Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

827

Trades

1,090

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-09 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 76% +$5

Politics

6% 50% +$1,060

Other

2% 82% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 7?	No		+13	$12	7¢	$1	-$11	11-08 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$579	4,594	4,594	+0	Yes	-$246	02-28 23:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$376	1,681	0	+1,681	No	+$1,305	01-14 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	12	$357	353	233	+120	Down	-$23	10-16 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	11	$289	273	214	+59	Down	+$26	10-09 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$230	266	39	+227	Down	+$7	10-10 17:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	8	$194	240	76	+164	Up	+$8	10-16 10:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	6	$169	129	129	+0	Up	-$31	10-16 10:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	6	$133	167	42	+124	Down	+$7	10-16 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$112	206	0	+206	Up	-$52	11-01 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$108	122	0	+122	Down	+$14	10-31 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	5	$106	131	43	+88	Down	-$6	10-16 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$106	117	0	+117	Down	+$11	10-31 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$102	116	0	+116	Up	+$14	10-31 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$100	174	0	+174	Up	+$74	11-02 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$96	145	0	+145	Up	-$48	11-03 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$96	137	74	+64	Down	+$10	10-10 18:12
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	4	$92	122	45	+78	Down	+$20	10-16 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$92	104	0	+104	Down	+$12	11-02 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$92	113	0	+113	Down	+$21	11-04 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	3	$90	89	89	+0	Down	-$10	10-16 10:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:25 UTC	4	$88	115	42	+72	Up	+$10	10-16 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$88	107	32	+75	Down	+$13	10-10 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$88	103	0	+103	Down	+$15	10-30 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$88	107	0	+107	Down	+$19	11-04 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	4	$80	130	0	+130	Up	+$50	10-16 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$78	159	0	+159	Down	+$81	10-30 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$75	103	0	+103	Up	-$75	11-05 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$75	118	0	+118	Up	+$43	10-10 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	3	$75	100	0	+100	Down	+$25	10-16 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$73	86	58	+27	Down	+$1	10-10 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x43a3f3…
11-09 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x6342d4…
11-08 22:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xb8996b…
11-08 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xd8ba4f…
11-08 06:16:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 7?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe8c95b…
11-07 04:59:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 7?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x59a38e…
11-06 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xa5f9fd…
11-06 20:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x8c4eb5…
11-06 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xbdbf53…
11-06 02:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x3259ac…
11-06 01:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x43608f…
11-05 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0xaa1ada…
11-05 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x70dd4b…
11-05 13:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xcf3204…
11-05 08:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x0f15d5…
11-05 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x575ff3…
11-05 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x21fde5…
11-05 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0xdf59b6…
11-04 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	96	43¢	$41	0xbf1933…
11-04 20:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0x377407…
11-04 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xbd638b…
11-04 16:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xadc8c0…
11-04 16:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xa934a1…
11-04 15:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x77c429…
11-04 15:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0x2e2151…
11-04 14:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0xa1f64a…
11-04 14:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x723813…
11-04 11:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe438fc…
11-04 08:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x52ca65…
11-04 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x1f30e7…
11-04 07:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xb8aeb0…
11-04 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x50804b…
11-04 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x270642…
11-04 05:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0x657ffa…
11-04 03:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x7fce3b…
11-04 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0xcd7143…
11-04 01:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x130491…
11-04 01:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x2a80c3…
11-04 00:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x295412…
11-03 17:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	78¢	$41	0xac57b9…
11-03 15:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x61c149…
11-03 15:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x261f25…
11-03 15:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x2707df…
11-03 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xb9c592…
11-03 14:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x26d3e5…
11-03 14:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x552d4f…
11-03 13:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x70e3df…
11-03 12:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xdcb411…
11-03 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	85¢	$43	0x160d6d…
11-03 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xf748e6…
11-03 00:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0xb01b80…
11-03 00:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	84	64¢	$54	0xfcec7f…
11-02 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xe3bd47…
11-02 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0xa2e284…
11-02 19:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0xed53ac…
11-02 19:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x2e3b6c…
11-02 18:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xe84a26…
11-02 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x1c96ac…
11-02 15:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x47ec1e…
11-02 15:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xe21d34…
11-02 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2953a7…
11-02 12:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	88¢	$49	0x5d7d0d…
11-02 10:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xa04574…
11-02 10:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x791c14…
11-02 09:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x916419…
11-02 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	77¢	$48	0x8c5204…
11-02 06:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x22001d…
11-02 04:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	88¢	$47	0x677c47…
11-02 03:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x400df3…
11-02 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x829c5e…
11-02 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0xeae1fd…
11-02 00:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2c51cd…
11-01 14:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xb23870…
11-01 14:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	147	38¢	$56	0x0b5926…
11-01 11:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x3d98c0…
10-31 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xde4585…
10-31 23:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	66	82¢	$54	0x61b47a…
10-31 22:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x19272a…
10-31 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x3c9332…
10-31 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x39353d…
10-31 22:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x992147…
10-31 21:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x37359d…
10-31 15:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xdd7ff8…
10-31 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	80¢	$51	0x674f0d…
10-31 01:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x853ae7…
10-31 00:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x4f57e8…
10-31 00:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x2a2943…
10-30 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x8b58fd…
10-30 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x1145de…
10-30 19:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0x6a6547…
10-30 19:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x21a3f7…
10-30 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x1ef23a…
10-30 18:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0xaddb1c…
10-30 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x5d191e…
10-30 16:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xa93341…
10-30 15:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xac6929…
10-30 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	49	85¢	$42	0x4cd101…
10-30 14:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x4168e7…
10-30 14:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x0d5fb7…
10-30 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc1f58e…