Charming-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-08 01:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$0

Other

29% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on april 19	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-16 19:49
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 19:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 17:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-23 20:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-26 11:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-09 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-01 20:33
will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 2	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-02 16:35
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-20 03:22
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 01:20
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-17 07:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	05-01 11:18
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-11 05:10
bitcoin above 68k on april 18	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-17 11:03
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-12 17:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:59
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-15 00:26
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-11 08:37
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-22 21:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-06 03:56
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 11:09
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-14 18:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 20:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-20 18:44
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-19 22:54
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-13 16:28
will it was just an accident win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	01-03 05:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-27 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-24 01:06
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-19 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:39:03	bitcoin above 74k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xba7364…
06-01 16:21:58	Will Sharifah Hardie advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1733d4…
05-27 15:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7435ae…
05-26 11:33:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x70f26c…
05-24 01:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x95dbe3…
05-21 23:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2140ac…
05-20 18:44:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3c817c…
05-19 03:44:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x078ec5…
05-12 02:14:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7930e9…
05-11 23:03:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xba465d…
05-09 14:26:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x20beac…
05-09 06:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b71e7…
05-06 19:50:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xddd7f7…
05-06 06:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1b8ebe…
05-06 01:59:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6d3a9c…
05-05 13:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1de346…
05-05 04:51:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa8e2d3…
05-03 20:00:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6bc7e2…
05-01 20:33:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xe4ec30…
05-01 11:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x69bd7a…
04-30 12:51:46	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2baa56…
04-29 12:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bcd66…
04-29 02:14:44	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0fbff8…
04-27 11:09:24	Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8916e9…
04-26 10:41:20	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe7779d…
04-26 03:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x465e3d…
04-25 07:57:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd4868…
04-24 23:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d42fc…
04-24 10:10:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x704f42…
04-23 20:11:28	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0611d5…
04-23 17:09:00	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27aa7f…
04-22 21:27:34	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x052d60…
04-22 17:17:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2d3de6…
04-20 03:22:14	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xa0f686…
04-19 22:54:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x14c2cd…
04-19 05:21:56	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda2148…
04-17 11:03:24	bitcoin above 68k on april 18	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x99263e…
04-16 19:58:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x542d14…
04-16 19:49:30	bitcoin above 64k on april 19	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x501a73…
04-16 19:20:20	bitcoin above 64k on april 19	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdd580f…
04-16 11:05:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1d594c…
04-16 01:20:32	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x20cb35…
04-15 00:26:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0b4f17…
04-14 18:37:38	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4ebb58…
04-13 08:39:57	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc8dca2…
04-12 17:05:29	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xee336a…
04-11 16:25:41	will ethereum dip to 1800 april 6 12	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbbc643…
04-06 03:56:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09c140…
04-03 09:42:47	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x796171…
04-02 16:35:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 2	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc0a92c…
04-01 05:18:21	highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfe9532…
03-17 07:10:21	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd02719…
03-13 16:28:53	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9991e9…
02-18 18:27:20	will silver si hit high 170 by end of february 258 575 377	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc4677f…
02-11 05:10:23	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8fd008…
01-22 11:35:10	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2d5ad1…
01-11 08:37:38	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x97315a…
01-03 05:45:31	will it was just an accident win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0721e4…