Unruly-Harmony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

5,219

Trades

6,830

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

76% 45% -$454

Sports

15% 46% +$231

Politics

8% 70% +$143

Crypto

0% 44% -$26

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers		+6	$2	38¢	$2	+$0	10-28 01:24
Sabres vs. Sharks	Sharks	—	+5	$2	25¢	$1	-$1	10-27 22:16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays		+8	$3	12¢	$1	-$2	10-27 01:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	79	$851	750	750	+0	No	+$4	03-29 16:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$681	456	318	+138	No	+$34	04-21 20:28
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	8	$414	318	312	+6	No	+$30	04-21 21:12
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	51	$254	8,841	8,841	+0	Yes	-$2	04-30 23:19
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$232	126	126	+0	Yes	+$8	04-16 15:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	28	$202	9,506	10,006	-500	Yes	+$17	04-07 23:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$159	684	567	+117	Yes	-$40	04-30 23:46
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	1	$120	122	0	+122	Yes	+$2	04-16 15:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$120	126	0	+126	Yes	+$6	05-01 20:31
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$103	62	62	+0	No	+$7	04-23 09:04
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-30 17:46
mlb chc kc 2026 08 09 hr alex bregman 0pt5	1	$60	65	0	+65	Under	+$5	08-09 12:24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	176	0	+176	No	-$50	06-30 19:30
lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 game3	1	$50	57	0	+57	T1	+$7	06-29 05:00
lol hmble ae2 2026 08 06	1	$49	54	0	+54	HMBLE	+$5	08-06 08:19
PFC Nasaf vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 0.5	1	$48	53	0	+53	Over	+$5	09-04 11:14
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	1	$47	53	0	+53	Bounty Hunters Esports	+$6	09-04 10:27
mlb tb sea 2026 08 08 spread home 2pt5	1	$46	61	0	+61	Tampa Bay Rays	+$15	08-09 00:21
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-09?	1	$46	65	0	+65	Yes	-$46	08-09 07:55
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffs	2	$45	54	0	+54	Bounty Hunters Esports	+$9	09-03 13:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	04-08 01:24
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs your end (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs	1	$43	49	0	+49	Turma do Pagode	+$6	09-04 16:25
cs2 6666 is 2026 08 08	1	$43	54	0	+54	Iberian Soul	+$11	08-08 13:26
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$41	70	0	+70	Spain	-$41	07-12 05:30
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$41	52	0	+52	Under	+$10	09-03 11:14
Will PAOK WF win on 2026-08-05?	1	$41	55	0	+55	No	+$14	08-05 07:55
clf bri stb 2026 08 05 spread away 2pt5	1	$41	55	0	+55	Stade Briochin	+$14	08-05 08:22
mlb lad ari 2026 08 09 spread home 1pt5	1	$41	57	0	+57	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$41	08-09 17:42
Exact Score: FC Ordabasy 3 - 0 Tobol Kostanay?	1	$41	44	0	+44	No	+$3	08-02 13:35
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$4	08-04 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:43:01	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6e5ed1…
10-28 03:17:21	Spread: Shanxi Loongs (-9.5)	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc73448…
10-28 03:09:50	Will West Indies win?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x42ba5c…
10-28 03:03:32	Will West Indies win?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcd625e…
10-28 03:00:57	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xc37aad…
10-28 02:25:14	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0056c4…
10-28 02:07:20	Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings	Sydney Kings	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x51289b…
10-28 01:24:08	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7438f9…
10-28 01:14:02	Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-4.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+4.5)	Diana Shnaider	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5f3bb3…
10-28 00:23:20	Spread: Real Sociedad San Sebastian (-1.5)	Real Sociedad San Sebastian	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x73f82f…
10-28 00:07:27	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9d2c7b…
10-27 23:32:35	Kings vs. Blackhawks	Kings	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4556ef…
10-27 23:13:26	Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe723fd…
10-27 23:10:50	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x28ff3a…
10-27 22:19:45	Panthers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec84a6…
10-27 22:16:57	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9411ce…
10-27 20:42:39	Seoul: Billy Harris vs Aleksandar Vukic	Billy Harris	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x126732…
10-27 19:00:41	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x730085…
10-27 19:00:15	Spread: Missouri State (-3.5)	Sam Houston	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xfdc657…
10-27 18:41:45	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xeff3bc…
10-27 18:40:48	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x72b285…
10-27 18:32:02	Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid	Kosner Baskonia	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x74bb0b…
10-27 18:31:24	Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd8eaf0…
10-27 18:13:20	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa828ce…
10-27 18:10:12	Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid	Kosner Baskonia	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xa3905a…
10-27 17:47:41	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x51ce20…
10-27 17:15:02	Spread: Delaware (-2.5)	Delaware	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2a7e56…
10-27 16:01:35	Penarol vs. San Martin de Corrientes	San Martin de Corrientes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe9734e…
10-27 14:53:02	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x312f5d…
10-27 14:19:32	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xe838e7…
10-27 13:57:06	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0622e9…
10-27 13:08:12	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	SV Werder Bremen	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x707591…
10-27 13:03:11	Spread: Bradford City AFC (-1.5)	Bradford City AFC	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x06fcd4…
10-27 12:52:06	Will Calcio Padova win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a2618…
10-27 12:35:03	Sioux Falls: Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy Cassone	Stefan Kozlov	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4f3f09…
