Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

107

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$143

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-07

last 11-03 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

81% 57% +$8

Politics

17% 50% +$3

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	2	$3	6	+6	Yes	+$1	08-17 11:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$3	6	+6	No	-$1	09-15 02:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$0	10-15 16:54
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:53
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-12 06:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 14:44
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-24 03:37
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-21 06:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-08 18:15
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$1	09-18 01:07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 09:30
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	6	+6	No	+$5	09-16 00:34
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-21 14:43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-23 11:31
will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-29 10:30
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-17 12:52
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-15 14:28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 14?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 18:24
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-23 19:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-22 19:02
will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	08-13 07:29
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-24 16:11
wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-23 03:02
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 15:55
will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-12 14:52
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	08-11 02:35
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 15:52
will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-17 01:09
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	08-26 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:02:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7fadbf…
11-03 13:13:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xced001…
11-02 17:12:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf90168…
10-22 20:32:47	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x31a4f4…
10-22 12:25:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0e792c…
10-18 11:22:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x89dbd4…
10-18 01:00:12	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc4be3f…
10-17 16:44:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x27382f…
10-17 04:25:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe3ae4d…
10-16 11:38:51	wti up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2391c3…
10-16 01:51:04	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x416c8e…
10-15 16:54:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50b18c…
10-15 16:41:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd45e28…
10-15 08:31:53	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xea5df3…
10-15 00:03:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x093be7…
10-14 13:20:17	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d3180…
10-14 04:43:11	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2f35e1…
10-13 16:03:54	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x06b87f…
10-11 03:06:33	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe7eb5c…
10-10 11:26:39	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xca6ae2…
10-07 22:22:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x27cfca…
10-07 01:45:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbc62e0…
10-06 17:43:17	will rklb reach 76 by october 5 2026 from october 6	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x446715…
10-06 08:55:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5f4e24…
10-06 00:49:47	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f74b2…
10-05 16:37:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x099eb6…
10-05 00:47:56	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd3e2f6…
10-05 00:42:19	will coin reach 190 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd4fcd1…
10-02 07:35:09	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe90e5f…
10-01 11:40:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1eabe2…
10-01 11:38:11	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9347bc…
10-01 03:20:05	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ac313…
09-29 05:06:42	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc05a7e…
09-28 20:43:54	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8e810e…
09-28 12:43:44	will meta reach 760 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x05c8e5…
09-28 04:41:54	will msft dip to 495 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb86761…
09-27 20:41:39	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt07 in september	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x743b5d…
09-27 06:11:08	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7b7eb0…
09-27 02:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb5ae63…
09-26 07:28:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9472df…
09-25 20:58:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe67994…
09-25 12:55:32	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x40d58e…
09-25 03:43:14	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe708ea…
09-24 19:39:30	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d6b50…
09-24 11:38:41	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca120b…
09-24 03:37:07	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x9d3430…
09-23 19:35:16	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe67764…
09-23 11:31:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x086919…
09-23 11:28:50	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9e16df…
09-23 03:02:25	wti closes above 91 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x09841d…
09-22 19:02:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xff0ad8…
09-22 06:46:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa65525…
09-21 22:45:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xcad126…
09-21 14:45:17	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x19f9f1…
09-21 14:44:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x5a8945…
09-21 14:43:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x9113ee…
09-21 06:42:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc256c2…
09-20 22:39:50	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x253a82…
09-19 06:53:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b0b66…
09-18 18:33:45	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xee5d75…
09-18 01:07:00	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xc887f1…
09-17 12:52:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x1d4abf…
09-16 00:34:28	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x390618…
09-15 14:28:46	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x7020db…
09-15 02:26:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x29dd79…
09-15 02:24:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xccb113…
09-14 18:24:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 14?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x68b29e…
09-13 22:19:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x3898ed…
09-13 04:16:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x812fe0…
09-09 09:30:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x72ad78…
09-08 18:15:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x695073…
09-08 06:47:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x42ac43…
09-07 15:55:19	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7fc167…
08-30 12:51:45	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xfd489a…
08-29 10:30:52	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xff570b…
08-28 21:45:06	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x29555a…
08-28 13:17:10	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x66b4d8…
08-28 05:16:54	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x020950…
08-27 21:16:16	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x2d756c…
08-26 13:12:57	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd84227…
08-26 02:29:21	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xd7cb3b…
08-25 08:15:33	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $181 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x2fa4a0…
08-25 00:14:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x530021…
08-24 16:11:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xfdf5cf…
08-24 08:07:04	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4f1d90…
08-23 22:55:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xa68e63…
08-23 05:26:15	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x72bfa5…
08-21 16:01:12	will trump say legacy during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xa80ba5…
08-21 05:39:42	will coin reach 185 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd2a70a…
08-20 19:27:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7496ab…
08-18 15:52:48	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xa56c5a…
08-18 06:54:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xa3e45c…
08-17 22:07:43	will pltr dip to 162 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x6dbc4b…
08-17 11:33:39	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x748ce7…
08-17 11:02:33	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc19016…
08-17 01:09:33	will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa4b16c…
08-13 07:29:33	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	No	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x6958aa…
08-12 23:28:10	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x4fc541…
08-12 14:52:49	will trump say hell 7 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234682	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x7cc894…
08-12 06:51:57	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x52c2eb…