Merry-Defendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

5,649

Trades

18,591

lifetime

Volume

$65.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-10 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 49% -$1,730

Other

6% 46% -$262

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 1819 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	196	$464	909	0	+909	Down	-$10	10-10 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:30 UTC	45	$348	613	0	+613	Down	-$35	08-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	99	$341	662	0	+662	Down	-$8	10-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	75	$322	327	258	+68	Down	-$3	09-09 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:40 UTC	50	$295	554	0	+554	Up	-$18	08-10 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	87	$263	493	0	+493	Down	-$9	10-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	78	$255	467	0	+467	Down	-$18	10-05 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:20 UTC	42	$255	451	0	+451	Down	-$17	08-10 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	118	$248	523	0	+523	Down	+$1	09-23 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC	73	$240	461	0	+461	Up	-$8	10-05 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	117	$239	529	0	+529	Up	+$8	09-23 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	57	$232	396	0	+396	Down	-$22	10-04 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	89	$228	414	0	+414	Up	-$21	10-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	58	$218	405	0	+405	Down	-$8	10-08 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	37	$214	363	0	+363	Down	-$18	10-02 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	92	$208	408	0	+408	Up	-$8	09-23 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:30 UTC	31	$204	365	0	+365	Up	-$26	08-10 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:35 UTC	37	$204	381	0	+381	Down	+$15	08-10 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-23 15:00 UTC	99	$198	418	0	+418	Up	+$12	09-23 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	37	$194	390	0	+390	Down	-$15	09-09 09:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:00 UTC	46	$189	554	0	+554	Up	-$43	08-13 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:50 UTC	39	$181	282	0	+282	Down	-$1	08-14 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	88	$181	370	0	+370	Up	-$16	09-23 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:35 UTC	22	$179	298	0	+298	Down	-$14	08-11 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:55 UTC	28	$178	319	0	+319	Down	-$5	09-28 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	25	$169	298	0	+298	Down	-$15	08-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	70	$160	320	0	+320	Up	-$15	10-10 01:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:35 UTC	64	$156	297	0	+297	Down	-$11	09-28 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	67	$156	303	0	+303	Down	-$10	09-23 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:10 UTC	33	$155	308	0	+308	Down	-$17	08-10 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 02:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1cac30…
10-10 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c6055…
10-10 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x506ae2…
10-10 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x861491…
10-10 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x529be8…
10-10 02:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c8eff…
10-10 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfe2fb9…
10-10 02:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x195c4b…
10-10 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd2ca60…
10-10 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0xb1feec…
10-10 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xadb7f9…
10-10 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x57e8eb…
10-10 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc4ad61…
10-10 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4c6700…
10-10 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x389318…
10-10 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbe66d7…
10-10 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5b9801…
10-10 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x478348…
10-10 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3a39e0…
10-10 02:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x86d4e8…
10-10 02:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4837ac…
10-10 02:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0f413f…
10-10 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x72e85c…
10-10 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x71bddd…
10-10 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3b4e95…
10-10 02:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x062770…
10-10 02:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x607219…
10-10 02:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x90073e…
10-10 02:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x46157e…
10-10 02:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b20e7…
10-10 02:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd1fe4d…
10-10 02:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc698f8…
10-10 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x362429…
10-10 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfd7dc7…
10-10 02:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0c1eed…
10-10 02:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x36eaec…
10-10 02:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x206144…
10-10 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce32e9…
10-10 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x20f22f…
10-10 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1c1026…
10-10 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10048d…
10-10 02:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x07cf70…
10-10 02:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2ad006…
10-10 02:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x71ffa5…
10-10 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf2c7e9…
10-10 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x85a63a…
10-10 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x69ddd4…
10-10 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc88627…
10-10 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x58fd08…
10-10 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5c6048…
10-10 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x56cc78…
10-10 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf0d71c…
10-10 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe9d497…
10-10 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x79cb1c…
10-10 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5c2600…
10-10 02:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x948324…
10-10 02:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9d7df0…
10-10 02:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4fd2ed…
10-10 02:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x256887…
10-10 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x75763e…
10-10 02:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc0a70b…
10-10 02:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x00740a…
10-10 02:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x372e71…
10-10 02:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2c71ba…
10-10 02:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xc5e0e4…
10-10 02:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x811d36…
10-10 02:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc3c487…
10-10 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe77c59…
10-10 02:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4b37af…
10-10 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5fb5b0…
10-10 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5bf88b…
10-10 02:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfc7f05…
10-10 02:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x79c1cd…
10-10 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbc782b…
10-10 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9a1bdd…
10-10 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x89c698…
10-10 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6c9b29…
10-10 02:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x642e47…
10-10 02:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbfb193…
10-10 02:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x107c00…
10-10 02:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xea79ea…
10-10 02:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5af3f3…
10-10 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7d686a…
10-10 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x78748f…
10-10 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2ca61a…
10-10 02:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfc534b…
10-10 02:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x935f8a…
10-10 02:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf386fb…
10-10 02:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x496ede…
10-10 02:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf86670…
10-10 02:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x956f86…
10-10 02:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xacbe1b…
10-10 02:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbc8478…
10-10 02:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x393a33…
10-10 02:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd3d216…
10-10 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe415ba…
10-10 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc01803…
10-10 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa2feb7…
10-10 02:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0091a9…
10-10 02:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xec97dc…