Moral-Candelabra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

172

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$807

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$24	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$17	17	17	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$16	8	11	-3	Up	+$3	05-11 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$16	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	5	$8	1,085	16	+1,069	open	—	05-14 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$6	13	13	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$5	0	11	-11	Down	$-0	05-10 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2AM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05dfa9…
05-15 15:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x887e72…
05-15 15:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x765ac9…
05-15 15:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe19b5c…
05-15 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x993fa2…
05-15 13:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x2da854…
05-15 13:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x181562…
05-15 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x027f4a…
05-15 13:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8969f3…
05-15 13:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2efbe5…
05-15 13:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6a645c…
05-15 12:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x74afa9…
05-15 12:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x7b9f9f…
05-15 12:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb523b8…
05-15 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x712d05…
05-15 12:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0716e6…
05-15 12:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x610e12…
05-15 12:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a9b02…
05-15 12:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4b5adf…
05-15 12:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0xad5e4d…
05-15 12:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5b384c…
05-15 12:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcce5ca…
05-15 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x39e725…
05-15 12:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x878cd3…
05-15 12:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6cc6dd…
05-15 12:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf385d4…
05-15 12:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xac3a2d…
05-15 11:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xc548d1…
05-15 11:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4c72e0…
05-15 11:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcf45d…
05-15 11:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x998f81…
05-15 11:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x311afb…
05-15 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfd75fa…
05-14 18:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c6658…
05-14 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x93d2df…
05-14 16:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfa0061…
05-14 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x112bb0…
05-14 16:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb5b685…
05-14 16:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5f4c0b…
05-14 16:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xd180c0…
05-14 16:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x142d71…
05-14 16:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3bcd3e…
05-14 15:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbe7209…
05-14 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb3a5f1…
05-14 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa0b164…
05-14 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x77d8a4…
05-14 12:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x9e7460…
05-14 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x942ebc…
05-14 12:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf1728b…
05-14 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe26575…
05-14 12:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x8e065c…
05-14 12:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x963442…
05-14 12:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe88929…
05-14 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd20f2e…
05-14 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x368686…
05-14 12:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6f1b36…
05-14 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcd63c9…
05-14 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x2deceb…
05-14 12:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa85ba1…
05-14 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbc3f01…
05-14 11:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7d957b…
05-14 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe93507…
05-14 11:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbb9803…
05-14 11:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xacb432…
05-14 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5963fb…
05-14 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf948a4…
05-14 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a9772…
05-14 11:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x83e2d4…
05-14 09:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c0c27…
05-14 09:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x549de6…
05-14 09:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd83812…
05-14 09:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ebf8b…
05-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdf411d…
05-14 07:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x383b22…
05-14 07:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x753493…
05-14 07:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6d96ef…
05-14 07:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x66aaf1…
05-14 07:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x43ac1c…
05-14 06:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe8252c…
05-14 06:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x740f99…
05-14 06:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7f673d…
05-14 06:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9b05e5…
05-14 06:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x47c616…
05-14 06:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9de381…
05-14 06:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe9d637…
05-14 06:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x438a4b…
05-14 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x4c2252…
05-14 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33de42…
05-14 05:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb15aa1…
05-14 05:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61ea98…
05-14 05:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5e8d86…
05-14 05:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x609fad…
05-14 05:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x897746…
05-14 05:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7b67a4…
05-14 05:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x76675d…
05-14 05:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe9e05a…
05-14 05:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x128343…
05-14 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x862471…
05-14 05:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7500e5…
05-14 05:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x23ec67…