Far-Off-Samovar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$566

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

5,924

Trades

18,572

lifetime

Volume

$186.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

100% 85% +$570

Tech

0% 80% +$5

Sports

0% 67% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	37	$800	427	427	+0	No	+$4	10-20 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 23?	5	$558	330	330	+0	No	-$49	05-22 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	32	$557	537	166	+370	Yes	-$357	10-22 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 8?	12	$539	285	285	+0	No	+$30	10-07 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 24?	53	$512	290	280	+10	No	+$4	09-23 15:14
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	3	$489	300	200	+100	No	+$4	06-11 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	11	$427	231	231	+0	No	+$34	09-25 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 24?	33	$393	225	225	+0	No	-$1	09-23 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	12	$381	210	210	+0	No	+$39	10-25 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 92°F or higher on September 16?	9	$308	160	160	+0	No	+$12	09-16 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	22	$293	170	170	+0	No	-$7	08-24 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	6	$282	148	148	+0	No	+$11	10-23 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 16?	9	$280	147	147	+0	No	+$12	09-16 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 8?	13	$280	150	150	+0	No	+$19	10-07 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 21?	12	$270	157	150	+7	No	+$1	09-20 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 21?	13	$262	164	164	+0	No	-$10	09-20 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 21?	15	$255	144	144	+0	No	+$2	07-21 03:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 64 65f	14	$254	154	153	+1	No	+$15	04-18 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on August 25?	10	$245	127	127	+0	No	+$9	08-25 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on August 27?	11	$244	127	127	+0	No	+$10	08-26 20:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 30?	15	$241	127	127	+0	No	+$9	08-30 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or below on September 20?	13	$234	120	120	+0	No	+$5	09-20 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C or higher on September 8?	7	$234	120	120	+0	No	+$6	09-08 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 13?	8	$234	120	120	+0	No	+$6	09-13 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on September 27?	8	$233	120	120	+0	No	+$6	09-27 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 26?	22	$226	127	127	+0	No	-$5	08-26 03:57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 9?	9	$216	110	110	+0	No	+$4	09-10 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 2?	6	$208	120	100	+20	No	+$10	05-01 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 20?	16	$204	109	109	+0	No	-$1	08-19 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on September 5?	10	$199	107	107	+0	No	+$15	09-05 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x43f258…
10-27 10:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd62105…
10-27 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8033f0…
10-27 03:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x56843b…
10-27 00:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa42609…
10-26 21:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xa68608…
10-26 21:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5043f9…
10-26 20:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05abf3…
10-26 20:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6100b0…
10-26 20:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2dfcda…
10-26 18:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x05d453…
10-26 17:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x467f5a…
10-26 14:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x73535d…
10-26 13:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x539640…
10-26 12:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5ffcac…
10-26 12:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc3bb6…
10-26 11:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x9178ea…
10-26 11:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x98e80e…
10-26 11:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x33e985…
10-26 11:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on October 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x77d8a0…
10-26 10:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x91a1ec…
10-26 10:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x38fd9b…
10-26 08:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9732aa…
10-26 08:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa25f6…
10-26 08:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5326d0…
10-26 08:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf4022a…
10-26 07:55:57	highest temperature in munich on october 28 2026 10c	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x82bddf…
10-26 07:55:44	highest temperature in munich on october 28 2026 9c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8e5ac6…
10-26 07:55:29	highest temperature in munich on october 28 2026 8c	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x759dbc…
10-26 06:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x4fbd38…
10-26 01:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa70cc6…
10-26 00:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 27?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x4d16a9…
10-25 23:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x908388…
10-25 23:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 26?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7124f0…
10-25 23:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x985788…
10-25 22:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a8e4f…
10-25 20:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2c4e79…
10-25 20:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x97388c…
10-25 19:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4edea7…
10-25 15:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe81dab…
10-25 15:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x636a8e…
10-25 15:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x827893…
10-25 15:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d6855…
10-25 15:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe18832…
10-25 15:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7f82fa…
10-25 15:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on October 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6a8dcd…
10-25 14:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1409c7…
10-25 14:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x67eefb…
10-25 14:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x105613…
10-25 14:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x286a2f…
10-25 13:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf49ec6…
10-25 13:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05bddc…
10-25 11:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x53e0e4…
10-25 11:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68c9c9…
10-25 10:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x527e88…
10-25 10:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4a47a3…
10-25 09:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on October 25?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x13b8a9…
10-25 09:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 25?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5fbe38…
10-25 08:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x7e04e8…
10-25 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x039c25…
10-25 08:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd53f4e…
10-25 08:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x577e7b…
10-25 07:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x2f2d2a…
10-25 07:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x041e2b…
10-25 06:18:32	highest temperature in seoul on october 27 2026 14c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb0c02d…
10-25 06:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x491f0d…
10-25 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ae446…
10-25 05:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x964389…
10-25 03:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe1d7f4…
10-25 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x03ceba…
10-25 02:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb2c1d0…
10-25 02:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 25?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x5105b6…
10-24 22:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on October 25?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x8c452e…
10-24 22:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e87ab…
10-24 21:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 25?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2c685f…
10-24 21:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b53c8…
10-24 20:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x750938…
10-24 20:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfeb172…
10-24 20:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef32ba…
10-24 20:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x76798b…
10-24 20:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x41b368…
10-24 20:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x7ffb0c…
10-24 20:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x2fe1ce…
10-24 19:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x82a66e…
10-24 18:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x15fa51…
10-24 16:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe6c351…
10-24 16:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x57f264…
10-24 16:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe75ff7…
10-24 16:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9c13a7…
10-24 16:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5d6bfd…
10-24 16:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcb97b5…
10-24 16:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 25?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2f73b5…
10-24 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc0baec…
10-24 16:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x09543b…
10-24 15:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbf5178…
10-24 15:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf9df8…
10-24 15:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71e690…
10-24 14:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4ebf84…
10-24 13:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x86fb69…
10-24 13:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6751df…