Complex-Leap-Worry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

280

Trades

883

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 08-01 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

100% 92% -$234

Crypto

0% 0% -$55

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?	4	$368	186	186	+0	No	+$4	06-29 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	8	$359	184	184	+0	No	+$9	07-28 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?	2	$330	170	170	+0	No	+$10	07-03 19:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 29?	18	$313	158	158	+0	No	+$2	06-29 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 6?	6	$307	161	161	+0	Yes	+$15	07-06 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 6?	6	$263	136	136	+0	No	+$10	07-06 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 4?	3	$259	132	132	+0	No	+$4	07-04 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 6?	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	+$2	07-06 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	8	$252	132	132	+0	No	+$11	07-27 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?	21	$243	123	123	+0	No	+$2	06-29 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	7	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$1	07-30 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	7	$235	171	72	+99	Yes	-$95	07-30 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?	3	$229	116	116	+0	No	+$4	07-29 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?	4	$225	114	114	+0	Yes	+$3	07-06 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	4	$222	114	114	+0	Yes	+$5	07-27 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?	6	$221	115	115	+0	No	+$9	07-04 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 4?	4	$219	111	111	+0	No	+$3	07-04 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 4?	4	$219	113	113	+0	No	+$7	07-05 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 7?	3	$210	106	106	+0	No	+$2	07-07 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 22?	2	$204	103	103	+0	Yes	+$2	07-22 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	4	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$4	07-29 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 25?	4	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	3	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	07-25 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	06-15 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?	2	$197	205	0	+205	Yes	-$197	07-08 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 25?	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$3	07-25 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$3	06-13 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?	4	$195	99	99	+0	No	+$3	07-03 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?	4	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$4	07-03 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 24?	3	$194	98	98	+0	No	+$3	07-25 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x6398e2…
08-01 07:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xeb3bda…
07-31 19:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5768a8…
07-31 19:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x541975…
07-31 19:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaac31e…
07-31 19:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x631d75…
07-31 19:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x389ef8…
07-31 19:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x1d8b36…
07-31 19:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	47	88¢	$42	0xd86d7d…
07-31 16:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 31?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xab45ba…
07-31 13:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xf97671…
07-31 13:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xa652ed…
07-31 13:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x9693ad…
07-31 11:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x3eef0f…
07-31 09:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xcbe0cb…
07-31 09:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x00e935…
07-31 09:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x4b9ee7…
07-30 23:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x34499f…
07-30 23:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd437d8…
07-30 23:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x97ee24…
07-30 21:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xea352f…
07-30 21:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x36b4dc…
07-30 21:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4f3b14…
07-30 21:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xc03c1f…
07-30 21:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xadc6cc…
07-30 21:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 30?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xd4e42b…
07-30 21:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x133e62…
07-30 21:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5b08c…
07-30 20:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70b9a4…
07-30 19:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbac673…
07-30 18:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xea7916…
07-30 18:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe830ee…
07-30 18:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x22a1f5…
07-30 17:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 30?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x0950ce…
07-30 13:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xa64a01…
07-30 13:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0xc15ee9…
07-30 13:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x495ced…
07-30 13:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xa63901…
07-30 13:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0xcd5a8c…
07-30 13:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0xaedd77…
07-30 13:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xe99bb6…
07-30 07:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8352d5…
07-30 01:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 30?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc83c86…
07-29 22:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xd9ccad…
07-29 22:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a4acc…
07-29 19:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5e6858…
07-29 19:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 29?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf9cab5…
07-29 19:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x96d171…
07-29 18:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xaaaa2a…
07-29 18:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfaa985…
07-29 18:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x099e3f…
07-29 17:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 29?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x10aa82…
07-29 16:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf1c79a…
07-29 16:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 29?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xbac1db…
07-29 16:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 29?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x2e12da…
07-29 16:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 29?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x748bb8…
07-29 10:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb06d42…
07-29 08:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xbb16c1…
07-29 08:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x564ce4…
07-29 08:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xc6b1df…
07-29 08:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0cad28…
07-29 08:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x273252…
07-29 06:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x3d480e…
07-29 06:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x12145f…
07-28 23:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7877c4…
07-28 22:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 28?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x4a0d93…
07-28 21:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x631f6a…
07-28 20:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xa61b53…
07-28 20:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x44b08b…
07-28 20:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc852c0…
07-28 19:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xab5c78…
07-28 19:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x98afa7…
07-28 19:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe47310…
07-28 19:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3fd0a1…
07-28 19:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 28?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xb436b6…
07-28 19:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x92e8ff…
07-28 13:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xe42e1c…
07-28 13:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 28?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x69add8…
07-28 13:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xa5f11d…
07-28 12:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x73bed7…
07-28 12:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x03280c…
07-28 12:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1ae5eb…
07-28 12:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xfc7a3a…
07-28 11:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4235b6…
07-28 08:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x7923e7…
07-28 08:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x622be7…
07-27 22:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf34f8f…
07-27 22:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xad2430…
07-27 20:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xd8dcc0…
07-27 20:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8fb120…
07-27 19:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$75	0x3cde5f…
07-27 18:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x483781…
07-27 18:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x0c434f…
07-27 18:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x6dfff8…
07-27 18:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5e52a2…
07-27 18:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x623f62…
07-27 18:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x5dad8e…
07-27 17:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$84	0xbdcc1e…
07-27 17:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf306fa…
07-27 16:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 27?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x804f62…