Apprehensive-Wraparound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

264

Trades

1,459

lifetime

Volume

$3.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-22 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 48% -$105

Other

2% 0% -$8

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:45 UTC	47	$198	200	100	+100	Up	+$0	08-11 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:30 UTC	53	$115	209	19	+190	Down	+$17	08-11 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC	15	$67	105	0	+105	Down	-$22	08-30 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:00 UTC	15	$59	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	08-11 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:45 UTC	21	$50	105	0	+105	Up	+$0	08-11 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 03:45 UTC	23	$49	90	0	+90	Up	+$1	08-06 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	8	$46	65	0	+65	Down	-$1	08-06 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:30 UTC	20	$45	90	0	+90	Up	$0	08-11 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 15:30 UTC	8	$42	56	0	+56	Up	-$6	07-24 15:43
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	10	$41	69	18	+51	No	-$7	10-22 04:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 09:45 UTC	16	$41	75	0	+75	Up	-$1	08-11 09:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 03:15 UTC	21	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	08-06 03:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 10:00 UTC	19	$39	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	08-11 10:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 04:30 UTC	19	$38	75	0	+75	Down	-$3	08-06 04:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:30 UTC	13	$37	70	0	+70	Down	-$7	08-11 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 14:00 UTC	16	$35	70	0	+70	Up	$0	07-25 14:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 11:15 UTC	10	$35	65	0	+65	Down	+$0	08-11 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 13:45 UTC	20	$35	70	0	+70	Down	+$0	07-25 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 09:30 UTC	14	$35	70	0	+70	Up	+$0	08-11 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 15:45 UTC	18	$34	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	08-04 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:30 UTC	12	$30	60	0	+60	Up	$0	08-11 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 15:30 UTC	8	$29	40	20	+20	Up	-$8	07-25 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 13:15 UTC	11	$29	63	0	+63	Down	+$1	08-11 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 03:00 UTC	16	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	08-06 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:45 UTC	14	$29	50	0	+50	Up	-$9	08-06 02:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:45 UTC	12	$29	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	08-11 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:45 UTC	9	$28	70	0	+70	Down	+$2	07-26 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 14:30 UTC	10	$28	50	0	+50	Up	-$8	07-25 14:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 23:00 UTC	15	$28	60	0	+60	Up	+$2	07-26 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:15 UTC	6	$28	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	08-11 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 04:31:56	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x58ed78…
10-21 23:47:54	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb3c1d7…
10-21 23:46:59	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x37ebab…
10-21 23:42:30	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd56b82…
10-21 23:42:24	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd86c1c…
10-21 23:38:17	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc6e9b3…
10-21 22:16:17	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x35d243…
10-21 20:09:29	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xc214d6…
10-21 19:24:08	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9aad61…
10-21 19:20:20	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x152be0…
10-21 19:19:14	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x410b5f…
10-21 19:17:33	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4d93f3…
10-21 14:15:33	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x5c925e…
10-21 13:43:36	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7d239d…
10-21 07:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xa35398…
10-21 07:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa4996c…
10-21 07:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe0695f…
10-21 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x4e1033…
10-21 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x28e994…
10-21 07:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7e7e99…
10-21 07:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x59dff0…
10-21 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xab0eaf…
10-21 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x52f270…
10-21 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x33071a…
10-21 07:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd2d368…
10-21 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe14d3a…
10-21 07:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xf28deb…
10-21 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xac0e6c…
10-21 06:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2cda4d…
10-21 06:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x081d89…
10-21 06:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8248ab…
10-21 05:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x1fa414…
10-21 05:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x847b66…
10-21 05:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7e3107…
10-21 05:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc936d5…
10-21 04:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbaea4c…
10-21 03:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xec0c33…
10-21 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x67312b…
10-20 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x1e3ba2…
10-20 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc1cb59…
10-20 22:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3ee14e…
10-20 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xbcd697…
10-20 21:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe78e67…
10-20 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xcc1145…
10-20 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd913b2…
10-20 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7f6881…
10-19 23:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x5d8834…
10-19 23:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x51ed1f…
10-19 22:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x2efc79…
10-19 22:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xce4db8…
10-19 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaca16c…
10-19 18:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xcee7b3…
10-19 07:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x82741f…
10-19 06:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe592dd…
10-19 04:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xeb76c8…
10-19 03:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xa4a012…
10-18 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcb32d7…
10-18 12:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x118c43…
10-18 06:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x515f84…
10-18 05:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x525f6b…
10-18 04:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5072c3…
10-17 22:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc6d953…
10-17 21:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x995258…
10-17 21:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x4f525f…
10-17 21:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc500e4…
10-17 18:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe5bd32…
10-17 15:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x2bcd3b…
10-17 10:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xceda3a…
10-17 10:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x408f7a…
10-17 09:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb593d8…
10-17 08:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xe57f49…
10-17 08:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xed959d…
10-17 05:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x316e46…
10-17 05:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe95a9a…
10-17 04:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x06d592…
10-17 03:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x8f8975…
10-16 23:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x328ec9…
10-16 22:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x598a9b…
10-16 20:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9cc626…
10-16 07:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf5429b…
10-16 04:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xc615af…
10-16 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x500d55…
10-16 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x0c4678…
10-15 16:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7024b3…
10-15 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x611ae9…
10-15 10:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xb698be…
10-15 05:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x81fe04…
10-15 05:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd9945e…
10-14 19:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x06776f…
10-14 14:51:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x613f14…
10-14 09:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x85f4fe…
10-14 07:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x957540…
10-14 06:56:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x45851a…
10-14 06:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x0eb216…
10-13 23:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xff6cfe…
10-13 22:35:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x2a77d0…
10-13 21:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc754de…
10-13 20:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd442cf…
10-12 19:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x03ad12…
10-03 11:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8421bc…