Lonely-Someplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

281

Trades

1,718

lifetime

Volume

$8.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-10 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 45% $-8

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	2	$168	110	110	+0	open	—	04-30 19:59
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$132	76	76	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$110	73	71	+2	open	—	04-25 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-27 19:35
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	3	$78	48	48	-0	Down	+$18	05-10 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$68	39	38	+1	open	—	04-27 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	10	$61	83	36	+48	open	—	04-26 02:00
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$60	74	0	+74	open	—	04-30 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$59	73	0	+73	open	—	04-30 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$59	31	30	+0	open	—	04-27 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	5	$57	109	0	+109	open	—	04-30 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	9	$56	91	0	+91	Down	+$35	05-08 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$56	29	28	+0	open	—	04-27 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	2	$56	34	34	+0	open	—	04-30 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$55	53	51	+2	open	—	04-25 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	04-27 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	2	$52	53	53	+0	open	—	04-30 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET	3	$51	90	0	+90	open	—	04-30 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-27 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-27 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$50	77	27	+51	open	—	04-27 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$49	33	32	+1	open	—	04-25 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$48	26	26	+0	open	—	04-27 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$48	32	31	+1	open	—	04-25 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$47	78	25	+53	open	—	04-27 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$47	26	25	+0	open	—	04-27 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$45	30	29	+1	open	—	04-25 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 22:51:38	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4a0344…
05-10 22:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x3e5d91…
05-10 22:51:12	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x991013…
05-10 22:50:59	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0x9166eb…
05-10 20:31:22	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x0032f2…
05-10 20:31:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x344dbe…
05-10 20:31:10	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3caf59…
05-10 20:31:08	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x6d0bc5…
05-10 20:31:05	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x8fb5b5…
05-10 20:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xcef366…
05-10 20:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0834ef…
05-10 20:30:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x638ec2…
05-10 18:02:13	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xfa962d…
05-10 18:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x931a1f…
05-10 18:02:06	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x374b8f…
05-10 18:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x85572d…
05-10 18:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xe32733…
05-10 18:01:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x648294…
05-10 17:01:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xb9fb4c…
05-10 17:01:31	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x015bf8…
05-10 17:00:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xa23e9a…
05-10 17:00:56	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x1d0590…
05-10 16:02:10	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb79032…
05-10 16:02:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$12	0x16745c…
05-10 16:02:03	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x6f0a4d…
05-10 16:01:59	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xcee62c…
05-10 16:01:56	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa8f9aa…
05-10 16:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1c1cf4…
05-10 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x39e1a7…
05-10 16:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x1ce385…
05-10 15:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xed835a…
05-10 15:01:51	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1d64a3…
05-10 15:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x1bcd08…
05-10 15:01:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xeb8c14…
05-10 14:01:32	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6d0280…
05-10 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9c0b39…
05-10 14:00:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x44cbb1…
05-10 13:01:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x40ba93…
05-10 12:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc53f24…
05-10 12:01:41	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaafc5d…
05-10 12:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x28e659…
05-10 12:01:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x08c68a…
05-10 12:01:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x79d5c4…
05-10 12:01:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd5cec1…
05-10 11:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7d6a07…
05-10 10:01:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8b9f4c…
05-10 10:01:20	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x684b2e…
05-10 09:01:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x97768e…
05-10 09:01:33	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd3a292…
05-10 09:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xe04c20…
05-10 08:01:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8e4c4e…
05-10 08:01:33	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x811d15…
05-10 08:00:58	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc40bd5…
05-10 02:01:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xfef385…
05-10 02:01:29	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1ffa7f…
05-10 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x876acb…
05-10 02:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18c1df…
05-10 01:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x9e3b89…
05-10 01:01:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xdc244b…
05-10 01:01:12	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x55944a…
05-10 00:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1a8245…
05-10 00:01:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd0ff20…
05-09 23:01:23	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7a9cff…
05-09 22:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x082c64…
05-09 22:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x215bc2…
05-09 22:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7c5fb…
05-09 22:00:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0a9029…
05-09 22:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd6cf8a…
05-09 21:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8fd67f…
05-09 21:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3a6182…
05-09 21:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbbb312…
05-09 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xf04efc…
05-09 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x195ef9…
05-09 20:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xcf3e77…
05-09 20:01:41	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2e9d46…
05-09 20:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2bf754…
05-09 20:01:36	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe22942…
05-09 20:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x0d9947…
05-09 20:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9c3ad7…
05-09 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x8a4d17…
05-09 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x119a52…
05-09 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xf7d44a…
05-09 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd12478…
05-09 19:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1579c4…
05-09 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x1c1155…
05-09 19:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa47119…
05-09 19:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6c55ef…
05-09 19:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5ab96d…
05-09 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9c8b7…
05-09 19:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6a0ef7…
05-09 19:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xbfda60…
05-09 19:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x739f57…
05-09 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x95ebdf…
05-09 19:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4525de…
05-09 19:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6fc934…
05-09 19:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x492fd7…
05-09 19:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf8723b…
05-09 19:01:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x05ddad…
05-09 19:01:08	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x9ac971…
05-09 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x42b5b0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	916	$803	2,612	05-11 00:00
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	828	$278.7K	22,952	05-10 18:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	702	$297.5K	13,676	05-10 22:24
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	687	$50.5K	6,769	05-09 19:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	668	$138.2K	25,779	05-10 18:45
(anonymous) 0xda34…8848	650	$1.07K	3,013	05-09 20:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	634	$991.5K	42,249	05-10 19:54
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	632	$49.4K	7,053	05-10 16:55