Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-17

last 11-06 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

82% 60% +$9

Politics

15% 56% +$1

Tech

3% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	11-03 19:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	11-02 10:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	11-03 03:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	66¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:57
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	70¢	$1	$0	11-06 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	2	$3	6	+6	Yes	$0	08-30 17:22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 05:24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-07 23:49
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-18 09:10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 19:58
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-16 10:49
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 17:20
Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 11:55
will coin dip to 140 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 03:46
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-25 02:56
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-11 11:42
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-20 21:35
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-24 06:24
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-20 12:28
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 14:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-19 18:17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 20:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	08-23 22:23
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-17 11:59
spy up or down on august 21 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	08-21 02:03
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-18 12:33
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-17 20:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-23 07:32
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-20 09:09
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-29 18:07
will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-21 22:09
will warsh say capex or capital expenditure during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-20 18:00
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-01 13:49
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$3	08-21 12:32
will coin reach 160 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-18 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:57:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x87f6c3…
11-06 01:24:31	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0b3d28…
11-05 13:14:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa01e1e…
11-05 02:41:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8600ab…
11-03 19:33:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd16cb7…
11-03 11:15:06	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x404a19…
11-03 03:14:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x83a2ea…
11-02 19:12:58	Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2e2f1…
11-02 10:51:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2743c6…
11-02 10:51:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7bdad7…
11-02 02:51:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2d8bcb…
10-31 05:14:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x498400…
10-28 00:04:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbceba2…
10-27 15:49:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x405973…
10-27 07:49:05	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa2c86c…
10-26 23:48:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb86c4d…
10-25 14:41:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7984d1…
10-25 06:18:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7830bd…
10-23 21:27:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdcce09…
10-23 11:11:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb40cd8…
10-22 01:42:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcda60f…
10-21 03:06:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa3dea8…
10-18 11:56:09	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2e951a…
10-17 23:55:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xab7871…
10-17 15:53:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4dc2f5…
10-17 04:24:32	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3fe18d…
10-13 23:17:49	will xagusd reach 60 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd76ab4…
10-12 03:17:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $225 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8a0701…
10-11 19:17:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1c81cf…
10-11 10:54:23	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8fc0b5…
10-11 02:51:30	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x58ac0b…
10-10 11:29:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf06e1…
10-08 13:09:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2551c1…
10-08 03:26:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9eb86a…
10-07 05:08:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd33c00…
10-06 21:07:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcd241d…
10-06 01:04:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7cb3e7…
10-05 15:12:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3936ce…
10-05 00:53:43	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x24588f…
09-24 19:09:17	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc90792…
09-20 21:35:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x222e7c…
09-20 12:28:55	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6180c6…
09-19 08:21:24	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8e3f33…
09-18 09:10:39	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa760db…
09-16 20:42:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xce01d8…
09-16 10:49:51	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x12564e…
09-11 11:42:01	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xa6ac29…
09-10 14:44:18	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xf177e1…
09-10 05:24:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x95956d…
09-09 19:58:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1cfbea…
09-09 11:55:06	Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xec0060…
09-08 17:20:12	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xcc72ca…
09-07 23:49:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x3f4a11…
09-01 13:49:48	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xfe4728…
08-30 17:22:57	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6db4ec…
08-30 14:16:24	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xa242f0…
08-29 18:07:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x64c370…
08-29 09:36:42	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x870483…
08-29 00:19:33	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf8ec15…
08-25 02:56:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x7b9d96…
08-24 06:24:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe8e188…
08-23 22:23:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc9bf79…
08-23 07:32:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x5982d3…
08-21 22:09:28	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x19093b…
08-21 12:32:28	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x25fcbe…
08-21 02:03:21	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xa69f72…
08-20 18:00:01	will warsh say capex or capital expenditure during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x81be52…
08-20 09:09:13	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x088c98…
08-19 18:17:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x38f10f…
08-19 05:48:34	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf01398…
08-18 12:33:42	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x9509e6…
08-18 04:19:06	will coin reach 160 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xb97a78…
08-17 20:16:22	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x9ad93d…
08-17 11:59:03	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc0bd1a…
08-17 03:46:40	will coin dip to 140 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x741cc4…