Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.4%

Resolved

174

Trades

2,315

lifetime

Volume

$6.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-27 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

60% 29% -$37

Other

29% 22% -$92

Sports

6% 21% -$16

Tech

3% 50% -$3

Crypto

2% 22% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	89	$299	479	479	+0	No	-$1	04-24 23:45
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	79	$270	237	237	+0	Yes	$0	03-15 22:28
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	99	$269	707	695	+12	No	-$1	03-15 22:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	74	$261	517	517	+0	No	-$3	04-23 11:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	73	$249	356	356	+0	No	+$3	04-25 16:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	76	$242	301	301	+0	No	+$2	04-25 22:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	67	$218	296	296	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 19:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	71	$214	236	243	-8	Yes	+$3	04-09 22:34
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	46	$209	137	137	+0	Yes	+$0	03-20 20:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	76	$192	194	177	+17	Yes	+$4	04-09 12:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	61	$187	295	276	+19	No	-$2	04-25 16:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	55	$131	216	214	+2	No	-$1	04-25 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	24	$126	133	133	-0	Yes	-$1	03-27 04:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	47	$103	286	278	+9	No	-$2	04-25 16:23
will trump visit china by march 31	35	$95	131	131	+0	No	+$1	03-16 12:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	25	$93	138	138	+0	No	-$2	04-25 17:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	48	$92	347	347	+0	No	+$0	04-24 21:38
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	36	$80	182	181	+2	No	-$1	03-20 19:17
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	15	$65	66	66	+0	No	$0	04-25 17:56
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	16	$65	66	66	+0	No	-$1	04-23 11:15
nba hou min 2026 03 25	9	$63	116	116	+0	Timberwolves	-$8	03-26 04:02
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	14	$59	57	57	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 18:07
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	21	$59	116	102	+14	No	-$5	04-09 22:34
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	20	$56	86	86	+0	No	+$1	03-15 20:59
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	27	$56	109	109	+0	No	-$1	04-09 22:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	30	$52	299	255	+44	No	-$1	04-24 22:25
lib gar fla 2026 04 08 btts	28	$51	69	64	+5	No	-$18	04-09 02:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	24	$51	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-25 20:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$50	55	55	+0	No	+$0	04-24 18:32
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	15	$49	260	233	+28	Yes	-$1	04-23 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:33:50	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x9be372…
10-27 04:36:57	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x140961…
10-27 01:11:05	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x918753…
10-27 01:11:05	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x1b45d9…
10-27 01:11:03	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x2ef10a…
10-27 00:34:20	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x01937d…
10-27 00:17:56	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xae5028…
10-27 00:16:45	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x921c93…
10-27 00:16:26	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xb3d297…
10-27 00:16:20	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xbec280…
10-27 00:11:44	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x9180d6…
10-27 00:02:21	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x72575d…
10-26 23:56:17	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x5d983d…
10-26 23:23:54	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x91fbd0…
10-26 23:23:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0x8f6eea…
10-26 23:01:48	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x7dd527…
10-26 23:00:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x68eae8…
10-26 22:54:48	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x52e621…
10-26 22:53:57	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$2	0x003c05…
10-26 22:47:47	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xa6bbfc…
10-26 21:36:14	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0xffc404…
10-26 21:36:14	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xeec00c…
10-26 21:36:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x382e3f…
10-26 21:15:03	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0x678e14…
10-26 20:53:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xbee6fc…
10-26 20:38:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xff6fde…
10-26 20:36:39	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x3e2482…
10-26 20:35:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xa3e828…
10-26 20:35:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x40b966…
10-26 19:48:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xfceb47…
10-26 19:48:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xe955d0…
10-26 19:48:54	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x5c69d7…
10-26 19:10:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x6fdbcf…
10-26 19:10:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x20fb23…
10-26 19:09:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x07b172…
10-26 18:35:02	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x1b1e6c…
10-26 18:01:44	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x101765…
10-26 17:31:39	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xf5f8b9…
10-26 17:29:54	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$2	0xa8ea2e…
10-26 17:11:02	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$2	0x2b3cb3…
10-26 17:01:15	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xcadfd2…
10-26 16:57:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x7066b1…
10-26 16:56:14	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xff40b2…
10-26 16:53:35	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0xaf3893…
10-26 16:14:29	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xb8f642…
10-26 15:00:48	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x19920c…
10-26 14:27:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$2	0x866182…
10-26 14:27:05	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x93e4d0…
10-26 14:27:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0x8a15ad…
10-26 14:27:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x30efbd…
10-26 14:04:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x7df5d8…
10-26 13:58:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x1e3e97…
10-26 13:44:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0xcdfa37…
10-26 13:39:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x0d45b3…
10-26 13:39:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0xcf2446…
10-26 13:31:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x1bce5a…
10-26 13:27:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0xa3e992…
10-26 13:19:14	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xeb3b93…
10-26 13:14:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4f54d3…
10-26 12:25:17	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0xe7801d…
10-26 12:25:15	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x9bc9a2…
10-26 12:25:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x9b3c82…
10-26 12:25:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x718ab0…
10-26 12:25:14	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x21163f…
10-26 11:47:27	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xd08bf2…
10-26 11:46:20	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1880fb…
10-26 11:28:23	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x8c46fb…
10-26 11:24:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x4a6a0f…
10-26 11:17:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3ff899…
10-26 11:15:35	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x0eb3dd…
10-26 11:13:30	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x2d3eaa…
10-26 10:37:56	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xd53ed3…
10-26 10:37:54	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	15¢	$10	0xea5f12…
10-26 10:37:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x263674…
10-26 10:37:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x227622…
10-26 10:15:26	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x4df6a9…
10-26 10:11:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x09fb16…
10-26 10:08:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x9736f8…
10-26 09:59:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x628ba0…
10-26 09:44:08	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x424dcc…
10-26 09:34:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x6e8531…
10-26 09:24:02	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x4b133f…
10-26 09:23:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0xeceda8…
10-26 09:23:05	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x122dcf…
10-26 09:22:59	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x59dc43…
10-26 08:50:29	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x328e5e…
10-26 07:55:53	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x662f02…
10-26 07:01:44	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xeb6cc5…
10-26 06:46:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x5e8eba…
10-26 05:14:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xad8dd0…
10-26 05:14:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x987a96…
10-26 05:14:23	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x586fc7…
10-26 04:13:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x09414d…
10-26 04:03:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcd53b0…
10-26 00:22:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x720c55…
10-26 00:22:14	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0xa93a21…
10-26 00:22:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x9228e4…
10-25 23:53:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x664c6e…
10-25 23:52:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x74df24…
10-25 23:52:32	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x61cd4c…