Sandy-Diaphragm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-01 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

68% 38% -$866

Other

27% 29% -$243

Crypto

3% 100% +$18

Sports

2% 67% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$10	4¢	$4	-$6	07-05 04:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike a gulf state on march 4	44	$847	4,136	0	+4,136	Yes	-$847	03-08 00:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	7	$420	428	306	+121	No	+$15	06-09 22:10
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	2	$367	278	278	+0	No	-$33	05-19 15:12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	5	$215	1,002	1,002	+0	No	-$45	06-08 03:12
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$191	428	428	+0	Yes	+$40	06-07 22:19
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	5	$142	4,677	0	+4,677	Yes	-$142	03-09 01:19
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	4	$126	250	250	+0	No	+$34	07-22 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$98	134	134	+0	No	+$18	06-01 15:21
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 46 47f	6	$78	3,799	0	+3,799	No	-$78	03-09 01:46
iran closes its airspace by june 15	7	$74	2,381	159	+2,222	Yes	+$30	06-08 09:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	2	$68	136	136	+0	Yes	+$8	07-22 15:17
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	9	$47	68	40	+28	Yes	+$4	06-15 23:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	4	$47	260	260	+0	No	-$33	06-15 23:22
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	2	$44	122	122	+0	No	+$6	05-14 15:25
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	4	$40	183	183	+0	No	+$4	07-30 14:46
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	2	$36	25	25	+0	No	-$4	07-30 18:56
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	2	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$16	07-14 08:45
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	2	$27	20	20	+0	cancelled	+$0	06-05 14:28
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	3	$27	86	86	+0	open	—	07-25 08:35
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$27	37	37	+0	Knicks	+$7	06-06 02:09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	5	$24	53	53	+0	Yes	+$4	06-03 10:21
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	2	$24	20	20	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$0	06-04 16:04
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	2	$21	29	29	+0	No	+$18	07-13 11:35
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	1	$20	50	0	+50	Yes	-$20	09-01 12:26
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	3	$20	393	0	+393	No	-$20	07-22 15:22
israel closes its airspace by august 31	1	$20	83	0	+83	No	-$20	07-16 11:30
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	3	$20	77	0	+77	No	-$20	07-07 22:02
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 1 week?	3	$19	80	80	+0	No	-$5	05-19 16:51
iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	2	$19	16	16	+0	No	-$1	07-13 19:26
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	2	$19	18	18	+0	open	—	07-22 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 12:26:04	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xb0fc61…
07-30 18:56:42	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0xcd2121…
07-30 15:55:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0x47c932…
07-30 15:03:20	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x6a846e…
07-30 14:46:30	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x2e0c24…
07-25 08:35:03	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x8e85d6…
07-25 08:34:18	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	20¢	$17	0x1213b5…
07-24 05:11:09	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xd09185…
07-24 05:11:07	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd6a1a9…
07-24 04:10:06	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe52d34…
07-23 18:00:34	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf256ac…
07-23 17:53:09	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x7eec22…
07-23 16:19:51	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x1e920b…
07-22 15:39:33	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x34cdbc…
07-22 15:39:00	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7aa84a…
07-22 15:38:58	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfe4fb2…
07-22 15:22:06	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x18efc0…
07-22 15:17:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	136	28¢	$38	0xd1de27…
07-22 10:59:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xe1b7b3…
07-22 10:57:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x985d36…
07-22 10:26:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x57ea2b…
07-22 10:09:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	250	32¢	$80	0x633be8…
07-20 18:40:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x27ce48…
07-20 18:19:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd5985b…
07-19 21:59:48	Argentina to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x00edcd…
07-19 21:59:33	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x213328…
07-19 19:09:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbe936e…
07-19 19:07:36	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb6885f…
07-17 17:28:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	135	15¢	$21	0xcaeb3e…
07-17 09:02:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x077375…
07-16 11:30:44	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd227d3…
07-16 11:28:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x883a99…
07-16 11:27:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0ae698…
07-15 23:48:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc24591…
07-15 17:00:29	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x5ef50c…
07-14 09:52:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	204	6¢	$13	0x0e72dd…
07-14 09:32:07	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x637896…
07-14 09:12:34	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc332c0…
07-14 08:45:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x31a6fa…
07-13 19:26:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x0e7002…
07-13 13:29:40	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0xe1800c…
07-13 11:53:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x5e3b10…
07-13 11:35:59	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0x3b5afb…
07-13 10:55:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef3f31…
07-13 09:50:08	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x4ce624…
07-13 09:49:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x7467d4…
07-13 09:42:58	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x23f542…
07-12 15:42:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xbce727…
07-07 22:09:23	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3b02cd…
07-07 22:02:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf1fe35…
07-07 21:58:47	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xcb59b0…
07-07 21:57:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8738f4…
07-07 21:24:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0xa9fe63…
07-05 04:53:38	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	10¢	$9	0xba03de…
07-04 09:23:04	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x635da8…
07-03 02:09:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7b650f…
07-02 23:14:34	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x5975e7…
07-02 23:09:05	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfbbc27…
06-15 23:23:22	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xd74644…
06-15 23:22:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	260	3¢	$7	0x47ca45…
06-15 23:21:57	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x8dba11…
06-09 22:10:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x2bdb85…
06-09 21:41:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x37ca18…
06-09 17:46:15	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x67654f…
06-09 17:46:09	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x8cac78…
06-09 17:44:54	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xd0d904…
06-09 17:41:07	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x39e9ef…
06-09 17:40:48	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1f2d17…
06-09 17:40:37	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x99f9d5…
06-09 17:40:36	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xcf7a43…
06-08 13:42:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x7a661a…
06-08 11:30:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x9f26bd…
06-08 09:58:16	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	2,222	0¢	$2	0x6a8881…
06-08 09:44:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x2cf66d…
06-08 04:03:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	306	71¢	$217	0x70b1fb…
06-08 03:15:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xbd3002…
06-08 03:15:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	92	51¢	$47	0xc87455…
06-08 03:15:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x5cca13…
06-08 03:12:16	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	971	8¢	$81	0x48033a…
06-08 02:53:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x1ef48f…
06-08 02:31:25	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xb70135…
06-07 22:19:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	305	4¢	$11	0xdcbafc…
06-07 22:06:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8d30e0…
06-07 21:58:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1a05de…
06-07 21:58:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	94	6¢	$5	0x1980da…
06-07 21:52:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x19d1a1…
06-07 21:51:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe75025…
06-07 20:50:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	123	85¢	$105	0x1fe8e6…
06-07 20:20:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0xaf7f0b…
06-07 20:19:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc4b7ed…
06-07 20:19:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0x826631…
06-07 20:03:10	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	760	13¢	$100	0xac9ef2…
06-07 19:58:04	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xcdcb29…
06-07 19:54:18	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x6b35cd…
06-07 19:03:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xb31da6…
06-07 19:03:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x7a3857…
06-06 12:53:46	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x39a465…
06-06 02:09:39	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0x20b50c…
06-06 00:57:30	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbb0c94…
06-05 14:28:03	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x24dfaa…