Realized P&L
-$2.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$343
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
292
Trades
920
lifetime
Volume
$36.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$8.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
65% 79% -$640
Politics
25% 67% -$1,681
Sports
8% 100% +$1
Tech
2% 71% -$61
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 33% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,971 $4,864 89¢ $4.4K -$418 10-29 13:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +526 $422 96¢ $507 +$85 10-28 18:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +505 $400 84¢ $427 +$27 10-22 06:04
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? No +610 $433 63¢ $384 -$49 10-28 17:43
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +329 $306 97¢ $319 +$13 10-27 22:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +302 $301 100¢ $301 +$0 10-28 18:36
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +333 $297 87¢ $288 -$9 10-26 12:14
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +205 $205 100¢ $205 $0 10-27 04:16
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +160 $160 100¢ $160 $0 10-29 02:28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +133 $108 78¢ $104 -$3 10-25 21:08
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +99 $98 100¢ $98 $0 10-27 03:32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $97 98¢ $97 +$0 10-28 16:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $93 100¢ $95 +$2 10-28 15:48
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +95 $93 99¢ $94 +$1 10-29 09:49
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $93 100¢ $93 +$0 10-27 22:53
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +107 $71 69¢ $74 +$3 10-20 18:13
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +71 $67 94¢ $66 -$1 10-21 03:12
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $44 94¢ $52 +$8 10-21 08:48
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +42 $39 92¢ $39 -$1 10-26 02:36
will yair lapid be the next speaker of the knesset 20261019103128390 No +38 $38 95¢ $36 -$1 10-19 23:42
Will Poolside be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-29 19:32
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 98¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026? No +32 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 10-29 16:31
Will Josh Giddey lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27? No +32 $31 95¢ $30 -$1 10-17 14:00
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 99¢ $29 +$0 10-26 16:22
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +28 $25 88¢ $24 -$1 10-24 01:11
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? No +27 $24 88¢ $24 +$0 10-08 20:11
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 10-29 12:37
Will Sparta Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-29 04:36