Foolhardy-Tourist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$398

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

5,080

Trades

13,315

lifetime

Volume

$153.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-03 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 84% +$403

Other

1% 38% +$37

Politics

0% 62% -$32

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$429	170	455	-285	Yes	-$55	02-10 20:58
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$228	128	128	+0	No	+$28	07-24 22:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	68	$225	163	163	+0	Up	+$10	03-09 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:45 UTC	2	$198	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	02-09 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	57	$163	130	121	+9	Up	+$14	03-09 03:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?	2	$128	65	65	+0	Yes	+$2	07-15 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	20	$121	110	69	+41	Down	+$20	03-01 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 02:45 UTC	42	$116	110	75	+35	Down	-$20	03-09 02:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:05 UTC	11	$108	60	60	+0	Down	+$4	02-15 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:20 UTC	21	$95	110	30	+80	Up	+$2	06-08 03:24
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	2	$91	74	74	+0	Yes	-$9	06-04 17:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:15 UTC	2	$90	50	50	+0	Up	+$9	02-10 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:10 UTC	21	$88	118	28	+90	Up	+$4	06-08 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	6	$86	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	02-15 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 07:10 UTC	7	$85	45	45	+0	Up	+$2	02-15 07:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$83	100	0	+100	Yes	+$17	10-03 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 02:00 UTC	5	$80	60	60	+0	Up	-$18	02-16 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 03:15 UTC	10	$80	70	26	+44	Up	$0	03-02 03:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 06:15 UTC	4	$78	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	02-15 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:15 UTC	7	$78	45	45	+0	Down	+$5	02-15 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 05:30 UTC	7	$74	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	02-12 05:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 03:45 UTC	17	$73	90	20	+70	Down	+$1	06-08 03:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 02:15 UTC	30	$72	71	70	+1	Down	+$1	03-09 02:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 04:00 UTC	4	$70	50	25	+25	Up	+$3	02-18 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 04:50 UTC	15	$70	90	10	+80	Down	-$10	06-08 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:55 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 19:35 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	02-25 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 06:05 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	02-23 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 18:20 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Up	+$1	02-23 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 02:55 UTC	2	$69	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	02-22 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 15:48:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x5af9e2…
09-09 19:07:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd0d7e0…
09-09 19:06:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x29c07f…
09-09 18:48:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x8ec461…
09-09 18:47:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xa450eb…
09-09 18:45:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xc61dd0…
09-09 18:45:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xa7a0ef…
09-09 18:45:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x062880…
09-09 18:35:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x039d85…
09-09 18:35:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x70782f…
09-09 18:22:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x362e53…
09-09 18:10:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x337d80…
09-09 18:00:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x50238f…
09-09 17:55:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1e9a23…
09-09 17:53:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x2abe90…
09-09 17:37:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x6a9fbe…
09-09 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x332c48…
09-09 17:29:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd23485…
09-09 17:29:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x993975…
09-09 17:26:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa640fa…
09-09 17:19:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc380fa…
09-09 17:19:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x693974…
09-09 17:03:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 9?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x6554a2…
09-09 17:02:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb24b1c…
09-09 16:58:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xb0cce8…
09-09 16:58:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x6ce1cc…
09-09 16:57:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x6255fc…
09-09 16:51:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x66e4a3…
09-09 16:51:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x1fc357…
09-09 16:45:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4141a9…
09-09 16:42:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x273e6e…
09-09 16:27:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xcf6d84…
09-09 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x715b40…
09-08 20:25:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9676e5…
09-08 18:41:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xec4412…
09-08 18:29:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x0351b6…
09-08 17:55:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe06322…
09-07 21:48:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x003374…
09-06 22:22:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3a1f2a…
09-06 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd563c3…
09-06 22:17:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb8c9af…
09-06 20:24:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x830f4a…
09-06 20:22:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xdedd68…
09-06 19:40:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x282161…
09-06 18:16:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x7f1045…
09-06 18:16:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x7f1045…
09-06 17:46:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5ffa52…
09-06 17:41:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xdbdb77…
09-06 17:27:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9759ee…
09-06 17:27:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x8eb326…
09-06 17:27:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x87910c…
09-06 17:27:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x0df43b…
09-06 17:25:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb221d8…
08-28 20:15:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x33f9a7…
08-28 19:56:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x7354c9…
08-28 19:49:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8730a9…
08-28 19:32:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbfd3c8…
08-28 19:12:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x75dad0…
08-28 19:10:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc2e180…
08-28 19:05:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x459613…
08-28 19:05:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7ee78b…
08-28 19:03:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xacd57e…
08-28 18:51:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0815b0…
08-28 18:48:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x79806c…
08-28 18:37:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xeb3c30…
08-28 18:32:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xea3828…
08-28 18:27:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x613e69…
08-28 18:08:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfec7f1…
08-28 18:08:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdce43c…
08-28 17:49:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xda418a…
08-28 17:46:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xddfd0c…
08-28 17:40:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x913a6a…
08-28 17:32:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9cd2c4…
08-28 17:26:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xa560f4…
08-28 17:25:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xbc6071…
08-28 17:25:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc755fc…
08-28 17:24:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x1e43da…
08-28 17:24:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd3a517…
08-26 16:52:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xaebf73…
08-26 15:13:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe927ef…
08-26 15:13:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x795222…
08-26 15:12:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf38184…
08-26 15:11:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x985629…
08-26 00:02:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xa85f87…
08-25 23:53:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xd3a761…
08-25 23:53:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x603303…
08-25 23:52:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5ef073…
08-25 22:53:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd96350…
08-25 22:36:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd590a8…
08-25 22:27:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb069d4…
08-25 22:17:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x111219…
08-25 22:16:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x26f220…
08-25 21:07:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcf916f…
08-25 21:03:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x40ad0d…
08-25 21:03:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8d0bb6…
08-25 20:59:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe497ae…
08-25 20:26:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xa82ed6…
08-25 20:26:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x132381…
08-25 20:15:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x6dda8a…
08-25 19:53:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb37f3a…