Official-Doubling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$473

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

684

Trades

795

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-24 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 82% -$339

Other

11% 42% -$154

Sports

2% 61% +$11

Politics

0% 33% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	Yes	+10	$4	61¢	$6	+$2	08-19 19:09
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$1	08-16 17:16
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	+10	$22	39¢	$4	-$18	08-20 05:38
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+5	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	08-16 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	11	$130	114	112	+2	No	+$8	04-15 09:45
epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	2	$65	50	49	+1	Yes	+$0	04-18 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$57	63	0	+63	Down	+$6	05-09 16:39
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	4	$53	70	50	+20	open	—	08-20 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-09 17:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-10 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-10 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-09 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 07:59
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-09 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$6	05-09 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	05-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-10 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-09 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-09 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-10 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-10 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$6	05-09 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$6	05-10 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$6	05-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$50	65	0	+65	Up	+$15	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-10 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-09 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 03:40:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf953c0…
08-24 03:40:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x2b2e82…
08-24 03:40:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x4fc77b…
08-24 03:40:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xdd5a86…
08-24 03:40:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xc079de…
08-24 03:40:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x4278b1…
08-24 03:40:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x56077b…
08-24 03:40:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x124cc6…
08-24 03:40:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xd36b5f…
08-24 03:40:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x5517e3…
08-24 03:40:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x94e892…
08-24 03:40:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x3020e6…
08-21 13:51:18	iot quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 03 2026 0pt16	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x75af76…
08-21 05:01:33	Will Robert Franklin be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x9abd37…
08-21 04:27:10	Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5ce1f6…
08-21 02:59:30	will money be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260826	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xbe9b5e…
08-20 19:17:21	Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xccd1b0…
08-20 16:17:09	Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xcff8ea…
08-20 16:06:58	linera listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9121d9…
08-20 16:06:13	cambria listed on upbit within 30 days of tge	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xcad2e4…
08-20 15:46:46	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 22?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x3d7e6f…
08-20 15:42:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 22?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7a9191…
08-20 14:47:42	will mutiny score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8637b5…
08-20 14:31:01	will mutiny score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7c44b7…
08-20 14:18:06	will anyone say power 10 times during big brother e23 20260823	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x567d67…
08-20 13:56:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xa1c5db…
08-20 13:35:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe62fbe…
08-20 13:35:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdd947f…
08-20 10:04:46	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x635d1d…
08-20 10:03:58	Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xb05421…
08-20 10:03:48	Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb55fd5…
08-20 09:46:04	Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x4c8677…
08-20 09:00:36	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x204db5…
08-20 05:38:04	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x232803…
08-20 04:27:48	skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x66da94…
08-19 19:09:34	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x65dcbf…
08-19 19:09:09	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x897aa5…
08-19 19:06:19	skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xff203d…
08-19 18:04:01	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x014081…
08-18 14:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x328e85…
08-18 13:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd596ee…
08-18 13:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf6792b…
08-17 18:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc7dced…
08-17 12:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9631ad…
08-17 07:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x77e609…
08-17 02:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf48678…
08-16 19:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x465828…
08-16 18:58:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe9a71a…
08-16 18:53:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x84f557…
08-16 18:46:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x9478dd…
08-16 18:46:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 16?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xbda2b0…
08-16 18:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x9b8db5…
08-16 18:34:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 16?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd98af7…
08-16 18:33:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x38c6c7…
08-16 18:27:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa30b4f…
08-16 18:13:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x81d653…
08-16 18:13:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x244704…
08-16 18:11:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xe3e56e…
08-16 18:10:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1688b4…
08-16 17:16:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc51ee8…
08-16 17:16:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa524e0…
08-14 14:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb99523…
08-14 13:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd3936b…
08-14 12:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x87ff9a…
08-13 17:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x15fc19…
08-13 16:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xea472e…
08-13 16:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7c6d46…
08-13 15:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6dbb0c…
08-13 14:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xade53e…
08-12 16:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x80375e…
08-12 16:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xd074c8…
08-12 15:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x97f17c…
08-12 14:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x03b84e…
08-12 13:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x116944…
08-12 12:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb8abdd…
08-12 12:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6ca53f…
08-11 18:40:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x43f735…
08-11 15:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x7e178d…
08-11 14:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x324cb8…
08-10 17:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x751915…
08-10 16:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x9c1472…
08-10 15:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x5ea01c…
08-10 13:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xd32092…
08-09 22:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0645f3…
08-07 16:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x09b82b…
08-07 15:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6dd05e…
08-07 14:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x695e2c…
08-07 13:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x84f9b7…
08-07 12:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x07b2de…
08-07 02:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaa2537…
08-06 18:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbd2324…
08-06 16:01:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf1867b…
08-06 15:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x369370…
08-06 15:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x40fe67…
08-06 14:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa00866…
08-06 13:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa5caa9…
08-06 05:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd9cb4…
08-05 20:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x82668f…
08-05 18:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x781416…
08-05 17:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd435ee…