256	23¢	$1,000	0x5dca18…
08-23 15:41:19	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	4,878	41¢	$2,000	0xcd2a4a…
08-23 14:41:21	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0x0af47a…
08-23 14:40:27	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0x71f77e…
07-15 03:45:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,448	58¢	$2,003	0xe49b8f…
07-14 18:37:19	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,651	21¢	$1,000	0x65c5b0…
07-12 03:27:11	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	1,506	33¢	$494	0x723783…
07-12 02:56:46	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,243	80¢	$1,000	0x19614a…
07-12 02:53:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	9,004	19¢	$1,756	0xb96cd5…
07-12 02:51:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	863	20¢	$173	0x26c399…
07-12 02:27:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	9,867	10¢	$1,000	0x10c944…
07-11 22:51:56	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	4,467	10¢	$465	0x4cd865…
07-11 22:48:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x8ba202…
07-11 22:48:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x85f3d2…
07-11 22:48:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x77fbd6…
07-11 22:25:41	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	895	22¢	$197	0x8db22e…
07-11 22:25:40	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x90de56…
07-11 22:25:40	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	1,315	22¢	$289	0x3dc090…
07-11 22:25:40	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x023921…
07-11 22:25:38	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	960	22¢	$211	0xd21384…
07-11 22:25:38	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	1,315	22¢	$289	0xd056ce…
07-11 21:40:35	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1,261	83¢	$1,047	0x1f3895…
07-11 21:29:53	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xf0269e…
07-11 21:29:53	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1,178	31¢	$365	0xa647db…
07-11 21:29:53	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xa4479f…
07-11 21:29:52	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	358	31¢	$111	0x134cf0…
07-11 21:29:46	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x3e788a…
07-11 21:29:37	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xe69b86…
07-11 21:29:34	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3c1dfe…
07-09 21:43:19	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	2,790	28¢	$788	0x014fe4…
07-09 21:13:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	4,544	22¢	$1,000	0x81ddea…
07-09 20:09:16	France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0x64eca9…
07-07 16:07:50	Egypt leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7,713	9¢	$694	0xd46687…
07-07 16:07:50	Egypt leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4,287	9¢	$386	0x1a4785…
07-06 20:27:01	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4,972	19¢	$945	0xf3331c…
07-06 20:26:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xb8e4cf…
07-06 20:26:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x99b994…
07-06 20:26:46	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x7a1cc2…
07-06 20:26:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xaa8312…
07-06 20:26:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x174343…
07-06 20:26:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0887c2…
07-06 20:26:40	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xe58b44…
07-06 20:26:32	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x31777a…
07-06 20:26:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	144	19¢	$27	0x1c2866…
07-06 19:03:11	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,256	22¢	$496	0xe8ce44…
07-06 19:03:10	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xb73d4d…
07-06 19:03:08	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1,317	22¢	$290	0x70d2ca…
07-06 19:03:08	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x5e3763…
07-06 19:03:07	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x91c2f4…
07-06 19:03:07	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	789	22¢	$173	0x5c1336…
07-06 19:03:07	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x33bd34…
07-06 19:03:07	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2e3add…
07-06 19:03:05	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x8776c0…
07-06 19:03:05	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x35031c…
07-06 19:02:32	Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x32ed94…
07-05 21:50:49	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	4,000	75¢	$3,000	0x055808…
07-05 20:21:32	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5,882	17¢	$1,000	0x44fad3…
07-04 17:37:41	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4,276	13¢	$556	0xfdef17…
07-04 17:37:40	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xf5e604…
07-04 17:37:40	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	331	13¢	$43	0xe5b668…
07-04 17:37:40	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xce992d…
07-04 17:37:38	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,738	13¢	$356	0x8df9c0…
07-04 17:37:29	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	337	13¢	$44	0x43ec5d…
07-01 17:20:23	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0x3d25f0…
07-01 17:18:20	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xc77ab8…
07-01 17:18:20	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	81	34¢	$27	0xb9dfae…
07-01 17:18:17	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe5b9cd…
07-01 17:18:13	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0f8d9c…
07-01 17:18:10	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xaa3444…
07-01 17:18:01	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x3483b1…
07-01 17:17:53	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x0fa2b1…
07-01 16:46:20	England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	484	13¢	$63	0xf84fad…
07-01 16:30:20	England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,066	32¢	$661	0x7ac387…
07-01 16:30:19	England vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	418	32¢	$134	0xa19d03…
06-30 18:38:56	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0x7b67a2…
06-30 03:11:49	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,430	2¢	$33	0xfbd521…
06-30 03:11:41	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x46d675…
06-30 03:11:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x85bbf1…
06-30 03:11:32	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,413	2¢	$102	0xbf2ad0…
06-30 03:11:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,696	2¢	$200	0xfa3682…
06-30 03:11:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	922	2¢	$21	0x503fdc…
06-30 03:10:52	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0xc8d36b…
06-30 03:10:43	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	434	2¢	$10	0x4718f4…
06-30 03:10:41	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31,733	2¢	$730	0x752abb…
06-30 02:38:31	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59,249	1¢	$474	0x6387ef…
06-30 01:28:26	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3,000	17¢	$510	0x68bc42…
06-29 18:11:01	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	870	46¢	$400	0x19ff26…
06-29 17:37:49	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfaf31a…
06-29 17:37:49	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	585	78¢	$456	0xeddb39…
06-29 17:37:47	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	1,285	78¢	$1,002	0x18701e…
06-29 17:37:47	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x12f4e0…
06-29 17:37:46	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0xc9d0b6…
06-29 17:37:46	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x52ddd2…
06-29 17:37:32	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0x6b468a…
06-29 17:37:26	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6b4dbc…
06-29 17:33:26	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	319	74¢	$236	0x9bb9c2…
06-29 17:17:58	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	109	14¢	$15	0xea86b5…
06-29 17:17:58	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x5b91dd…
06-29 17:17:56	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2,191	13¢	$285	0x5dd87f…