Knowledgeable-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

1,092

Trades

3,021

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-18 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 78% -$73

Other

4% 14% -$48

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 10% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes		+29	$20	55¢	$16	-$4	10-18 20:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:00 UTC	3	$122	94	50	+45	Down	+$7	02-13 20:14
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	5	$100	69	69	+0	Yes	-$2	02-15 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 00:30 UTC	21	$82	69	42	+27	Down	+$1	02-21 00:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:30 UTC	3	$80	87	0	+87	Up	+$7	02-12 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 21:45 UTC	3	$63	50	26	+23	Down	+$4	02-13 21:57
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	2	$62	35	35	+0	Yes	-$1	02-15 23:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:15 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	02-12 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	1	$60	65	0	+65	Down	+$5	02-13 20:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:00 UTC	1	$60	63	0	+63	Up	+$3	02-12 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:45 UTC	2	$60	65	0	+65	Up	+$5	02-12 03:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:15 UTC	1	$60	62	0	+62	Down	+$2	02-12 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:15 UTC	2	$56	43	43	+0	Up	-$24	02-12 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:30 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	02-11 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:45 UTC	3	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	02-11 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	47	$50	47	23	+24	Down	-$3	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:30 UTC	44	$49	44	25	+19	Up	+$2	02-17 18:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 20:00 UTC	40	$46	40	24	+16	Down	+$2	02-17 20:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:45 UTC	1	$45	47	0	+47	Down	+$2	02-11 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:15 UTC	3	$45	48	0	+48	Up	+$3	02-11 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 15:45 UTC	28	$44	31	14	+17	Up	+$1	03-04 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 02:20 UTC	16	$42	28	28	+0	Up	$0	02-21 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:00 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 19:04
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	7	$41	139	0	+139	No	-$41	02-12 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:05 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	02-13 19:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:15 UTC	1	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$10	02-13 20:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:00 UTC	2	$40	44	0	+44	Up	+$4	02-11 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:30 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-11 20:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:00 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	02-11 15:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 21:45 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	-$40	02-13 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:30 UTC	2	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-11 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 20:54:41	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x5e5bde…
10-18 20:53:23	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcc38a3…
10-18 20:51:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x295c11…
10-18 20:51:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0xf07985…
10-18 20:51:20	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	No	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x906b9e…
10-15 23:49:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x1b1119…
10-08 18:12:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc94dc2…
10-05 20:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xf85267…
10-05 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x359f86…
09-28 17:53:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x75fb15…
09-28 17:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6d747…
09-24 00:12:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb55876…
09-24 00:11:11	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x79805a…
09-24 00:10:35	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3a512c…
09-24 00:10:31	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa1962b…
09-24 00:10:19	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a1abd…
09-24 00:08:58	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc3a710…
09-24 00:08:56	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa4b802…
09-24 00:08:26	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x00425f…
09-24 00:08:14	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb8ab94…
09-24 00:08:01	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x47cd8b…
09-24 00:07:46	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x167073…
09-24 00:07:40	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x0e41f6…
09-24 00:07:28	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa71266…
09-24 00:07:17	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xc4ffb0…
09-24 00:06:37	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9fe3df…
09-23 23:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x7dfb97…
09-23 23:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2d88c8…
09-23 23:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x6ef5e5…
09-23 23:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x01db5d…
09-23 23:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xad79fd…
09-23 23:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb918a…
09-23 23:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3e1ef…
09-23 23:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xabef4e…
09-23 23:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x557d8e…
09-23 23:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9b21eb…
09-23 23:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x631096…
09-23 23:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe18dd0…
09-23 23:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x87a36f…
09-23 23:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x80f199…
09-23 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf1f3ff…
09-22 22:12:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x6ef6cf…
09-22 22:12:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xe31a2a…
09-22 22:10:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x7e839f…
09-22 15:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd25434…
09-22 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7d2119…
09-22 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1bf243…
09-22 15:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0308f9…
09-22 04:18:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86dd5f…
09-22 04:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xffafc0…
09-22 04:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf34cbf…
09-22 04:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x83225e…
09-22 04:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc5ff93…
09-19 13:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x507cf3…
09-19 13:17:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66d14a…
09-17 20:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x7cd51b…
09-17 20:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x77479f…
09-17 20:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf0a250…
09-17 20:57:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd40477…
09-17 20:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6491cc…
09-17 20:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x35960f…
09-17 20:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf31cd4…
09-17 20:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xf85521…
09-17 20:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa242c0…
09-17 20:52:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x766879…
09-17 20:52:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdf547b…
09-17 20:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x8c6485…
09-17 20:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xad1a39…
09-17 20:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ce237…
09-17 20:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6dfdea…
09-17 20:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67a03c…
09-17 20:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xe81cd1…
09-17 20:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x844b06…
09-17 20:27:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb2c4be…
09-17 20:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x03ad96…
09-17 20:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cb777…
09-17 20:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x65c9e0…
09-17 20:18:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x61f006…
09-17 20:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x753ddf…
09-17 20:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x04e62c…
09-17 20:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x3ab088…
09-17 20:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0fa7dd…
09-17 20:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xae74fa…
09-17 20:14:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x19237a…
09-17 20:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbbcfcd…
09-17 20:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3514e0…
09-17 20:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x983113…
09-17 20:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfda94d…
09-17 20:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x198a3b…
09-17 20:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1789fe…
09-17 20:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe7b0ee…
09-17 19:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x52c688…
09-17 19:57:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ff782…
09-17 19:55:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7b165d…
09-17 19:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x75b0a8…
09-16 16:52:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x0d756d…
09-16 16:51:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc3a85d…
09-16 16:51:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x485665…
09-16 16:51:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98ec28…
09-16 16:49:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x94496e…