Definitive-Ferret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,452

lifetime

Volume

$92.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-18 02:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% $-14

Crypto

22% 0% $-25

Politics

16% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	4	$3.2K	1,608	1,608	+0	open	—	04-01 02:14
will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	56	$3.0K	1,694	1,276	+419	open	—	03-31 14:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$2.8K	1,518	1,518	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	7	$2.7K	1,499	1,499	+0	open	—	06-22 12:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$2.5K	1,328	1,328	+0	open	—	01-30 20:31
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$2.4K	2,407	0	+2,407	open	—	02-03 20:31
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2.1K	1,077	1,076	+0	open	—	03-17 20:33
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	open	—	02-23 22:05
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	5	$2.0K	1,063	1,063	+0	open	—	04-29 19:40
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$1.9K	971	971	+0	open	—	01-29 15:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$1.5K	0	1,559	-1,559	open	—	06-16 05:29
will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	4	$1.5K	846	846	+0	open	—	07-24 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$1.5K	1,295	1,306	-10	open	—	03-17 21:48
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	5	$1.5K	915	915	+0	open	—	02-14 14:59
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1.5K	1,467	0	+1,467	open	—	01-31 22:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	8	$1.4K	1,203	797	+407	open	—	04-21 21:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	8	$1.4K	700	683	+17	open	—	04-28 19:16
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	3	$1.3K	1,232	230	+1,002	open	—	02-25 16:43
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	2	$1.3K	642	641	+0	open	—	04-18 02:54
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$1.2K	390	2,410	-2,021	open	—	03-27 16:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$1.1K	649	649	+0	open	—	06-29 18:44
will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	3	$1.1K	617	617	+0	open	—	07-22 21:00
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	3	$1.1K	701	701	+0	open	—	02-20 18:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1.0K	534	534	+0	open	—	02-25 22:14
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$1.0K	518	518	+0	open	—	01-14 04:03
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	01-07 12:12
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	open	—	01-08 02:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	02-19 00:32
will claude 5 be released on february 15 2026	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	02-15 21:49
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	21	$984	509	485	+25	open	—	01-08 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 02:41:40	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	411	98¢	$404	0xeabc16…
08-17 20:52:36	wti closes above 83 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x410e86…
08-17 20:50:42	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x2534ad…
08-17 20:49:07	wti closes above 83 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x594bfd…
08-11 20:06:48	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	429	35¢	$150	0x5b04b6…
08-07 08:34:06	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	609	80¢	$487	0x938785…
08-06 04:11:54	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1388eb…
08-06 04:09:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x32edf1…
08-06 01:57:51	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x83bba0…
08-06 00:50:03	will xauusd reach 4300 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x4283b6…
08-05 23:46:39	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x9ba568…
08-05 22:08:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	227	88¢	$200	0x803f15…
08-05 20:08:30	bitcoin above 64k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xa138d9…
08-05 20:07:33	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x948314…
08-05 18:30:48	will xauusd reach 4350 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0x424a09…
08-05 16:13:18	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	260	88¢	$229	0xa0c632…
08-05 15:43:23	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xe31049…
08-03 10:01:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	184	71¢	$131	0x3fdeab…
08-01 20:46:59	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x23f88f…
08-01 20:41:38	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0x544154…
08-01 20:39:29	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x0098d4…
08-01 20:38:09	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0xf11cfa…
08-01 20:35:33	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	508	49¢	$250	0x4e9048…
07-31 07:36:17	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0xf840ce…
07-31 05:26:18	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xef2324…
07-31 04:59:39	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xba11d0…
07-30 17:03:38	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,707	10¢	$271	0xb0c8fa…
07-30 13:24:29	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xea2dc3…
07-30 10:22:02	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdadfab…
07-30 10:18:14	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xb6aa05…
07-29 23:46:50	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x811272…
07-27 18:35:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0xc25db2…
07-24 08:47:03	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x63d537…
07-24 07:25:03	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	830	99¢	$824	0xdba990…
07-23 23:18:19	Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	290	90¢	$261	0x8a19f0…
07-22 21:00:16	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	617	98¢	$608	0x650c81…
07-21 17:36:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x5ef50a…
07-21 17:35:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0x0e6574…
07-20 18:51:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	482	10¢	$50	0xbaaca6…
07-20 12:34:42	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xbcbb9e…
07-20 12:34:12	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	557	81¢	$450	0x8a7cad…
07-19 23:06:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x453b5e…
07-19 23:04:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x9f8fb4…
07-19 23:02:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x7f2adc…
07-19 22:55:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9f0517…
07-18 12:10:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xf1ca04…
07-17 19:55:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x2398a1…
07-17 14:20:19	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	400	20¢	$80	0xc9cef2…
07-17 12:28:36	spcx above 180 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x51b301…
07-16 20:10:19	will xauusd dip to 3900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x3040af…
07-16 19:36:44	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x4f18d6…
07-16 19:34:35	will xauusd dip to 3950 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x3cb0c0…
07-16 19:31:05	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0xad0b47…
07-15 20:05:55	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	750	1¢	$5	0x7102d9…
07-15 20:05:28	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x08d9de…
07-15 20:03:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x3e038d…
07-15 20:00:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x67c95c…
07-15 19:59:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	33¢	$70	0x2142a2…
07-13 20:46:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0x6146c5…
07-13 20:44:38	xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	98	59¢	$58	0x469bc6…
07-13 20:40:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x9bf3fd…
07-13 20:37:28	over 18m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325649	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2fddf…
07-13 20:37:08	over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xb7ccc1…
07-13 20:06:13	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	273	73¢	$200	0xaf7f50…
07-12 21:28:10	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	81	49¢	$40	0x8c2e91…
07-11 10:32:34	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb1c853…
07-10 16:00:13	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0xc30181…
07-10 15:38:58	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x1b437c…
07-09 22:08:26	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	397	83¢	$329	0x455c46…
07-09 22:07:46	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	573	87¢	$500	0xc767a9…
07-09 20:36:14	xagusd up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xfc0701…
07-09 19:45:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0xc1c5fc…
07-09 19:45:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xfd8e4b…
07-09 04:19:17	spcx above 140 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x24a075…
07-08 20:49:34	will xauusd dip to 4000 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xb00e37…
07-08 20:47:16	xagusd up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	138	63¢	$87	0x955c48…
07-07 22:19:41	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	397	76¢	$300	0x6278a9…
07-07 21:49:19	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x5272bd…
06-30 20:43:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x5dfcd9…
06-29 21:50:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	458	78¢	$357	0x2ce380…
06-29 18:44:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	559	99¢	$554	0xba0863…
06-29 18:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf6aa12…
06-29 18:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xdba370…
06-29 18:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x7e81bb…
06-29 18:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x454d0b…
06-29 18:39:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x046377…
06-25 15:01:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	230	45¢	$104	0x74c52c…
06-25 15:01:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xaf21c8…
06-25 14:59:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8f1936…
06-25 14:59:44	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x293765…
06-25 14:59:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa155fe…
06-25 14:59:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x391ea8…
06-25 14:54:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x882bf5…
06-25 14:52:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0xcd90f7…
06-24 20:41:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x0bd5eb…
06-23 23:10:17	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	410	98¢	$401	0xed47c0…
06-23 22:15:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc175c6…
06-23 21:30:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	59¢	$400	0xe6feda…
06-22 12:56:25	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x99f2f0…
06-22 12:56:17	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0xb96d7c…