Radiant-Rubric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

6,213

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-20 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% $-133

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$90	977	0	+977	Down	$-90	05-13 18:48
bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	4	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-19 05:10
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 6am et	3	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	07-14 11:02
btc updown 15m 1782888300	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 06:57
btc updown 15m 1782903600	1	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 11:12
btc updown 5m 1777039500	3	$21	44	0	+44	open	—	04-24 14:08
ethereum up or down july 12 2026 3pm et	4	$21	15	10	+5	open	—	07-12 20:07
btc updown 15m 1782896400	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 09:12
btc updown 5m 1776917700	2	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	04-23 04:20
btc updown 15m 1782868500	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 01:27
btc updown 5m 1776968400	2	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 18:21
btc updown 15m 1782861300	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 23:27
btc updown 15m 1782863100	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 23:57
bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	07-18 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776964800	2	$18	36	0	+36	open	—	04-23 17:22
btc updown 5m 1776992100	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 00:59
btc updown 5m 1776972900	6	$18	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 19:38
btc updown 15m 1782865800	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 00:42
btc updown 15m 1782841500	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 17:57
btc updown 15m 1782855900	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 21:57
btc updown 5m 1777003500	1	$18	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 04:10
btc updown 5m 1776993900	3	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 01:30
btc updown 15m 1782848700	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	06-30 19:57
btc updown 5m 1776963300	2	$17	34	0	+34	open	—	04-23 16:57
btc updown 15m 1782904500	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	07-01 11:27
btc updown 5m 1782111300	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	06-22 06:59
btc updown 5m 1782065700	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	06-21 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776970800	2	$16	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 19:03
btc updown 5m 1782067800	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	06-21 18:54
btc updown 5m 1782112500	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	06-22 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:48:48	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfe0fc4…
07-20 16:48:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0e1b1e…
07-20 14:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xaa6a47…
07-20 14:46:30	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe23dc0…
07-20 13:48:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3e5f3b…
07-20 10:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2cb7e4…
07-20 08:48:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1820c8…
07-20 06:48:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x169e04…
07-20 04:48:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfa6e31…
07-20 03:58:48	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5ea513…
07-20 03:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4909d4…
07-20 01:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x77781b…
07-20 00:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3839b5…
07-19 23:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc16585…
07-19 21:48:46	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe90829…
07-19 20:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x65de69…
07-19 19:59:22	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe7ddc6…
07-19 19:48:48	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6b755c…
07-19 19:48:01	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0056fa…
07-19 17:59:24	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d3d21…
07-19 17:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb044c3…
07-19 16:48:46	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x868019…
07-19 16:48:01	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x441a4c…
07-19 15:58:48	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x993986…
07-19 15:48:48	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf866a6…
07-19 15:48:01	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdaa2e5…
07-19 12:58:48	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b499d…
07-19 12:48:46	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x626cb1…
07-19 12:48:01	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x46cc05…
07-19 07:58:46	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x850167…
07-19 07:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x45d7e2…
07-19 05:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x098921…
07-19 05:10:21	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x83491c…
07-19 05:10:19	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf98d84…
07-19 04:59:22	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xddfa3e…
07-19 04:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d9072…
07-19 04:59:10	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xac17e4…
07-19 04:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xaa4c49…
07-19 03:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe5fd23…
07-19 02:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf3deda…
07-19 01:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x504008…
07-19 01:58:54	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x00489d…
07-19 01:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb03d09…
07-19 01:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7f6064…
07-19 00:48:46	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xae8eae…
07-19 00:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6a193c…
07-18 23:58:52	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf1970f…
07-18 23:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x95334d…
07-18 23:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x61c09f…
07-18 21:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3976c4…
07-18 20:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x784546…
07-18 20:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x394879…
07-18 20:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa73942…
07-18 19:59:24	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa7c6af…
07-18 18:58:43	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x872cfd…
07-18 16:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7a3b2b…
07-18 15:48:46	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5181ad…
07-18 15:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x082691…
07-18 14:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a4872…
07-18 14:59:06	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa67f2f…
07-18 14:58:54	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe3e591…
07-18 14:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbc2659…
07-18 13:48:46	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2dea34…
07-18 13:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xde0a49…
07-18 12:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaaf1e9…
07-18 11:48:00	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc62d4e…
07-18 10:59:24	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbac4b3…
07-18 09:59:03	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8bd278…
07-18 09:58:52	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x18ef65…
07-18 09:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6dd2ba…
07-18 09:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd27874…
07-18 08:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd710f2…
07-18 08:59:03	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x377b03…
07-18 07:58:54	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb1217…
07-18 07:58:43	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae6a40…
07-18 07:48:48	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9c34f6…
07-18 07:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe82b4f…
07-18 05:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6b4bc4…
07-18 05:59:04	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x03005a…
07-18 05:58:54	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x34afd9…
07-18 04:48:46	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x091fda…
07-18 04:48:01	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb2b7d6…
07-18 01:46:21	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa55756…
07-18 00:58:54	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66c86a…
07-18 00:48:01	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x28bb8e…
07-17 21:48:48	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3fd235…
07-17 21:48:01	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7c1ba7…
07-17 20:59:15	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81ee48…
07-17 20:48:16	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6dc746…
07-17 20:46:34	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2ace57…
07-17 19:48:16	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x238e12…
07-17 19:46:33	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x2085d0…
07-17 18:46:34	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xc917ed…
07-17 18:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x718a33…
07-17 18:35:27	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x05965c…
07-17 16:46:22	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xb40426…
07-17 16:35:28	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfc350d…
07-17 16:20:36	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x71f7e5…
07-17 16:18:22	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x63e483…
07-17 14:48:16	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xea3966…