Foolish-Stain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

297

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	11-08 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 5?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:27
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:28
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:38
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:27
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:39
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 13:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8104c7…
11-07 11:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2e9d6…
11-06 06:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x734718…
11-04 02:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa66322…
11-03 16:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37d49e…
11-02 14:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x891f5b…
11-01 10:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f0bed…
10-31 15:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x015008…
10-30 14:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc1ece…
10-29 17:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb98f9…
10-29 09:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1719f…
10-28 07:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633a56…
10-27 08:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0bc2b…
10-26 09:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9b0d5…
10-24 11:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x870aff…
10-22 10:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf43df1…
10-20 07:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91f3f4…
10-19 09:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1506dd…
10-18 09:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x299f64…
10-17 15:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb61bd0…
10-16 09:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bb1b7…
10-15 09:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99e31d…
10-14 09:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb017e5…
10-13 14:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc25b1…
10-13 09:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef0f9a…
10-12 09:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7fb7…
10-11 08:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x346de5…
10-08 09:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1836…
10-07 15:22:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a1a3…
10-06 08:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59a096…
10-05 01:56:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x955a91…
10-03 08:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x438d1c…
10-02 11:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63e711…
10-01 08:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd59991…
09-30 12:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc479e8…
09-29 14:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf39f85…
09-28 09:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe74ad0…
09-27 08:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x967898…
09-25 12:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x112d10…
09-24 08:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x885147…
09-23 07:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cbfd2…
09-22 08:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d5201…
09-21 09:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd66986…
09-20 05:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51f135…
09-19 08:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c4142…
09-18 06:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54a922…
09-17 04:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd11582…
09-16 08:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x566f24…
09-15 09:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc083a…
09-14 08:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x288fb2…
09-12 16:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1d982…
09-11 07:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b1b6e…
09-10 08:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19752…
09-09 09:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a0293…
09-08 15:38:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02eab2…
09-08 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe2818…
09-07 08:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa09b89…
09-06 17:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x358688…
09-06 09:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebce51…
09-05 01:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb30455…
09-03 15:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21d8af…
09-02 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9eec93…
08-30 09:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce1745…
08-29 09:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x662b7a…
08-28 08:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x719f8c…
08-27 08:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12c355…
08-26 08:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32f4b8…
08-25 09:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6a113…
08-24 10:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30b55c…
08-23 14:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01e57d…
08-22 08:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb0479…
08-21 07:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a91fc…
08-20 08:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22ec12…
08-19 11:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9001d6…
08-18 08:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6707c7…
08-17 07:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb90ae…
08-16 11:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0250c2…
08-15 09:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc3c6f…
08-14 06:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeece20…
08-13 08:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc080c1…
08-12 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14bb09…
08-11 06:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecfa9b…
08-10 07:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4643e6…
08-09 01:25:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4e411…
08-08 07:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65f950…
08-07 01:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35b62d…
08-06 06:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19d7b…
08-05 07:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47e17e…
08-04 08:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde8355…
08-03 07:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebf1d8…
08-02 01:42:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fbd9c…
08-01 07:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21a13e…
07-31 13:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec7eb1…
07-30 06:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd18b8…
07-29 07:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ffa5b…
07-28 06:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa86728…
07-27 08:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3283b8…
07-26 07:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76b7a2…
07-25 08:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc909dd…
07-24 10:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x887434…