Forceful-Hill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

37,366

lifetime

Volume

$158.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 40% +$100

Other

1% 50% +$3

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3740 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	5	$620	600	600	+0	open	—	02-02 19:05
btc updown 15m 1769526000	32	$483	720	288	+431	open	—	01-27 15:10
nba lac phx 2026 02 01	4	$420	280	280	+0	open	—	02-02 03:13
btc updown 15m 1769512500	7	$395	435	431	+4	open	—	01-27 11:27
btc updown 15m 1769534100	204	$319	5,587	134	+5,454	open	—	01-27 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	35	$286	361	0	+361	open	—	05-22 14:01
btc updown 15m 1770323400	40	$268	345	231	+114	open	—	02-05 20:35
eth updown 15m 1769875200	112	$267	510	0	+510	open	—	01-31 16:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$260	304	304	+0	open	—	01-30 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	14	$250	286	0	+286	open	—	05-25 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	29	$249	298	0	+298	open	—	05-22 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	28	$248	287	0	+287	open	—	05-23 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	14	$247	286	0	+286	open	—	05-25 22:01
sol updown 15m 1769571900	17	$247	282	247	+35	open	—	01-28 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	14	$246	287	0	+287	open	—	05-25 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	31	$245	318	0	+318	open	—	05-23 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	13	$244	265	0	+265	open	—	05-25 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	13	$243	266	0	+266	open	—	05-25 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	27	$243	271	0	+271	open	—	05-23 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	13	$241	267	0	+267	open	—	05-25 21:02
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	2	$241	142	142	+0	open	—	01-06 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	28	$238	288	0	+288	open	—	05-23 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	12	$234	245	0	+245	open	—	05-25 22:31
sol updown 15m 1769875200	103	$233	458	0	+458	open	—	01-31 16:11
xrp updown 15m 1769534100	30	$231	443	377	+66	open	—	01-27 17:38
xrp updown 15m 1769875200	95	$231	451	0	+451	open	—	01-31 16:11
btc updown 15m 1769875200	101	$227	475	0	+475	open	—	01-31 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	26	$224	267	0	+267	open	—	05-23 01:46
maduro mugshot released by january 16	2	$221	123	123	+0	open	—	01-13 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	26	$219	267	0	+267	open	—	05-23 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x907732…
05-27 22:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x702e35…
05-27 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x54ec44…
05-27 22:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa0ecb1…
05-27 22:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x11ed49…
05-27 22:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x55625d…
05-27 22:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfc163d…
05-27 22:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x5b08d9…
05-27 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3f729f…
05-27 22:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb13516…
05-27 22:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3aa745…
05-27 22:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa73fc6…
05-27 22:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x54985f…
05-27 22:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc48f23…
05-27 22:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8470a1…
05-27 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x673dc5…
05-27 21:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb14cf9…
05-27 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc76248…
05-27 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x222271…
05-27 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xa6e0e5…
05-27 21:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xea50d1…
05-27 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa93b13…
05-27 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x541709…
05-27 21:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6bd5a2…
05-27 21:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdda8d8…
05-27 21:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xc46eca…
05-27 21:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdcbc64…
05-27 21:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xefecfd…
05-27 21:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x3cb06d…
05-27 21:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0bc0ac…
05-27 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7a605c…
05-27 21:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x283dee…
05-27 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2f8ee5…
05-27 21:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1a5f82…
05-27 21:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa395c3…
05-27 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xec63a6…
05-27 21:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6207d5…
05-27 21:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x661694…
05-27 21:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2ff4bd…
05-27 21:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7125ce…
05-27 21:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xeec8dd…
05-27 21:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x753611…
05-27 21:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9df5e8…
05-27 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa7c8ab…
05-27 21:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf82406…
05-27 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x84e2a6…
05-27 21:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbdd5a7…
05-27 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xfb450b…
05-27 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4398bf…
05-27 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x83b7cb…
05-27 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1bb6ee…
05-27 21:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x478ae9…
05-27 21:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x88a50f…
05-27 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3ddf88…
05-27 21:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfa3985…
05-27 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xae1446…
05-27 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4c8261…
05-27 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb6d47a…
05-27 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x595cc6…
05-27 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0df265…
05-27 20:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb91937…
05-27 20:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xca4863…
05-27 20:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x56964e…
05-27 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7580db…
05-27 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6f54e1…
05-27 20:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe7c173…
05-27 20:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x88431e…
05-27 20:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x05ee66…
05-27 20:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0b735c…
05-27 20:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8ef932…
05-27 20:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x42e652…
05-27 20:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1fdf76…
05-27 20:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3af83f…
05-27 20:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2ce4ca…
05-27 20:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x36ba7e…
05-27 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xefe5a6…
05-27 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x2437ff…
05-27 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x49ae87…
05-27 20:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0f7934…
05-27 20:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x479a6c…
05-27 20:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc7bd21…
05-27 20:36:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0436e8…
05-27 20:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe08642…
05-27 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x08e057…
05-27 20:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4057ca…
05-27 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x90d370…
05-27 20:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x938e92…
05-27 20:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd21e11…
05-27 20:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb39fdf…
05-27 20:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcb084a…
05-27 20:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x10f4e4…
05-27 20:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd4a37b…
05-27 20:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcf609d…
05-27 20:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0644d5…
05-27 20:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x02808b…
05-27 20:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x180597…
05-27 20:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xebca01…
05-27 20:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd1e98f…
05-27 20:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe20efc…
05-27 20:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9fe3e1…