Humming-Cinder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-12 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Crypto

35% 45% +$16

Sports

6% 100% +$89

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$236	429	429	+0	open	—	03-16 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$148	286	107	+179	Down	+$8	05-09 22:48
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$131	111	111	+0	Sean Strickland	+$89	05-10 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$102	114	105	+9	Up	+$42	05-09 22:34
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$101	91	91	+0	open	—	03-17 15:52
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$99	300	300	+0	open	—	03-23 07:51
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	3	$99	987	635	+351	open	—	03-12 10:00
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	3	$90	243	217	+26	open	—	03-13 09:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	2	$79	90	90	+0	open	—	03-20 14:13
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	2	$77	352	200	+152	open	—	03-12 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$76	95	74	+21	Up	+$26	05-09 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$70	128	100	+28	Up	+$30	05-12 21:52
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	2	$56	200	200	+0	open	—	03-24 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	Down	$-50	05-09 22:51
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$40	170	170	+0	open	—	03-24 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$37	43	43	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 14:24
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	2	$35	234	0	+234	open	—	03-13 15:51
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	1	$30	826	0	+826	open	—	02-18 21:52
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	1	$30	333	0	+333	open	—	03-21 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	89	0	+89	Up	$-19	05-12 21:56
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	1	$30	88	0	+88	open	—	03-31 08:41
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	1	$30	189	0	+189	open	—	03-17 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$30	83	83	+0	Down	+$20	05-12 16:19
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	2	$27	304	304	+0	open	—	03-23 07:52
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	1	$25	147	0	+147	open	—	03-24 21:13
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$25	264	0	+264	open	—	04-14 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$24	241	17	+223	Up	+$4	05-09 22:44
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	2	$22	425	0	+425	open	—	03-31 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$20	438	0	+438	Up	$-20	05-09 22:43
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	1	$20	678	0	+678	open	—	03-12 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x0e0678…
05-12 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfca833…
05-12 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7e7d0b…
05-12 21:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x94d0da…
05-12 21:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x21102d…
05-12 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87f15a…
05-12 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdf7993…
05-12 21:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xe53978…
05-12 16:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	83	30¢	$25	0x023525…
05-12 16:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xdac030…
05-12 14:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	43	52¢	$22	0x69b0a5…
05-12 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x7ae5ff…
05-12 14:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x71898f…
05-10 20:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x47b3c1…
05-10 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xbd6848…
05-10 08:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x687965…
05-10 06:26:14	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x6a0710…
05-09 23:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xec0b84…
05-09 23:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa8c978…
05-09 22:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xafe347…
05-09 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x9a2ba4…
05-09 22:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x569d26…
05-09 22:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x2cdb25…
05-09 22:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x497791…
05-09 22:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	107	73¢	$78	0x047783…
05-09 22:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x4d4590…
05-09 22:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	223	2¢	$5	0x18d745…
05-09 22:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6f183d…
05-09 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xaf1a6d…
05-09 22:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0x6194bd…
05-09 22:42:19	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x7ccf79…
05-09 22:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe840f3…
05-09 22:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x239c83…
05-09 22:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	74	69¢	$51	0x037db4…
05-09 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd5d363…
05-09 22:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf92702…
05-09 22:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x786bd7…
05-09 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xdbc12a…
05-09 22:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0xa41845…
05-09 22:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf600b6…
05-09 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x65fb3f…
05-09 22:30:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xafd635…
05-09 22:26:14	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0xca08c6…
04-14 17:39:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	264	9¢	$25	0x22a2be…
04-04 16:02:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x6f9e53…
03-31 08:42:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	281	4¢	$12	0xba1545…
03-31 08:41:59	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x0a7e3c…
03-30 14:58:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x268617…
03-30 14:57:19	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	144	7¢	$10	0xe82cc9…
03-24 21:14:05	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xcbdcdf…
03-24 21:13:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xee47c8…
03-24 21:13:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	SELL	170	21¢	$35	0xdd2cee…
03-24 21:13:35	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x8cb452…
03-23 07:52:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	304	6¢	$17	0x08b429…
03-23 07:51:53	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0x90c391…
03-22 08:06:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe102e3…
03-22 08:06:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x55f163…
03-22 07:37:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xee3938…
03-22 07:36:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	304	3¢	$10	0x3f3b08…
03-21 06:41:41	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xa0e0bb…
03-21 06:41:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x171805…
03-20 14:13:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	SELL	90	71¢	$64	0xb431cb…
03-19 16:49:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	Yes	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x3989e5…
03-19 06:51:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0xb7dfbf…
03-17 15:53:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	Yes	BUY	197	5¢	$10	0xea14a6…
03-17 15:52:21	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x12c817…
03-17 15:51:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	Yes	BUY	189	16¢	$30	0x7f07c2…
03-17 13:17:37	btc updown 5m 1773753300	Up	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xf7c036…
03-16 16:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	SELL	429	48¢	$206	0xf4231b…
03-13 15:51:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x96aaae…
03-13 14:48:29	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x082ac0…
03-13 09:23:49	btc updown 5m 1773393600	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xe2f20d…
03-13 09:20:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x7a9561…
03-12 21:05:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	Yes	BUY	678	3¢	$20	0x247afe…
03-12 13:34:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 12	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb86eba…
03-12 13:30:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc74983…
03-12 10:06:27	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$37	0xf96ab9…
03-12 10:00:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x73c1e1…
03-12 09:51:11	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	Yes	SELL	635	10¢	$61	0x225fe6…
03-12 09:16:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 180 199	Yes	BUY	256	2¢	$5	0x1902d5…
03-12 09:15:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x223504…
03-12 08:40:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x6440ef…
03-12 08:20:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x7dc72e…
03-12 07:48:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x4a599c…
03-12 07:37:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	SELL	217	22¢	$48	0xbc4bcc…
03-11 20:42:59	will trump say kurd or kurdish during kentucky visit	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xfc67d5…
03-11 20:40:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0x7d98a4…
03-11 20:40:05	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xbf0bfa…
03-11 13:04:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x30b518…
03-11 13:03:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 40 59	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x13ad6a…
03-11 13:03:01	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 20 39	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xe7d61d…
03-11 12:50:09	btc updown 5m 1773233100	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x91ea90…
03-11 12:43:21	btc updown 5m 1773232800	Up	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0xad57c8…
03-11 12:41:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	169	18¢	$30	0xa21bfe…
03-11 12:40:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	217	18¢	$38	0x4e02e8…
03-11 12:40:15	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	Yes	BUY	352	11¢	$40	0xe89a54…
03-11 12:39:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	Yes	BUY	882	4¢	$35	0x51ff0b…
03-11 12:39:45	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x57e038…
02-18 21:59:18	btc updown 5m 1771451700	Down	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x9d6174…
02-18 21:52:44	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	Yes	BUY	826	4¢	$30	0xd0190b…