Cautious-Hostel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$531

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-07 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 0% $-13

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	3	$22	22,500	0	+22,500	open	—	05-04 16:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$20	31	11	+20	open	—	05-04 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$20	12	11	+1	open	—	05-03 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$19	24	19	+5	open	—	05-03 23:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$14	94	0	+94	open	—	05-02 16:10
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$11	405	405	+0	open	—	05-03 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$10	56	10	+46	open	—	05-03 21:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 23:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	83	83	+0	Yes	$-0	05-03 19:25
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 23:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 00:24
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 00:21
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 22:52
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 23:58
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 00:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$8	21	0	+21	Up	$-8	05-07 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 21:53
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 23:38
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$7	63	58	+5	open	—	05-03 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$6	1,880	0	+1,880	open	—	05-03 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$6	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 19:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x422e56…
05-07 19:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e7b46…
05-07 19:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x769c6d…
05-04 16:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	7,500	0¢	$8	0x24762b…
05-04 16:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	7,500	0¢	$8	0x4d8ab7…
05-04 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	7,500	0¢	$8	0x8dc6cd…
05-04 00:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1ff35a…
05-04 00:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdff634…
05-04 00:52:10	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x3e6f2e…
05-04 00:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5410b7…
05-04 00:51:30	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x068e95…
05-04 00:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x26a704…
05-04 00:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x6c91e8…
05-04 00:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc82db4…
05-04 00:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x366b9a…
05-04 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95a05e…
05-04 00:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x74ea5a…
05-04 00:40:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x713d8c…
05-04 00:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9342d0…
05-04 00:38:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7319a…
05-04 00:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x435de4…
05-04 00:38:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x11c378…
05-04 00:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x87ac9e…
05-04 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x0f57c6…
05-04 00:33:14	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x93bf51…
05-04 00:33:14	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x777971…
05-04 00:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x3b0be9…
05-04 00:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x0cf052…
05-04 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6a19e1…
05-04 00:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4aa4ca…
05-04 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0xdf4d57…
05-04 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9da069…
05-04 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x583a90…
05-04 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x55a1c7…
05-04 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x162846…
05-04 00:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0xe50d84…
05-04 00:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x3ff8d3…
05-04 00:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0e4dcc…
05-04 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x478732…
05-04 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x24bf35…
05-04 00:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb9b0dc…
05-04 00:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x433a30…
05-04 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xff6e8d…
05-04 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8d9b2e…
05-04 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x348477…
05-04 00:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2addb9…
05-04 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0xa1e67a…
05-04 00:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	215	0¢	$0	0x69f89c…
05-04 00:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xf7d62f…
05-04 00:26:56	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4c53fd…
05-04 00:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xadeac6…
05-04 00:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x269f37…
05-04 00:23:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf74c52…
05-04 00:21:46	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x366d5a…
05-04 00:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x493797…
05-04 00:21:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f21d6…
05-04 00:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x029b18…
05-04 00:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x98139a…
05-04 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdeb1e3…
05-04 00:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa205e7…
05-04 00:15:48	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x13a63a…
05-04 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x82e12c…
05-04 00:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98bb7f…
05-04 00:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x707d5c…
05-04 00:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x986b51…
05-04 00:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x9b5987…
05-04 00:08:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3487e8…
05-04 00:05:48	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5c7c41…
05-04 00:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x151b86…
05-04 00:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x30d416…
05-04 00:03:22	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd03cf7…
05-04 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa629f2…
05-04 00:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3f3a06…
05-04 00:01:46	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2e76e0…
05-03 23:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x903ee1…
05-03 23:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x5081d1…
05-03 23:54:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xcb55fb…
05-03 23:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x06fdb9…
05-03 23:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x26cd19…
05-03 23:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfce794…
05-03 23:48:30	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0a39a8…
05-03 23:43:26	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82b7da…
05-03 23:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x55afd4…
05-03 23:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x66d6c1…
05-03 23:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5ab587…
05-03 23:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x2f63f3…
05-03 23:38:24	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe1d64a…
05-03 23:38:24	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa6aef4…
05-03 23:38:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xa96432…
05-03 23:37:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xec3be9…
05-03 23:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x44258e…
05-03 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xe14185…
05-03 23:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xdab5c4…
05-03 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x1e4cee…
05-03 23:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x1fc769…
05-03 23:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd7a183…
05-03 23:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xea0359…
05-03 23:22:34	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x81ee73…
05-03 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,875	0¢	$2	0x1db012…
05-03 23:18:58	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf9777…