Outlying-Med — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$321

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

654

Trades

1,526

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-31 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

37% 44% -$306

Crypto

35% 54% +$57

Sports

28% 44% -$69

Politics

0% 0% —

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bkcba qin zhe2 2026 03 28	4	$1.1K	1,150	746	+404	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	-$75	03-28 13:56
nba chi mem 2026 03 28	7	$1.1K	799	799	+0	Grizzlies	+$253	03-29 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:10 UTC	8	$834	988	988	+0	Down	+$84	07-11 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	9	$810	892	892	+0	Up	+$110	07-11 02:48
atp houkes gaubas 2026 03 25	4	$726	627	627	+0	Max Houkes	+$526	03-26 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:45 UTC	10	$653	3,237	3,237	+0	Down	-$147	07-10 23:49
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 geo	3	$600	1,310	0	+1,310	Yes	-$600	03-29 08:30
nba dal por 2026 03 27	2	$572	476	476	+0	Mavericks	+$372	03-28 04:26
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	3	$531	341	341	+0	Lakers	+$151	03-22 03:32
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$493	353	353	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$133	05-19 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:05 UTC	4	$492	702	702	+0	Down	+$42	07-11 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:50 UTC	7	$490	587	476	+111	Up	+$30	07-10 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:55 UTC	12	$477	768	524	+244	Down	+$67	07-10 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:50 UTC	14	$470	528	528	+0	Up	+$140	07-10 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:25 UTC	4	$424	647	367	+280	Up	-$26	07-11 02:26
fif civ kor1 2026 03 28 kor1	5	$415	628	0	+628	No	+$213	03-28 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC	5	$407	518	518	+0	Down	-$3	07-11 00:03
nba nop det 2026 03 26	3	$381	231	231	+0	Pistons	+$81	03-27 01:33
atp forti kopriva 2026 03 24	4	$374	237	237	+0	Francesco Forti	+$98	03-24 10:56
nba lal mia 2026 03 19	3	$366	256	256	+0	Lakers	+$146	03-20 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:45 UTC	16	$364	365	365	+0	Down	+$54	07-10 22:49
nhl sj cbj 2026 03 28	2	$359	251	251	+0	Sharks	+$143	03-29 00:45
atp ofner busta 2026 03 28	3	$355	506	238	+268	Pablo Carreno Busta	-$145	03-28 11:48
atp borges dzumhur 2026 04 01	3	$346	219	216	+3	Damir Dzumhur	+$88	04-01 13:38
bkcba fuj qin 2026 03 23	3	$342	227	227	+0	Fujian Sturgeons	+$112	03-23 13:26
cs2 mzp unity 2026 03 23	4	$339	221	221	+0	Metizport	+$103	03-23 13:57
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$334	691	131	+560	Spurs	-$272	05-19 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:55 UTC	7	$331	426	372	+54	Up	+$65	07-10 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:30 UTC	2	$328	456	456	+0	Up	+$128	07-10 23:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:30 UTC	5	$313	531	530	+0	Up	+$13	07-11 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x531ddd…
10-31 22:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x8a6f6d…
10-31 22:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x0887fa…
10-31 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x334c5b…
10-31 22:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xb2f3ff…
10-31 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xd1ade2…
10-31 22:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc05cab…
10-31 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86c68f…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x70cc98…
10-31 22:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5ff10f…
10-31 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x180714…
10-31 22:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x0b691a…
10-31 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x859632…
10-31 22:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xf3ed60…
10-31 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3162e4…
10-31 22:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd4e4e2…
10-31 22:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaf1b70…
10-31 22:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x2d54c8…
10-31 22:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb1b9e3…
10-31 22:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	41¢	$8	0x4cb0e2…
10-31 22:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x88710e…
10-31 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0a9f4f…
10-31 20:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x7882f4…
10-31 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x306e58…
10-31 20:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd0e025…
10-31 20:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x5aaccd…
10-31 20:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x520fba…
10-31 20:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0xbcccaa…
10-31 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x65fb5f…
10-31 20:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	39	92¢	$36	0x0b13c6…
10-31 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2aa14d…
10-31 20:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	11¢	$5	0x5b5e2b…
10-31 20:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6d3bb1…
10-31 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0xdbf2ff…
10-31 20:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8b2ee9…
10-31 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x9e5b58…
10-31 20:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x010c59…
10-31 20:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xd42b46…
10-31 20:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf015d0…
10-31 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x602adf…
10-31 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x834e58…
10-31 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xbde1d7…
10-31 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x2c5078…
10-31 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xa0fd4a…
10-31 20:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xe4a39e…
10-31 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x9dcbbf…
10-31 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x10281d…
10-31 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x08c412…
10-31 20:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1faaf5…
10-31 20:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	61	34¢	$21	0x871286…
10-31 20:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xde36e8…
10-31 20:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	52	57¢	$30	0xb78884…
10-31 20:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4c7475…
10-31 20:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcddea4…
10-31 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xac4a06…
10-31 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0x51aae9…
10-31 19:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xc5701d…
10-31 19:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x7e7d83…
10-31 19:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x3b784b…
10-31 19:51:12	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf2227d…
10-31 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x88047d…
10-31 19:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x354e6d…
10-31 19:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xfabddc…
10-31 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x611f7a…
10-31 19:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1431a2…
10-31 19:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x405c19…
10-29 06:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6ecb1a…
10-29 06:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6200ff…
10-29 06:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x750dc8…
10-29 06:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc2c82d…
10-29 06:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x97d0d0…
10-29 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xda438e…
10-29 06:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	984	1¢	$5	0x4d4242…
10-29 06:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xabd3c0…
10-29 06:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xee3e59…
10-29 06:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf25a5c…
10-29 06:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa91869…
10-28 20:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xacc772…
10-22 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x44635b…
10-22 03:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x2479ed…
10-22 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7eaa0a…
10-22 03:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd54738…
10-22 03:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	51¢	$21	0x6c523b…
10-22 03:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x4a7210…
10-22 03:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$34	0xccf7af…
10-22 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xec7449…
10-22 03:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xefb79a…
10-22 03:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x16c534…
10-22 03:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0x6ffcef…
10-22 03:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x085bbf…
10-22 03:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5bd3e3…
10-22 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	45	86¢	$38	0xbc3194…
10-22 03:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x11c207…
10-22 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x163f7d…
10-22 03:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0x8e17aa…
10-22 03:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x9800e9…
10-22 03:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0xdcc027…
10-22 03:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9020a3…
10-22 03:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf5e8c6…
10-22 03:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	68	87¢	$60	0x020345…