Failing-Growth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$772

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

229

Trades

8,368

lifetime

Volume

$297.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-09 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% +$735

Politics

0% 100% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776726600	6	$3.3K	2,000	1,975	+25	open	—	04-20 23:15
btc updown 5m 1776869400	12	$2.4K	1,750	1,711	+39	open	—	04-22 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$2.3K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	04-29 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2.3K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	04-29 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$2.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	04-29 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	18	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	05-03 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	25	$1.9K	999	999	+0	open	—	04-29 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776722400	5	$1.7K	1,000	981	+19	open	—	04-20 22:04
btc updown 5m 1776703500	5	$1.6K	1,000	984	+16	open	—	04-20 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776869700	5	$1.5K	1,000	980	+20	open	—	04-22 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	05-03 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1.2K	1,240	0	+1,240	open	—	04-29 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	13	$1.2K	1,650	150	+1,500	Down	+$460	05-09 20:55
btc updown 5m 1776715500	7	$1.2K	1,000	982	+18	open	—	04-20 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1.1K	1,180	0	+1,180	open	—	04-29 18:08
btc updown 5m 1776806400	3	$1.1K	600	594	+6	open	—	04-21 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$1.1K	1,160	181	+979	open	—	05-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	04-29 21:48
btc updown 5m 1776870600	4	$1.1K	1,000	980	+20	open	—	04-22 15:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	9	$1.1K	618	483	+135	Yes	+$37	05-08 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$1.0K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	05-03 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1.0K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	04-29 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$963	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-03 13:27
btc updown 5m 1776704400	2	$960	500	495	+5	open	—	04-20 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776719700	2	$947	500	495	+5	open	—	04-20 21:19
btc updown 5m 1776792900	3	$936	500	495	+5	open	—	04-21 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776720300	2	$934	500	495	+5	open	—	04-20 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776729000	11	$930	1,000	238	+762	open	—	04-20 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776704100	2	$921	500	495	+5	open	—	04-20 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 21:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1,050	7¢	$74	0x139fe9…
05-09 21:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0xd77aad…
05-09 21:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	21¢	$31	0x583ff0…
05-09 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x4e5123…
05-09 21:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0x181d31…
05-09 21:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	52¢	$77	0x7cede5…
05-09 21:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x4d1345…
05-09 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	150	65¢	$97	0xf4317c…
05-09 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb75f6…
05-09 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb383d8…
05-09 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9fe652…
05-09 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x03b5dc…
05-09 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6e0185…
05-09 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x24da89…
05-09 21:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d107e…
05-09 21:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	192	50¢	$96	0xdf5e8a…
05-09 21:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0xa65655…
05-09 21:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0xde0811…
05-09 21:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xc6c866…
05-09 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0xa72332…
05-09 21:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	750	13¢	$101	0x1ce5a2…
05-09 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	39¢	$59	0x5aaaf4…
05-09 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	29¢	$43	0x833430…
05-09 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0xa80f35…
05-09 21:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	55¢	$83	0xf673f1…
05-09 21:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0xbd73c8…
05-09 20:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	656	6¢	$40	0x3f7480…
05-09 20:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	51¢	$77	0x9c93c0…
05-09 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	45¢	$67	0x47d069…
05-09 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	34¢	$52	0x888cb8…
05-09 20:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	25¢	$37	0x681ce5…
05-09 20:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	57¢	$86	0x7b41c5…
05-09 20:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xc204c4…
05-09 20:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x62ad8e…
05-09 20:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x200431…
05-09 20:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x4ad1b1…
05-09 20:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	61¢	$91	0xd7ba0b…
05-09 20:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0x38f39e…
05-09 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x2a2dfd…
05-09 20:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x300c9f…
05-09 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xca6348…
05-09 20:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x3425fa…
05-09 20:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x941ebc…
05-09 20:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	61¢	$91	0xf100cf…
05-09 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x44f879…
05-09 20:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x9add5e…
05-09 20:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x89f7b2…
05-09 20:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0xfcd57c…
05-09 20:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0x85e279…
05-09 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	150	58¢	$88	0x70fd2d…
05-09 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x25ba82…
05-09 20:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x58cfbb…
05-09 20:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	140	61¢	$86	0xd3a9c2…
05-09 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0xb6867e…
05-09 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0x7fec9a…
05-09 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	59¢	$89	0x7dd6bb…
05-09 20:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x062113…
05-09 20:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x64d9b4…
05-09 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x2c9299…
05-09 20:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x0847ec…
05-09 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x21d80c…
05-09 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x056e0a…
05-09 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x104cb2…
05-09 18:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x337716…
05-09 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xbbd180…
05-09 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0xd3875e…
05-09 17:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x6e82c7…
05-09 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x859dd7…
05-09 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x244903…
05-09 17:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x6962e5…
05-09 17:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xd9e176…
05-09 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0x898a2c…
05-09 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0xdb6cf3…
05-09 17:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x1cc0bd…
05-09 17:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xfa5ec0…
05-09 17:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7b6a07…
05-09 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xede30e…
05-09 17:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0fdd29…
05-09 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x4ff979…
05-09 15:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xf5d98b…
05-08 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa41fcc…
05-08 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	300	32¢	$97	0xfbca33…
05-08 21:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x66b692…
05-08 21:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe7a5cd…
05-08 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb9c95a…
05-08 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x57cd44…
05-08 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xa592e1…
05-08 19:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x114d84…
05-08 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	300	90¢	$271	0x946069…
05-08 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	300	54¢	$163	0x4a7be4…
05-08 19:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0xd71289…
05-08 19:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	200	27¢	$55	0x841ecf…
05-08 19:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x243098…
05-08 19:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	79¢	$157	0x0ff72f…
05-08 18:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x3fc4b1…
05-08 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x8f5e0f…
05-08 17:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	88¢	$177	0x31f77d…
05-08 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	200	34¢	$67	0x615dc3…
05-08 17:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xe07deb…
05-08 17:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xa0e467…