Serene-Refuge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

275

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-24 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

57% 65% +$3,829

Crypto

40% 40% -$72

Sports

3% 0% -$547

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	1	$1.5K	3,415	0	+3,415	Over	-$1,500	06-14 07:43
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$1.3K	913	913	+0	Yes	+$492	06-13 04:33
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	1	$1.1K	2,728	0	+2,728	Argentina	+$1,637	06-22 12:55
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	1	$1.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	Qatar	+$1,500	06-13 08:59
Germany leading at halftime?	2	$861	567	567	+0	Yes	+$272	06-14 18:52
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	1	$729	1,519	0	+1,519	Over	+$790	06-23 15:30
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$720	750	750	+0	No	+$140	06-10 10:40
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$706	2,018	2,018	+0	No	-$14	06-12 08:01
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$496	620	0	+620	Justin Gaethje	-$496	06-14 19:00
Perugia: Moez Echargui vs Chun-Hsin Tseng	2	$478	249	249	+0	Chun-Hsin Tseng	+$20	06-02 10:29
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 first half total 1pt5	1	$466	2,028	0	+2,028	Under	-$466	06-24 19:11
Will France win on 2026-06-08?	1	$417	474	0	+474	Yes	+$57	06-08 17:41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	2	$400	215	215	+0	Yes	+$30	05-16 15:31
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$375	1,587	1,587	+0	No	-$175	06-12 08:01
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	1	$371	419	0	+419	Alexander Zverev	+$48	06-07 13:38
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	1	$340	1,700	0	+1,700	No	-$340	06-20 18:19
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06?	1	$325	374	0	+374	Yes	+$49	06-06 17:40
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	1	$300	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$300	06-20 11:49
atp molcan sachko 2026 06 05	1	$287	326	0	+326	Alex Molcan	+$39	06-05 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:40 UTC	1	$273	290	0	+290	Up	+$17	06-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$269	272	0	+272	Down	+$3	06-03 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$261	269	0	+269	Down	+$8	06-03 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$248	262	0	+262	Down	+$14	06-03 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$246	248	0	+248	Up	+$2	05-25 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$242	247	0	+247	Down	+$5	05-25 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$239	241	0	+241	Down	+$2	05-25 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$220	232	0	+232	Up	+$12	05-21 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$219	238	0	+238	Up	+$19	05-25 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$207	220	0	+220	Down	+$13	05-24 14:58
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	1	$200	1,818	0	+1,818	Yes	+$1,618	06-20 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 19:11:08	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,028	23¢	$466	0xfa605a…
06-24 07:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xc197c9…
06-23 15:30:05	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,519	48¢	$729	0xa5adf4…
06-22 12:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xfd931a…
06-22 12:55:41	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2,728	40¢	$1,091	0xe8cba3…
06-20 22:16:23	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0x40c2d7…
06-20 18:19:37	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,700	20¢	$340	0xc7b070…
06-20 11:49:31	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,250	24¢	$300	0x634479…
06-14 19:00:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	620	80¢	$496	0xa69277…
06-14 18:59:09	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	255	20¢	$51	0x15fe7c…
06-14 18:53:48	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5c9431…
06-14 18:52:16	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	567	100¢	$567	0x00b447…
06-14 17:35:28	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	567	52¢	$295	0xff2814…
06-14 11:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0xbbd7d3…
06-14 11:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x32ef58…
06-14 11:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x518072…
06-14 11:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfee16d…
06-14 09:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x28609f…
06-14 09:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xd1ef82…
06-14 08:09:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x770f84…
06-14 07:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	265	23¢	$61	0x8de3a2…
06-14 07:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x77ca19…
06-14 07:43:42	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	Under	BUY	3,415	44¢	$1,500	0x7c1d5c…
06-14 06:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	19¢	$17	0x416449…
06-14 06:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd1c7ae…
06-14 06:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x3435a6…
06-13 19:42:33	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 3pt5	Switzerland	SELL	233	22¢	$51	0x6bc5c3…
06-13 18:53:55	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 3pt5	Switzerland	BUY	233	18¢	$42	0xb55495…
06-13 08:59:30	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x384eae…
06-13 05:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	62	28¢	$17	0x705d51…
06-13 05:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb83087…
06-13 05:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	91	90¢	$81	0xbe5213…
06-13 05:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x1016db…
06-13 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x6e41d5…
06-13 04:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe0c411…
06-13 04:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0x2023bd…
06-13 04:33:36	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	913	100¢	$912	0x1c32af…
06-12 18:20:10	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	913	46¢	$420	0xd90d19…
06-12 16:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0x75d54e…
06-12 16:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5d1119…
06-12 15:58:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x74d4a7…
06-12 15:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2f8776…
06-12 15:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x54e3bd…
06-12 15:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01df1a…
06-12 15:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1c5ca6…
06-12 15:48:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x61168c…
06-12 15:47:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3507ba…
06-12 15:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd32dea…
06-12 15:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x3cb2fd…
06-12 15:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x527703…
06-12 15:36:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xf13214…
06-12 15:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x5a526d…
06-12 15:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x541a8e…
06-12 15:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x9e1970…
06-12 15:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xce701c…
06-12 15:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x96453d…
06-12 15:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x71ee03…
06-12 15:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x30f866…
06-12 15:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x341787…
06-12 15:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9ff531…
06-12 15:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xfb40a8…
06-12 15:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb31015…
06-12 13:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x49d8b9…
06-12 13:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x07c1f2…
06-12 13:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01273b…
06-12 13:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x401940…
06-12 13:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8963bc…
06-12 13:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x5cec98…
06-12 13:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc8eae9…
06-12 13:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5ceb9e…
06-12 13:13:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x03d711…
06-12 13:12:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x6d4178…
06-12 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7b7f0…
06-12 13:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xecf92c…
06-12 10:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf20721…
06-12 08:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xb9a402…
06-12 08:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe55b77…
06-12 08:01:27	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	1,347	19¢	$256	0xe30d6d…
06-12 08:01:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1,587	6¢	$100	0x4438db…
06-12 07:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,233	3¢	$40	0xd73177…
06-12 07:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12e48c…
06-12 07:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96d2df…
06-12 06:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd54759…
06-12 06:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x41d864…
06-11 14:51:13	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaa60a0…
06-11 14:50:37	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	Mexico	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x0770a6…
06-11 14:50:22	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x0975ed…
06-10 11:12:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1,347	15¢	$199	0x90408a…
06-10 11:11:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1,587	17¢	$275	0xd8e554…
06-10 10:40:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	671	13¢	$90	0xb96464…
06-10 10:40:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	750	57¢	$430	0x56ae1e…
06-09 08:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x894cbb…
06-09 08:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x86e4f2…
06-09 07:16:46	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	671	24¢	$161	0x18a76f…
06-09 07:16:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	750	39¢	$290	0xfb664b…
06-08 17:41:57	Will France win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	BUY	474	88¢	$417	0x573674…
06-07 13:38:36	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	419	89¢	$371	0x0fa8f7…
06-07 12:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2cc568…
06-06 17:40:36	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	374	87¢	$325	0x1d7c03…
06-05 12:10:45	atp molcan sachko 2026 06 05	Alex Molcan	BUY	326	88¢	$287	0x4b0056…