Violet-Helicopter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$413.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.36K

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

7,527

Trades

98,842

lifetime

Volume

$9.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$19.7K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 287 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% +$185,171

Sports

43% 51% +$236,139

Politics

3% 40% -$18,404

Crypto

0% 57% +$11,851

Tech

0% 40% -$739

Pop-Culture

0% 62% -$513

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 322 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+11,358	$9,467	57¢	$6.5K	-$3,010	06-03 03:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+9,516	$3,142	32¢	$3.1K	-$49	10-05 08:48
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+2,611	$2,272	100¢	$2.6K	+$334	09-29 22:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+5,870	$1,677	44¢	$2.6K	+$877	06-03 03:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+3,587	$2,663	71¢	$2.5K	-$116	09-14 14:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,605	$931	56¢	$907	-$25	06-10 23:46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1,516	$500	32¢	$493	-$8	10-05 08:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+1,500	$105	23¢	$350	+$245	09-20 19:25
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+350	$56	100¢	$349	+$293	10-08 01:10
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	+317	$266	68¢	$217	-$49	09-27 19:30
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+64	$18	68¢	$43	+$25	10-08 03:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+140	$41	28¢	$38	-$2	09-26 04:33
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+41	$8	32¢	$13	+$5	10-04 18:34
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+3,521	$2,878	0¢	$5	-$2,873	10-04 23:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+100	$9	2¢	$2	-$8	05-07 18:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	146	$78.4K	78,547	36,086	+42,461	No	+$16,287	07-24 15:31
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	264	$72.1K	92,449	41,130	+51,320	Alcaraz	-$7,173	01-30 09:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	67	$70.6K	79,860	35,850	+44,010	No	+$17,371	09-15 19:44
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	94	$59.8K	75,739	285	+75,453	No	+$16,154	05-17 19:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	59	$53.7K	62,720	9,592	+53,128	No	+$11,022	07-15 21:07
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	226	$52.9K	82,006	23,332	+58,674	No	+$9,452	07-24 15:31
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	53	$52.3K	32,841	35,040	-2,199	Patriots	+$14,148	01-25 23:03
Knicks vs. Spurs	95	$50.1K	93,841	20,225	+73,616	Knicks	+$35,799	06-14 03:16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	163	$47.2K	62,550	44,782	+17,768	No	+$4,674	07-18 22:11
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	126	$44.9K	98,047	45,856	+52,191	No	-$5,604	06-14 03:17
nba nop phi 2026 01 31	50	$43.4K	24,518	27,235	-2,717	76ers	+$6,485	02-01 02:57
nba den okc 2026 02 27	116	$41.4K	69,565	16,742	+52,823	Thunder	+$10,240	02-28 05:29
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	301	$40.4K	56,231	21,055	+35,176	Yes	-$23,898	04-12 22:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	129	$37.8K	31,341	22,961	+8,380	No	+$5,865	05-24 01:41
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	80	$35.2K	51,663	15,671	+35,992	Yes	+$6,120	06-14 03:16
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	286	$33.6K	61,786	12,845	+48,941	Gujarat Titans	-$3,509	04-08 18:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$33.5K	31,683	11,790	+19,893	No	+$5,084	07-15 20:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	98	$32.9K	28,786	15,209	+13,577	No	+$1,593	05-29 18:49
ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	347	$32.9K	18,936	24,811	-5,875	Drew Dober	+$6,707	03-08 04:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	28	$32.6K	22,435	20,435	+2,000	Yes	+$242	02-28 07:56
atp musetti djokovi 2026 01 28	48	$32.2K	48,663	6,280	+42,384	Djokovic	-$15,823	01-28 06:43
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	203	$31.3K	52,540	17,274	+35,265	Yes	+$11,752	07-18 22:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	67	$31.1K	44,359	16,112	+28,247	Yes	+$19,893	09-11 12:30
nba sac lac 2026 03 14	72	$29.9K	48,447	6,372	+42,075	Kings	-$2,486	03-15 04:59
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	57	$29.4K	31,763	11,571	+20,192	Djokovic	-$20,852	01-30 14:30
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	233	$28.2K	58,073	3,707	+54,365	No	-$23,688	05-28 13:41
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	200	$27.4K	75,944	3,581	+72,362	Justin Gaethje	-$182	06-15 05:05
wnba tor gsv 2026 08 04	2	$27.0K	32,528	0	+32,528	Golden State Valkyries	+$5,530	08-05 03:11
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	263	$25.8K	42,914	8,914	+34,001	Rajasthan Royals	+$1,396	04-04 17:52
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?	33	$23.7K	26,896	750	+26,146	No	+$3,600	06-20 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:51:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xceeb4b…
10-27 02:50:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x935590…
10-27 02:50:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfce68d…
10-26 21:37:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,343	92¢	$1,236	0x34303c…
10-26 20:39:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0xc85c91…
10-26 18:30:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	727	91¢	$662	0x1e2c36…
10-26 17:00:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,771	92¢	$4,389	0x1c0710…
10-26 16:53:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0xf356a0…
10-26 16:44:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x676c77…
10-26 16:39:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	92¢	$61	0x120f2e…
10-26 16:36:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x3048bd…
10-26 16:14:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,740	92¢	$1,601	0x2736a6…
10-26 16:00:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,972	58¢	$1,144	0xc431aa…
10-26 15:58:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,000	61¢	$1,830	0xdb665b…
10-26 13:57:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,056	64¢	$676	0xf540e2…
10-26 13:57:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xc055fd…
