Realized P&L
+$427.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$17.3K
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
7,525
Trades
98,842
lifetime
Volume
$9.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$38.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% +$199,246
Sports
43% 51% +$236,139
Politics
3% 40% -$18,404
Crypto
0% 57% +$11,851
Tech
0% 40% -$739
Pop-Culture
0% 62% -$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +17,310 $12,531 96¢ $16.5K +$4,000 10-26 17:00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +11,358 $9,467 44¢ $5.0K -$4,441 06-03 03:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,870 $1,677 56¢ $3.3K +$1,610 06-03 03:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,516 $3,142 34¢ $3.2K +$46 10-05 08:48
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,587 $2,663 72¢ $2.6K -$62 09-14 14:12
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,611 $2,272 91¢ $2.4K +$116 09-29 22:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +36,398 $10,501 4¢ $1.6K -$8,863 10-27 02:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20,987 $8,366 4¢ $944 -$7,422 10-01 17:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,605 $931 44¢ $706 -$225 06-10 23:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,516 $500 34¢ $508 +$8 10-05 08:10
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +350 $56 92¢ $320 +$264 10-08 01:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,500 $105 21¢ $314 +$209 09-20 19:25
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +3,521 $2,878 8¢ $299 -$2,579 10-04 23:22
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +317 $266 71¢ $225 -$41 09-27 19:30
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +64 $18 71¢ $45 +$28 10-08 03:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +140 $41 26¢ $37 -$3 09-26 04:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +25 $12 96¢ $24 +$12 10-27 02:51
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +41 $8 29¢ $12 +$4 10-04 18:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +100 $9 2¢ $2 -$8 05-07 18:31