Remorseful-Plan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$509

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-15 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

82% 47% -$63

Other

17% 42% -$16

Sports

1% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$156	100	100	+0	Yes	+$42	04-07 18:03
will trump praise allah again by april 15	1	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	-$95	04-10 08:18
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	30	30	+0	No	+$8	05-07 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$5	05-07 20:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	05-23 19:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	04-08 17:02
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$14	30	0	+30	No	-$14	04-10 08:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	19	10	+9	No	-$3	05-23 19:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	1	$12	20	0	+20	No	+$8	03-27 20:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$11	20	0	+20	No	+$9	03-27 20:38
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	-$9	04-10 08:32
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	04-10 08:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$8	21	0	+21	Yes	-$8	03-28 20:49
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	2	$8	13	0	+13	Yes	-$8	04-03 20:23
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	-$8	04-10 08:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	04-14 15:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	04-10 08:14
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	+$4	04-03 20:33
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	13	0	+13	No	-$6	07-15 22:03
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	04-10 08:10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	03-27 20:53
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	-$5	03-27 21:16
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	04-03 20:29
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	17	0	+17	No	-$4	04-15 21:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	07-07 10:15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-07 10:18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-07 10:18
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	07-07 10:20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	07-07 10:17
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	2	$1	90	0	+90	Yes	-$1	04-10 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 22:03:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xbda04c…
07-07 10:20:16	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x58f674…
07-07 10:18:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc20e58…
07-07 10:18:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x98476f…
07-07 10:17:53	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8ef409…
07-07 10:15:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x991a4a…
05-23 19:55:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9f6287…
05-23 19:50:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xdadf19…
05-10 11:31:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xc32eac…
05-07 20:15:23	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xd287d8…
05-07 20:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x89ec4a…
04-15 21:31:50	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x664490…
04-14 15:19:39	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x94a774…
04-14 15:17:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc62d3a…
04-10 08:45:57	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xc9c90a…
04-10 08:45:49	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xd3df76…
04-10 08:36:03	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0xe173ac…
04-10 08:32:39	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb77bad…
04-10 08:26:13	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6af004…
04-10 08:20:41	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfcf659…
04-10 08:18:27	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x453c91…
04-10 08:14:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x15e670…
04-10 08:10:11	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9e4b73…
04-08 18:08:57	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf548d2…
04-08 17:02:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4d074e…
04-08 17:00:55	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc01dde…
04-07 18:03:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x983faa…
04-03 20:37:03	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x525184…
04-03 20:33:45	Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x746803…
04-03 20:29:29	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xaa5ea4…
04-03 20:23:47	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x5806ec…
04-03 20:19:37	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xbea03f…
03-28 20:49:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x9b7733…
03-27 21:16:23	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x39f244…
03-27 20:53:15	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x629dfc…
03-27 20:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4f6b0a…
03-27 20:47:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xee8343…
03-27 20:38:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x6cb877…
03-25 15:35:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x710eab…