Impish-Eponym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$51

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-26 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% -$15

Politics

18% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+54	$20	39¢	$21	+$1	10-26 16:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+13	$10	76¢	$10	+$0	10-26 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+12	$10	82¢	$10	$0	10-26 16:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+16	$10	58¢	$10	$0	10-26 16:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-26 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:50:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe38b37…
10-26 16:49:24	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x909171…
10-26 16:41:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2aaf3b…
10-26 16:40:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3b6010…
10-26 16:38:05	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x4b80ad…
07-14 15:50:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0xd21651…
07-14 15:49:22	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0xf38814…
05-26 07:14:52	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x2f78c1…
05-21 13:51:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd58432…
05-21 13:04:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x523bcb…
05-21 13:03:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc87906…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$67	46	46	+0	open	—	07-14 15:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 13:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	10-26 16:38
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$15	78	0	+78	Spain	-$15	07-14 15:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	10-26 16:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	10-26 16:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-26 16:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-21 13:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-26 16:50