Likely-Care — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

1,909

Trades

8,240

lifetime

Volume

$445.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-27 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

96% 85% +$42,039

Crypto

4% 35% -$97

Sports

0% 100% +$28

Politics

0% 60% -$103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+868	$27	3¢	$22	-$5	10-25 22:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	246	$21.9K	23,312	0	+23,312	No	+$1,368	09-01 04:33
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	285	$19.4K	13,665	10,683	+2,983	Yes	-$1,288	07-07 12:41
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	113	$11.5K	16,559	1,344	+15,215	Yes	-$4,461	09-14 23:38
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	66	$10.1K	12,226	0	+12,226	Yes	+$2,149	07-27 20:45
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	136	$9.6K	10,487	117	+10,370	No	+$1,011	07-14 14:24
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	112	$9.3K	13,357	1,833	+11,525	No	+$3,988	07-21 08:10
will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 30 million views this week 20260805171239503	7	$8.6K	8,824	0	+8,824	No	+$204	08-11 14:08
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	120	$8.6K	11,637	2,312	+9,324	No	-$2,449	07-14 14:24
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	198	$8.0K	8,344	4,788	+3,556	No	-$2,315	07-07 15:31
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?	67	$7.9K	7,769	1,256	+6,513	Yes	+$847	06-01 14:47
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	108	$5.5K	5,920	0	+5,920	Yes	+$413	06-29 13:30
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	6	$5.3K	5,839	0	+5,839	No	+$493	08-27 07:12
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	42	$5.3K	13,704	194	+13,511	Yes	+$6,677	08-17 07:51
Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	9	$5.2K	5,272	0	+5,272	Yes	+$65	10-05 15:39
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	82	$4.9K	6,248	0	+6,248	No	+$1,398	07-27 20:59
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	84	$4.8K	10,103	506	+9,597	No	-$762	05-19 18:34
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	29	$4.3K	4,910	0	+4,910	Yes	+$600	09-01 04:33
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	35	$4.3K	4,318	0	+4,318	Yes	+$47	08-03 06:41
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?	80	$4.2K	5,027	722	+4,305	No	+$1,376	07-07 12:41
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	77	$4.0K	4,606	1,606	+3,000	No	-$1,392	06-23 12:53
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	72	$4.0K	5,410	165	+5,245	Yes	+$1,559	07-21 05:55
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	8	$3.7K	3,861	0	+3,861	Yes	+$195	10-19 19:32
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	13	$3.6K	4,057	0	+4,057	Yes	+$427	06-23 10:28
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	39	$3.3K	2,463	1,178	+1,285	Yes	+$209	05-05 19:08
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	20	$3.2K	4,243	1,957	+2,286	No	+$2,735	08-17 16:15
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	27	$3.2K	4,731	0	+4,731	Yes	+$1,545	07-07 05:38
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	82	$3.1K	3,286	0	+3,286	Yes	+$195	06-29 13:53
Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	1	$2.8K	2,979	0	+2,979	No	+$165	10-17 23:04
Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	26	$2.8K	2,988	0	+2,988	Yes	+$187	09-01 06:51
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	52	$2.8K	6,227	0	+6,227	Yes	+$3,436	05-11 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:21:35	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x140b2c…
10-27 03:12:24	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x2c1f10…
10-27 03:11:45	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8df971…
10-27 02:56:08	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xb6e8ab…
10-27 02:54:41	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcc8ff2…
10-27 02:52:56	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xa46088…
10-27 02:51:35	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x58ccfe…
10-27 02:51:35	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3db209…
10-27 02:04:24	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd1fbaf…
10-27 02:04:23	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a6ceb…
10-27 01:59:12	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x81d084…
10-27 01:40:47	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8a898b…
10-27 01:40:45	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8b0c03…
10-27 01:39:18	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7269da…
10-27 01:39:17	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8ab382…
10-27 01:39:12	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeab6cc…
10-27 01:39:11	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7ca5f5…
10-27 01:36:47	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4d497f…
10-27 01:36:42	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2c2507…
10-27 01:34:11	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xce66c0…
10-27 01:34:09	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x20461b…
10-27 01:31:09	Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdaaaac…
10-27 01:31:08	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67652d…
10-27 01:31:08	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	632	98¢	$619	0x5a9885…
10-27 01:31:08	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x073a05…
10-27 01:31:08	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	316	98¢	$311	0x04baa8…
10-27 01:31:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa55a6f…
10-27 01:31:06	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6849a4…
10-26 14:23:38	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x4484b2…
