Grand-Yak — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

4,322 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$30.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-05 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% +$24

Other

1% 50% +$2

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 05:25 UTC	5	$831	469	462	+7	Up	+$14	02-24 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 08:55 UTC	4	$465	250	250	+0	Down	+$1	02-26 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 05:15 UTC	2	$402	204	204	+0	Down	+$2	02-24 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:45 UTC	4	$255	170	168	+1	Down	-$17	02-19 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 08:25 UTC	5	$227	124	123	+1	Up	+$18	02-21 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 08:15 UTC	5	$212	121	121	+0	Up	+$3	02-21 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:55 UTC	5	$210	142	140	+2	Down	+$69	02-20 15:00
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	2	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	02-22 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 08:00 UTC	4	$190	111	110	+1	Up	+$16	02-21 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 08:20 UTC	4	$184	115	114	+1	Up	+$31	02-21 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:35 UTC	6	$172	108	107	+1	Up	-$4	02-21 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:10 UTC	11	$170	128	127	+1	Down	+$0	03-27 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:45 UTC	3	$169	96	95	+1	Down	+$21	02-28 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:55 UTC	8	$164	195	193	+2	Down	-$1	03-29 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 08:30 UTC	6	$158	96	95	+1	Up	+$30	02-21 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:40 UTC	8	$157	154	151	+3	Up	+$1	03-30 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:40 UTC	6	$155	95	95	+0	Down	+$6	02-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:40 UTC	5	$146	83	83	+1	Down	+$16	02-19 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 05:35 UTC	2	$136	69	69	+0	Up	+$1	02-28 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 03:35 UTC	5	$133	79	79	+0	Down	+$8	02-28 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:15 UTC	3	$133	77	76	+1	Up	+$18	02-21 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:30 UTC	6	$133	77	77	+0	Up	+$6	02-21 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:35 UTC	8	$133	154	152	+2	Down	+$3	03-29 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 03:25 UTC	4	$130	70	70	+0	Down	-$8	02-28 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:25 UTC	10	$128	131	130	+2	Up	+$10	03-29 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:05 UTC	3	$127	69	69	+0	Up	+$9	02-21 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:35 UTC	8	$127	99	98	+1	Up	+$10	03-29 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:45 UTC	7	$124	122	120	+2	Up	+$6	03-29 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:50 UTC	5	$124	73	72	+1	Up	+$20	02-20 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:25 UTC	4	$122	68	68	+0	Down	+$12	02-27 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 06:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x7cf08b…
07-05 06:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc57701…
07-05 05:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xd06c57…
07-05 05:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x1cfde3…
07-05 05:40:23	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x41b18f…
07-05 05:37:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x56901d…
07-05 05:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0xaa2166…
07-05 05:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x0f336c…
07-04 13:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	SELL	55	55¢	$30	0xacd237…
07-04 12:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x8d6cf5…
07-04 12:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3921ac…
07-04 12:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xd4df40…
07-04 12:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbfa041…
07-04 12:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xfb4807…
07-04 12:02:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	37	24¢	$9	0x55af3d…
07-04 12:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x814ac3…
07-04 12:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x218e45…
06-07 04:26:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xb38a44…
06-07 04:19:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7a998d…
06-07 04:14:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe505c1…
06-07 04:05:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x618653…
06-07 03:20:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a4792…
06-06 10:07:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59dc22…
06-06 09:50:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc37393…
06-01 02:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xaf70a1…
06-01 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x4875fc…
06-01 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x4313f5…
06-01 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xab6611…
06-01 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70d26e…
06-01 02:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0dde19…
06-01 02:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x71746b…
06-01 02:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x74f612…
06-01 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e52c5…
06-01 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x8be229…
06-01 02:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe80a5b…
06-01 02:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x2aebf3…
06-01 02:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x489bd3…
06-01 02:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x5a0c91…
06-01 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x3774e5…
06-01 02:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x067a68…
05-29 08:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x52239f…
05-29 08:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x140ef7…
05-29 08:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x33f3c0…
05-29 08:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x1d9304…
05-29 08:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc2d4cd…
05-29 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaefa66…
05-29 08:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6fe924…
05-29 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x82decd…
05-29 08:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe7ca97…
05-29 08:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x04f7ff…
05-29 08:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x489783…
05-29 08:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xd4ec7b…
05-29 08:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xab693b…
05-29 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x2a4c39…
05-29 07:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x621c69…
05-29 07:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe1de5e…
05-29 07:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5d927e…
05-29 07:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x935673…
05-29 07:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa2156f…
05-29 07:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xcfaefe…
05-29 07:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x49b044…
05-29 07:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc477e0…
05-29 07:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xfe7dbd…
05-29 07:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa952d8…
05-29 07:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x181f18…
05-29 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xe0d10d…
05-29 07:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x65624a…
05-29 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x928468…
05-29 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf71ae5…
05-29 07:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xce3cf2…
05-29 07:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x461dc4…
05-29 07:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x71349f…
05-29 07:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe93547…
05-29 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x64838f…
05-29 07:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7e085c…
05-29 06:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x31c3b7…
05-29 06:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x862cb0…
05-29 06:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x5358ce…
05-29 06:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6ad2ec…
05-29 06:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x3df32a…
05-29 06:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb4f418…
05-29 06:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xa5139a…
05-29 06:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb9b11b…
05-29 06:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x161ffb…
05-29 06:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc80688…
05-29 06:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x8af418…
05-29 06:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb20e87…
05-29 06:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x9d977f…
05-29 06:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x490f56…
05-29 06:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd70bcd…
05-29 05:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x086ff1…
05-29 05:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa7d1b8…
05-29 05:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x0d414b…
05-29 05:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x101d6f…
05-29 05:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x7358d1…
05-29 05:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3bcc27…
05-29 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x8435b5…
05-29 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x13587c…
05-29 05:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x290429…
05-29 05:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xa740b7…