Piercing-Macaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$602

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

511

Trades

1,473

lifetime

Volume

$91.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-19 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% $-602

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$1.3K	781	781	+0	open	—	05-14 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$1.1K	679	679	+0	open	—	05-14 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$1.0K	630	630	+0	Down	+$25	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$852	506	506	+0	Up	+$36	05-13 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$756	454	454	+0	Up	+$74	05-13 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$746	391	391	+0	Up	+$28	05-13 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$672	359	359	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$654	372	372	+0	open	—	05-14 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$651	398	398	+0	Up	+$38	05-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$650	360	360	+0	Down	+$33	05-12 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$649	773	0	+773	Up	$-114	05-13 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$638	350	350	+0	open	—	05-14 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$636	348	348	+0	open	—	05-14 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$634	359	359	+0	open	—	05-15 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$626	329	329	+0	open	—	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$621	335	335	+0	Up	+$21	05-13 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$600	326	326	+0	open	—	05-15 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$589	355	355	+0	open	—	05-14 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$588	355	332	+23	open	—	05-14 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$588	332	332	+0	Up	+$46	05-13 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$568	304	304	+0	open	—	05-14 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$565	370	370	+0	Up	+$41	05-13 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$546	289	289	+0	Down	+$22	05-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$530	354	354	+0	open	—	05-14 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$523	307	287	+20	open	—	05-14 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$509	285	285	+0	open	—	05-15 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$508	327	327	+0	Down	+$42	05-13 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$502	548	162	+386	Down	$-462	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$468	244	244	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$467	556	0	+556	Down	$-329	05-13 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 07:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x59cf64…
05-19 07:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x561467…
05-19 07:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x118f3f…
05-19 06:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x5db42b…
05-19 06:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xcad750…
05-19 06:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xe85e9a…
05-19 06:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xf494a8…
05-19 06:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xdfcdfb…
05-19 06:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x83e00a…
05-19 06:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0x4d5bd4…
05-19 06:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0c05ab…
05-19 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xb6449e…
05-19 05:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x18ccad…
05-19 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	66¢	$19	0xdf0059…
05-19 05:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x767b33…
05-19 05:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0xf105c3…
05-19 05:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x7bc3db…
05-19 05:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x4d6afc…
05-19 05:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	77¢	$51	0x1e044b…
05-19 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	69	77¢	$53	0xa81b0c…
05-19 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0xe91dce…
05-19 05:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	101	91¢	$92	0x025548…
05-19 05:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x4679b5…
05-19 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x303f82…
05-19 05:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xe904a1…
05-19 04:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x24a003…
05-19 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x7c1e23…
05-18 22:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x383e89…
05-18 22:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xeced58…
05-18 22:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	85	82¢	$69	0x242cb5…
05-18 22:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	85	76¢	$64	0x7a3e01…
05-18 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xbcce36…
05-18 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x1f43e2…
05-18 22:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x4aaf42…
05-18 22:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x8265c2…
05-18 22:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x1ea0e0…
05-18 22:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	210	67¢	$141	0x43d3df…
05-18 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	160	96¢	$153	0x200634…
05-18 22:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	160	88¢	$141	0xa92d15…
05-18 21:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	168	94¢	$158	0x717830…
05-18 21:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	168	84¢	$141	0x2eaff8…
05-18 21:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	84	91¢	$76	0x58b40f…
05-18 21:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x3e2056…
05-18 21:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x1ff5cb…
05-18 21:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x6d9152…
05-18 21:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	59	55¢	$33	0x857f96…
05-18 21:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	69¢	$41	0x58b22f…
05-18 21:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x26ec5f…
05-18 21:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	158	89¢	$141	0xe4c77e…
05-18 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x46b811…
05-18 21:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	59	70¢	$41	0x4050d0…
05-18 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	108	28¢	$31	0x3a5734…
05-18 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	108	38¢	$41	0xdc7548…
05-18 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	48	93¢	$44	0xbfe044…
05-18 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0x08e037…
05-18 20:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x0074d1…
05-18 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	137	95¢	$131	0xbf2bbf…
05-18 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	39	79¢	$31	0xba77e5…
05-18 20:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	48	58¢	$28	0xadad29…
05-18 20:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0xdca1bd…
05-18 20:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	58¢	$41	0x1f0884…
05-18 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xaf6ecd…
05-18 20:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x04b89c…
05-18 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xeeed96…
05-18 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0x0e9e69…
05-18 20:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0x2193f8…
05-18 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	52	78¢	$40	0x70bb82…
05-18 20:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0xa86e5f…
05-18 20:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xb41d4d…
05-18 20:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xc0cad1…
05-18 19:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	151	97¢	$147	0xac762d…
05-18 19:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	151	80¢	$121	0x495062…
05-18 19:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xc8d617…
05-18 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xc4aa97…
05-16 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	136	93¢	$126	0xf3b9d7…
05-16 18:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbfee4f…
05-16 18:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x660baa…
05-16 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8a70b3…
05-16 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc938b0…
05-16 18:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x63d9df…
05-16 18:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x23774f…
05-16 18:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x77b4b8…
05-16 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1d226c…
05-16 18:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xff53cc…
05-16 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd8e037…
05-16 17:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b8d50…
05-16 17:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb7934a…
05-16 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7e76b9…
05-16 17:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x97c401…
05-16 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0x389023…
05-16 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	166	85¢	$141	0xe57ae4…
05-16 17:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x603a9e…
05-16 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x26504c…
05-16 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x396b02…
05-16 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5f59fe…
05-16 17:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x39ddd8…
05-16 17:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0xd9553c…
05-16 17:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe253e4…
05-16 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	207	68¢	$141	0x5fbe2a…
05-16 16:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xca92c6…