10-27 12:30:03	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb7eb42…
10-27 11:48:33	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x01e1cf…
10-27 11:48:11	Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x36cc9c…
10-27 11:47:09	Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1e066c…
10-27 11:44:23	Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka	Mia Ristic	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa92c93…
10-27 11:27:14	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5	Under	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4c2d02…
10-27 11:23:56	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x11adfd…
10-27 11:02:44	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe61a55…
10-27 10:55:57	Guayaquil (Doubles): Arias/Carou vs Camacho/Veliz	Camacho/Veliz	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x4947e5…
10-27 10:52:02	Ratchaburi FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5c1512…
10-27 10:37:05	Will AGS Astéras Trípolis win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcb36bb…
10-27 10:35:48	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8c9901…
10-27 10:35:05	NK Radomlje vs. Mura Murska Sobota: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf1746a…
10-27 10:21:30	Sioux Falls: J.J. Wolf vs Abedallah Shelbayh	Abedallah Shelbayh	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xfd48e4…
10-27 10:20:57	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducks: O/U 181.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8f3eb1…
10-27 10:07:15	Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza	Marjorie Souza	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x30141b…
10-27 10:07:15	Curitiba: Berta Bonardi vs Marjorie Souza	Marjorie Souza	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x16d1a6…
10-27 09:51:57	Zhejiang Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf3694b…
10-27 09:30:21	Spread: Beijing Royal Fighters (-8.5)	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x680942…
10-27 09:13:51	Kyoto Sanga FC to score first vs. Newcastle United Jets?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xc9ae9e…
10-27 09:07:48	Woking FC vs. Boreham Wood FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x32a69c…
10-27 09:05:36	Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x36dc84…
10-27 08:28:35	PFC Cherno More Varna vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa8dded…
10-27 08:28:24	Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons	Jiangsu Dragons	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe56a86…
10-27 08:27:51	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis	KCC Egis	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0113a7…
10-27 08:25:24	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x53b34d…
10-27 08:12:17	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4d16f1…
10-27 07:11:51	Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0023c4…
10-27 07:01:47	Kyoto Sanga FC vs. Newcastle United Jets: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf327ea…
10-27 06:59:35	Set Handicap: Yoana Konstantinova (-1.5) vs Allison Wang (+1.5)	Yoana Konstantinova	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdd56b7…
10-27 06:24:53	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3168e1…
10-27 06:10:12	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x46bf87…
10-27 06:07:59	bkcba qin tia 2026 10 27 spread home 13pt5	Qingdao Eagles	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x45dc4d…
10-27 06:00:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x52539e…
10-27 05:35:38	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa3850f…
10-27 05:32:57	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xd0dddc…
10-27 05:26:00	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis: O/U 173.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb6b030…
10-27 05:26:00	Seoul Knights vs. KCC Egis: O/U 173.5	Over	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xa55ae6…
10-27 04:56:36	Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Kings	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4ce783…
10-27 04:53:06	Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6f4090…
10-27 04:49:18	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2af052…
10-27 04:45:53	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbb62c2…
10-27 04:27:29	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	LEGION	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x70d19b…
10-27 04:16:47	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x341080…
10-27 04:00:39	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x223b10…
10-27 04:00:21	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xe0e507…
10-27 03:55:03	Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7a6fb8…
10-27 03:55:03	Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f8e68…
10-27 02:58:36	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x8ad582…
10-27 02:56:33	Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3769f5…
10-27 01:58:48	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xce9b10…
10-27 01:57:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc88d95…
10-26 22:07:06	W75 Glasgow: Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley	Kate Gardiner	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd9c2fb…
10-26 22:03:29	W75 Glasgow: Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley	Kate Gardiner	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x948241…
10-26 21:56:05	W75 Glasgow: Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley	Kate Gardiner	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1b9044…
10-26 21:55:57	W75 Glasgow: Kate Gardiner vs Fiona Crawley	Kate Gardiner	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x545709…
10-26 21:55:53	W75 Glasgow: Lois Newberry vs Mona Barthel	Lois Newberry	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1442ed…
10-26 21:51:38	W75 Glasgow: Lois Newberry vs Mona Barthel	Lois Newberry	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x500e9a…
10-26 18:41:02	Spread: Hornets (-5.5)	Wizards	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x348d02…
10-26 18:36:21	azec sab zir 2026 10 27 sab	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x48e627…
10-26 15:48:42	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf62381…
10-26 15:22:21	Spread: Heat (-5.5)	Heat	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x42f0de…
10-26 15:04:35	Spread: SPD Radnicki Kragujevac (-2.5)	SPD Radnicki Kragujevac	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x44acde…
10-26 12:40:38	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x2eecc1…
10-26 11:09:32	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xaaa545…