10-26 14:23:00	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe1b5c7…
10-26 14:16:21	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1,106	90¢	$995	0x3ba67a…
10-26 14:16:20	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xa9bfd7…
10-26 13:11:14	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x05288a…
10-26 13:10:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcae892…
10-26 13:09:56	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x4aab30…
10-26 13:09:47	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x95e505…
10-26 13:04:50	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x35ba54…
10-26 13:01:41	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x5fe601…
10-26 13:01:32	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	262	60¢	$157	0x42c63e…
10-26 13:01:32	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	281	56¢	$157	0x025352…
10-26 13:00:29	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa08a83…
10-26 13:00:27	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xdfb57c…
10-26 13:00:26	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xe3d283…
10-26 13:00:23	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x3e14f5…
10-26 13:00:21	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x945170…
10-26 13:00:18	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x1f4994…
10-26 12:59:17	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	133	50¢	$66	0x311f6f…
10-26 12:59:15	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x968bf0…
10-26 12:59:14	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x218a41…
10-26 12:59:03	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xec9174…
10-26 12:59:00	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	120	47¢	$57	0xfb753b…
10-26 12:58:57	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x63edbb…
10-26 12:58:54	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0xf204d3…
10-26 12:58:54	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x9d1cb3…
10-26 12:58:39	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	127	42¢	$53	0xd56862…
10-26 12:44:12	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	156	95¢	$149	0xb6536d…
10-26 12:20:42	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0x2f9a6f…
10-26 12:20:38	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	280	95¢	$267	0x2d50b3…
10-26 12:20:30	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	281	95¢	$267	0x2bb06e…
10-26 12:20:21	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	228	95¢	$218	0x3b56e5…
10-25 22:57:03	Will Google have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	2¢	$6	0xd89853…
10-25 22:54:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	868	3¢	$27	0x6a8489…
10-25 22:53:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,956	10¢	$293	0x0d29f1…
10-25 22:51:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	883	2¢	$14	0xe3c6a3…
10-25 22:49:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,812	7¢	$121	0x9d6570…
10-25 20:06:53	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xef10fb…
10-25 20:06:21	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	85	18¢	$15	0x377d41…
10-25 17:27:27	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	396	74¢	$294	0xe0f7a7…
10-25 17:25:15	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	301	14¢	$43	0x552d07…
10-25 17:23:11	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	250	55¢	$138	0x64f527…
10-25 17:13:21	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xc9af86…
10-25 17:05:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0xef7803…
10-25 17:05:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x0fe170…
10-25 16:48:08	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	119	15¢	$17	0x76c76b…
10-25 16:48:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5d17bb…
10-25 16:30:02	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x9d949b…
10-25 16:29:59	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb29873…
10-25 16:29:56	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x7a085d…
10-25 16:29:54	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4acffc…
10-25 16:29:20	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	676	10¢	$68	0xa6c141…
10-25 16:29:20	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	962	7¢	$71	0x0a19e5…
10-25 16:29:18	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	161	7¢	$11	0xc2d34d…
10-25 16:29:18	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	198	6¢	$13	0x66206f…
10-25 16:06:39	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x429f6c…
10-25 13:56:50	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x3a39bf…
10-25 13:56:23	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8f8d2a…
10-25 13:56:08	Will "Evil Dead Burn" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x7bbf94…
10-25 10:41:36	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9030f9…
10-25 07:39:18	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x2c83ef…
10-25 07:39:17	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x28fdcb…
10-24 19:47:38	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xbe71f2…
10-24 17:08:12	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xa21012…
10-24 17:08:12	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x391355…
10-24 15:35:03	Will "Sacrifice" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x1bba6b…
10-24 14:04:38	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x1e273e…
10-24 13:59:41	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0x3a3496…
10-24 13:29:08	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xff32e1…
10-24 13:06:02	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0xe9c067…
10-24 12:38:20	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x65df83…
10-24 08:46:12	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xb97004…