Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$566

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

15.6%

Resolved

308

Trades

1,747

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$167

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-03

last 10-26 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

62% 20% -$378

Politics

30% 13% -$114

Tech

6% 8% -$40

Sports

1% 0% -$8

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$8

Crypto

1% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+147	$85	53¢	$78	-$7	09-07 10:25
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+147	$75	47¢	$69	-$6	09-07 12:59
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	-20	-$9	97¢	$-19	-$10	09-09 13:16
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	-20	-$9	3¢	$-1	+$8	09-09 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	24	$404	542	342	+200	No	-$23	09-05 18:57
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	8	$222	344	50	+294	open	—	09-07 12:59
Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	16	$211	172	148	+24	Yes	-$1	09-05 12:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	26	$179	125	225	-100	Yes	-$2	09-11 10:44
will openais astra model be released by september 6 2026	10	$165	180	140	+40	Yes	-$10	09-04 07:53
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	10	$159	80	80	+0	No	-$1	09-28 20:19
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	7	$139	120	120	+0	No	-$2	09-06 00:10
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 8 2026 1159 pm et	10	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	09-05 22:46
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?	12	$104	165	115	+50	No	-$5	09-04 14:16
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	3	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	09-08 14:21
Will Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?	14	$99	100	119	-19	Yes	+$2	09-07 01:46
will openais astra model be released by september 7 2026	11	$98	119	76	+43	Yes	-$1	09-04 16:01
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	9	$90	70	70	+0	No	-$1	09-05 21:18
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?	6	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	09-06 16:18
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	6	$88	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	09-05 03:42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	11	$84	160	120	+40	No	-$32	09-05 18:56
will drake release a new album by december 31	6	$83	80	80	+0	open	—	09-05 03:42
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	10	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	09-11 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 20?	2	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$1	09-20 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	09-20 05:04
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	11	$75	109	47	+62	open	—	09-05 09:27
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	5	$72	50	50	+0	No	+$3	09-06 13:23
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?	9	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	09-15 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18?	2	$71	41	41	+0	No	+$11	09-18 22:59
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	8	$71	95	25	+70	No	$0	09-27 06:37
Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	5	$71	59	59	+0	Yes	+$1	09-05 05:25
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	6	$70	22	98	-75	No	-$1	09-07 15:22
Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	11	$70	40	120	-80	No	-$3	09-09 01:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	9	$69	60	60	+0	No	-$2	09-29 10:31
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	+$12	09-04 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:39:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x7a1363…
10-26 08:15:32	Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x755e61…
10-11 09:29:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x24dca8…
10-03 23:31:20	Will Décio Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x730e89…
10-03 04:42:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xcc21db…
09-29 18:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x371246…
09-29 16:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x1f489f…
09-29 11:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x84438f…
09-29 11:08:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xa5f31a…
09-29 11:08:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xfbc3a9…
09-29 11:08:11	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xe2e4f3…
09-29 11:07:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x1f8cab…
09-29 10:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x88b331…
09-29 10:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xf0ac27…
09-29 08:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x4ed3be…
09-29 08:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x3232aa…
09-29 08:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x628882…
09-29 08:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x5b71f2…
09-29 06:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x81c1da…
09-29 05:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xc0655e…
09-29 05:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x65df04…
09-29 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x654b62…
09-29 04:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x27c51b…
09-28 22:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x4ce092…
09-28 21:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbc9162…
09-28 21:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe27baf…
09-28 21:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x0250b3…
09-28 20:19:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4be74…
09-28 19:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xaab531…
09-28 19:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x50485d…
09-28 19:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x8a3d7c…
09-28 19:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xb39d76…
09-28 19:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x576cc9…
09-28 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc89bb1…
09-28 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x9649b5…
09-28 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x16ee7e…
09-28 19:12:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xda1323…
09-28 19:08:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x54afca…
09-28 17:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe027ed…
09-28 17:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x3d7c8e…
09-28 17:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9be205…
09-28 17:22:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x92c56b…
09-28 17:07:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdada0f…
09-28 17:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x52c83d…
09-28 17:05:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xad2525…
09-28 16:48:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5f381c…
09-28 16:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xcf5d7e…
09-28 15:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc8562e…
09-28 15:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xb149b0…
09-28 15:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x40fad6…
09-28 15:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xc7affe…
09-28 15:28:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on September 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcfa83a…
09-28 15:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x43d54a…
09-28 14:09:12	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x21b57f…
09-28 14:08:47	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xad3e57…
09-28 14:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xa614da…
09-28 14:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x8bd673…
09-28 13:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x85b6c7…
09-28 13:54:45	Will Luis Díaz score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9b1640…
09-28 13:54:45	Will Lautaro Martínez score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x57c3fe…
09-28 13:49:12	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x8acf6e…
09-28 13:48:20	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x630781…
09-28 13:32:56	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x28c8b9…
09-28 13:32:54	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x96f2c8…
09-28 13:31:47	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x113bac…
09-28 12:54:09	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xa7d943…
09-28 12:53:15	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x2f9d88…
09-28 12:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x250cbf…
09-28 12:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x51f61d…
09-28 12:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb5c4b2…
09-28 12:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf0581f…
09-28 12:06:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7f87b1…
09-28 11:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x19df66…
09-28 11:28:50	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xda7fdd…
09-28 11:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3a7980…
09-28 09:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xfa83a8…
09-28 09:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x1ce87c…
09-28 07:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xa99d00…
09-28 07:33:59	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 350k	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf3842b…
09-28 06:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x4b964f…
09-28 06:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xb914e8…
09-28 06:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x231a7f…
09-28 00:34:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x4c4f14…
09-28 00:26:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x359724…
09-27 21:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x92c329…
09-27 18:44:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x99b1f3…
09-27 18:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?	No	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x05563c…
09-27 18:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x46ba70…
09-27 16:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2e52cd…
09-27 16:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xcc3c7d…
09-27 15:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 28?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xb6dab1…
09-27 14:33:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	8¢	$7	0x20db03…
09-27 14:10:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa38a87…
09-27 13:57:21	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 350k	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x159357…
09-27 10:04:51	Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x47b0dc…
09-27 09:33:26	Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x7d8851…
09-27 08:11:57	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 350k	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe93a8c…
09-27 06:37:47	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xc9fd53…
09-27 01:15:06	Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x3670c6…
09-26 23:18:21	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 350k	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xedd5b5…