Alienated-Burn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$468

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

3,047

Trades

4,460

lifetime

Volume

$56.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-13 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 92% -$465

Other

10% 97% -$8

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on january 5	17	$225	324	69	+254	Up	+$12	01-05 15:42
solana up or down january 5 5am et	22	$225	192	177	+15	Up	+$24	01-05 10:56
bitcoin up or down january 5 10am et	19	$184	163	147	+15	Up	+$19	01-05 15:49
ethereum up or down january 5 5pm et	20	$177	164	155	+9	Up	+$34	01-05 22:56
bitcoin up or down january 5 6am et	14	$168	177	114	+63	Up	+$52	01-05 11:36
ethereum up or down january 5 12pm et	21	$165	145	140	+6	Up	+$54	01-05 17:45
ethereum up or down january 5 5am et	19	$157	172	158	+15	Up	+$25	01-05 10:56
solana up or down january 5 10pm et	16	$148	132	106	+26	Up	+$33	01-06 03:41
bitcoin up or down january 5 12pm et	13	$147	143	103	+41	Up	-$16	01-05 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:00 UTC	17	$145	136	127	+9	Up	+$35	01-05 12:13
ethereum up or down january 5 9am et	13	$140	163	67	+96	Up	+$73	01-05 14:59
xrp up or down january 5 5am et	14	$138	165	105	+60	Up	-$5	01-05 10:45
solana up or down on january 5	6	$127	205	0	+205	Up	+$78	01-05 11:57
solana up or down january 5 5pm et	14	$124	155	80	+75	Up	-$8	01-05 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:00 UTC	13	$116	135	78	+57	Up	-$21	01-05 14:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 10:30 UTC	12	$115	90	86	+4	Down	+$11	01-05 10:42
solana up or down january 5 12pm et	15	$114	137	104	+34	Up	-$26	01-05 17:45
ethereum up or down january 5 11pm et	11	$113	147	56	+91	Down	-$56	01-06 04:56
ethereum up or down january 5 10pm et	14	$112	184	75	+110	Up	-$4	01-06 03:38
solana up or down january 5 7pm et	11	$112	90	83	+7	Down	-$2	01-06 00:41
ethereum up or down january 5 10am et	13	$111	102	77	+25	Up	+$17	01-05 15:48
xrp up or down january 5 7am et	13	$111	99	80	+19	Down	+$26	01-05 12:54
solana up or down january 5 10am et	13	$111	109	99	+10	Up	+$20	01-05 15:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 11:00 UTC	9	$108	79	76	+3	Down	+$20	01-05 11:13
solana up or down january 5 11pm et	13	$105	129	85	+44	Up	+$5	01-06 04:52
solana up or down january 5 4am et	8	$105	204	0	+204	Up	+$28	01-05 09:52
solana up or down january 5 6pm et	10	$103	82	63	+19	Down	+$20	01-05 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:15 UTC	15	$102	108	104	+4	Up	+$15	01-05 14:29
bitcoin up or down january 5 7pm et	13	$102	143	82	+60	Down	+$25	01-06 00:35
ethereum up or down january 5 6am et	6	$101	163	0	+163	Up	-$101	01-05 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 15:33:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x51e2b8…
08-13 15:33:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0f0ab6…
08-13 15:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7af8cc…
08-13 09:29:21	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdc04c3…
08-03 15:55:48	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xea5c70…
08-03 15:55:45	solana up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x716179…
08-03 15:30:47	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x781244…
08-03 14:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x64c01a…
08-03 11:51:51	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1a241d…
08-03 11:13:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e2f03…
08-03 08:58:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc1b45f…
08-03 03:58:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x738169…
08-02 21:58:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x187689…
08-02 21:58:42	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xf2784b…
08-02 20:28:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf4f6eb…
08-02 20:28:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x602908…
08-02 15:49:26	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf2ba1d…
08-02 15:33:45	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0c9fa6…
08-02 11:14:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x51c455…
08-02 07:54:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe1d105…
08-01 14:28:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb3d130…
08-01 10:28:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xafc3a2…
08-01 07:14:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x53e59f…
08-01 07:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x0a516b…
08-01 05:29:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8f22e8…
08-01 02:55:14	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x7c614a…
08-01 02:43:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4c6e96…
08-01 02:43:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaf9e39…
07-31 23:50:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc3bf31…
07-31 15:57:17	xrp up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdbf25d…
07-31 15:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x017f55…
07-31 15:34:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x03f7d6…
07-31 11:43:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x4e0b0a…
07-31 11:43:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xb31301…
07-31 05:57:56	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4b25c6…
07-30 23:56:15	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c5b9f…
07-30 22:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x685ccc…
07-30 22:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaf8cb8…
07-30 22:44:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x05c7f1…
07-30 20:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x51a25d…
07-30 17:49:41	Solana Up or Down - July 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa5a44f…
07-30 15:31:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x76e051…
07-30 15:31:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xddcefa…
07-30 15:31:23	xrp above 1pt1 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd342d…
07-30 15:31:15	ethereum above 1900 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6a7f5f…
07-30 07:53:48	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-30 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb7034d…
07-30 01:58:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9fae6a…
07-30 01:58:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa0b223…
07-29 18:56:23	ethereum up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x0d0ee1…
07-29 16:43:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdbf0f3…
07-29 16:43:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x085284…
07-29 15:37:42	ethereum up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1636db…
07-29 01:14:29	BNB Up or Down - July 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x96a56b…
07-28 17:28:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xeac129…
07-28 17:28:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x44ea67…
07-28 17:28:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x08cd0b…
07-28 15:56:41	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x9198e6…
07-28 15:56:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3be9a8…
07-28 15:40:50	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xb7edb5…
07-28 14:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xab52e4…
07-28 14:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6285d3…
07-28 06:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4ed08f…
07-28 05:58:52	solana up or down july 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0fd8d8…
07-28 02:29:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xcf1e44…
07-27 22:54:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9a3fe1…
07-27 20:13:58	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x389760…
07-27 15:30:37	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5e7492…
07-27 15:30:33	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xdd100f…
07-27 15:30:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x777ab0…
07-27 15:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb2fd7a…
07-27 14:14:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xfbd866…
07-27 14:14:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa1b67f…
07-27 12:59:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x64d62c…
07-27 12:59:12	ethereum up or down july 27 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc7d878…
07-27 11:28:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8a8485…
07-27 08:58:37	xrp up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2abb24…
07-27 08:29:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff99a5…
07-27 06:58:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xf3461d…
07-27 06:58:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1632a0…
07-27 06:58:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd69aeb…
07-27 05:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a7aec…
07-27 05:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x757a41…
07-27 00:39:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6e69d8…
07-26 15:50:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x28a10d…
07-26 15:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0edd11…
07-26 15:35:39	ethereum above 1900 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8b7e44…
07-26 12:28:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe87370…
07-26 12:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5383d1…
07-26 11:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x300ee2…
07-26 00:13:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1302d…
07-25 15:48:57	solana up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb97372…
07-25 15:34:01	ethereum up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2487ab…
07-25 15:33:58	bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x069580…
07-25 15:33:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 25?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcbccd4…
07-25 15:33:46	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 25?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x211aab…
07-25 15:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 25?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8bec47…
07-25 10:56:22	ethereum up or down july 25 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x5c6cd1…
07-25 09:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7eb1b4…
07-25 08:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3157b1…
07-24 13:44:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcca1dd…