Fatherly-Index — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$840

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-01 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 17% $-55

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

13% 0% $-32

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	6	$108	161	161	+0	open	—	04-12 13:59
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	2	$54	45	45	+0	Under	+$34	05-06 20:57
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$49	126	0	+126	open	—	03-11 17:46
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$36	52	52	+0	open	—	04-12 20:48
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$36	72	0	+72	No	$-36	05-05 15:45
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 halftime result away	2	$32	23	22	+0	open	—	04-14 20:21
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	2	$31	56	54	+1	open	—	04-15 19:08
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 halftime result away	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 21:11
sol updown 5m 1771601100	2	$30	21	20	+0	open	—	02-20 15:31
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	04-14 17:58
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 btts	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	04-15 18:37
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	1	$30	73	0	+73	open	—	05-03 18:32
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$26	60	0	+60	open	—	04-12 13:57
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	1	$25	62	0	+62	Under	$-25	05-11 20:52
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$23	17	16	+0	open	—	04-14 17:56
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	2	$21	70	0	+70	open	—	03-10 21:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$20	134	0	+134	open	—	04-12 12:35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$20	145	0	+145	open	—	04-14 20:21
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-29 19:02
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	2	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 20:36
eth updown 5m 1771600500	3	$15	97	0	+97	open	—	02-20 15:18
eth updown 5m 1771601100	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	02-20 15:25
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	1	$14	48	0	+48	Under	$-14	05-05 15:45
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$12	92	0	+92	Up	$-12	05-10 20:37
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	1	$12	38	0	+38	open	—	06-01 06:53
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-28 18:45
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 halftime result away	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	03-10 20:02
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-14 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	292	0	+292	Down	$-10	05-10 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 06:53:29	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x3a0bf9…
05-11 20:52:27	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x655f77…
05-10 20:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x427d6d…
05-10 20:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9121d0…
05-10 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2c9e94…
05-10 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x7969f0…
05-10 20:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c7c9d…
05-10 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x789470…
05-10 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x38e201…
05-06 20:57:57	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0x755a42…
05-06 19:02:23	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x858187…
05-06 18:58:23	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5b7e80…
05-05 15:45:54	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x484040…
05-05 15:45:46	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xb82969…
05-05 15:45:28	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0xe86fbb…
05-03 18:32:12	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xadd303…
04-29 20:36:48	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5e4ac0…
04-29 20:25:06	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3730da…
04-29 19:02:02	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xe2e17d…
04-28 21:14:32	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xf3be8d…
04-28 21:12:56	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb71de…
04-28 18:49:48	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3b4503…
04-28 18:45:28	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x08065e…
04-15 19:08:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	SELL	54	21¢	$11	0xc221c8…
04-15 19:07:28	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc400e0…
04-15 18:38:40	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags luis diaz	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x91f2dd…
04-15 18:37:30	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 btts	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x7f4ca2…
04-14 20:21:32	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 halftime result away	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x15fdbc…
04-14 20:21:02	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0xf868da…
04-14 17:59:38	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5a40f5…
04-14 17:58:18	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xbd767d…
04-14 17:58:02	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x58d210…
04-14 17:56:42	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x270266…
04-12 20:48:51	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x7fe206…
04-12 13:59:25	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x3d0de3…
04-12 13:58:35	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x28ae05…
04-12 13:57:05	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x41621a…
04-12 13:56:33	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0xa3c405…
04-12 13:54:33	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	142	30¢	$43	0x7e24fe…
04-12 12:35:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xad9aa7…
04-12 12:35:29	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x621b2e…
04-12 12:28:45	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x5d750f…
04-12 12:16:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6b711b…
04-12 12:16:03	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xdc8f3d…
04-12 12:14:47	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x7d761b…
03-11 17:46:17	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 spread away 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	126	39¢	$49	0xb28cfe…
03-10 21:13:39	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0x025031…
03-10 21:12:55	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x12a82a…
03-10 21:11:37	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 halftime result away	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x663b5c…
03-10 20:02:47	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6b4ef0…
03-10 20:02:11	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 halftime result away	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdfbaae…
02-20 15:31:42	sol updown 5m 1771601100	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe8104e…
02-20 15:26:08	sol updown 5m 1771601100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa020a0…
02-20 15:25:22	eth updown 5m 1771601100	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x5548ba…
02-20 15:22:54	btc updown 5m 1771600800	Down	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x96def6…
02-20 15:18:58	eth updown 5m 1771600500	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xea55e3…
02-20 15:18:44	eth updown 5m 1771600500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4f634f…
02-20 15:15:24	eth updown 5m 1771600500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x236b02…
02-20 15:09:58	btc updown 5m 1771599900	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfeed1d…
02-20 15:09:50	btc updown 5m 1771599900	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xef920f…
02-20 15:09:38	btc updown 5m 1771599900	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf7d678…
02-20 15:09:28	btc updown 5m 1771599900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b8dc0…