10-26 13:57:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	290	64¢	$186	0x0638d7…
10-26 13:57:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,271	64¢	$813	0xa608d2…
10-26 09:43:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc34d40…
10-26 09:01:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa90b8d…
10-26 08:59:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	152	67¢	$102	0x768389…
10-26 08:15:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7cea3b…
10-26 07:46:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x003425…
10-26 07:33:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb9034f…
10-26 07:32:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa64454…
10-09 10:01:16	Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	Paper Rex	BUY	193	33¢	$64	0x602138…
10-09 09:01:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0x2b9ebd…
10-09 09:01:10	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	11¢	$7	0x5e10e7…
10-09 09:01:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0xcd6498…
10-09 09:00:46	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xcf7ed3…
10-09 09:00:46	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xb62dfa…
10-09 09:00:39	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	6¢	$13	0xea1b19…
10-09 08:13:43	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	333	68¢	$226	0x1a4886…
10-09 08:09:16	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xd19f11…
10-09 08:09:15	Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd31657…
10-09 07:55:42	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	17¢	$32	0xc9b061…
10-09 07:55:34	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x785141…
10-09 07:55:15	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x6bd1c3…
10-09 07:53:33	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xd04fbf…
10-09 07:39:39	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xa4ce82…
10-09 07:23:37	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x0d850f…
10-09 07:09:00	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xa5525f…
10-09 07:05:45	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x706dc3…
10-09 07:03:22	Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xd96cd3…
10-09 07:03:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0xdea8af…
10-09 07:03:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x9ef6a1…
10-09 05:46:33	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x89ef1c…
10-09 03:00:11	Kings vs. Lakers	Kings	BUY	119	22¢	$26	0xda5c33…
10-09 02:52:36	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	248	84¢	$208	0xfd06f1…
10-09 01:55:56	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0xdeae1d…
10-09 01:55:56	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5a2f1c…
10-09 01:55:56	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x416844…
10-09 01:55:56	Hawks vs. Spurs	Hawks	BUY	164	29¢	$47	0x1cb767…
10-09 01:38:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	16¢	$7	0xe2c5a3…
10-09 01:38:05	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	16¢	$41	0xe23ed4…
10-09 01:29:48	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x8112a6…
10-09 01:11:54	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x02408d…
10-09 00:51:23	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x495545…
10-09 00:44:44	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x9444e6…
10-09 00:44:33	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x0600ad…
10-09 00:44:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x2e2654…
10-09 00:43:03	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x5a8219…
10-09 00:43:02	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x2e907d…
10-09 00:32:00	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x19e1cf…
10-09 00:31:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x0de22b…
10-09 00:30:48	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x009285…
10-09 00:30:23	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x518008…
10-09 00:29:54	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0xb8ac1b…
10-09 00:29:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x65bebb…
10-09 00:18:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xaea859…
10-09 00:17:26	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe2e20f…
10-09 00:17:15	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x00f5bd…
10-09 00:17:14	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xe93894…
10-09 00:17:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	49¢	$118	0xe52681…
10-09 00:17:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x976a10…
10-09 00:16:59	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xf56594…
10-09 00:15:54	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	17¢	$51	0xde02eb…
10-09 00:15:41	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x0406b6…
10-09 00:15:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x17dadb…
10-09 00:13:50	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x0bca8d…
10-09 00:01:39	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0xe2a28a…
10-09 00:01:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x2e36a5…
10-09 00:01:09	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x726dd7…
10-09 00:00:33	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x691680…
10-08 23:56:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	54¢	$42	0xe028f8…
10-08 23:56:12	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x29a8e0…
10-08 23:55:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xbef76e…
10-08 23:55:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x385221…
10-08 23:55:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd78f12…
10-08 23:55:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc1ba62…
10-08 23:55:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xac103c…
10-08 23:55:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa39bc5…
10-08 23:55:30	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	219	49¢	$107	0x65acda…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xa30448…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x94bd49…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	255	51¢	$130	0x939b40…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x8befe4…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x82d932…
10-08 23:55:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x030145…
10-08 23:49:14	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0x498ce9…