Haunting-Disadvantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-07 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

63% 50% +$1

Politics

36% 50% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	4	$2.9K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	03-17 03:09
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	3	$2.8K	1,434	1,434	+0	open	—	03-17 06:54
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$2.8K	2,623	2,623	+0	open	—	03-17 07:26
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	3	$370	2,259	2,259	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 07:08
chi ron hai 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	2	$148	225	0	+225	open	—	03-14 14:48
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	3	$106	1,056	1,056	+0	No	+$2	03-16 05:27
nba mil atl 2026 03 14 1h spread home 4pt5	1	$90	195	0	+195	open	—	03-14 15:45
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$73	2,026	2,026	+0	No	+$0	03-16 15:12
Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5)	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 06:47
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	1	$17	18	0	+18	RCD Mallorca	+$1	05-10 06:28
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 sev	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	03-14 16:11
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	3	$13	1,625	1,625	+0	open	—	03-16 15:00
es2 lpm mal 2026 06 07 total 4pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 14:17
nba was bos 2026 03 14	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-14 15:58
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-30 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:17:18	es2 lpm mal 2026 06 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1fc363…
05-30 07:29:54	CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1d2e09…
05-21 06:47:27	Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5)	SC Corinthians Paulista	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x6fa112…
05-10 06:28:39	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xba0d20…
03-17 07:26:11	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	1,321	97¢	$1,280	0x94b4dd…
03-17 07:26:11	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x7ee667…
03-17 07:15:59	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	617	97¢	$597	0xec289d…
03-17 07:15:59	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	762	97¢	$738	0x3a5aac…
03-17 07:08:39	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	1,368	8¢	$112	0xdc5a46…
03-17 07:08:37	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	891	8¢	$73	0x9a9d8f…
03-17 07:00:15	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	2,259	8¢	$185	0x47dd2e…
03-17 06:54:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	SELL	1,434	98¢	$1,405	0x2e4435…
03-17 06:44:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x714403…
03-17 06:44:23	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	1,429	98¢	$1,396	0x318906…
03-17 06:35:23	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,244	3¢	$40	0xdf53f9…
03-17 06:27:55	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,244	3¢	$41	0x830610…
03-17 03:09:03	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	510	92¢	$468	0xe94b74…
03-16 15:32:47	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	379	98¢	$373	0xa8b729…
03-16 15:32:47	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	601	98¢	$591	0x97d220…
03-16 15:23:03	will carlos eduardo palenque win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	1,490	98¢	$1,460	0x3f647d…
03-16 15:12:49	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,026	2¢	$36	0xd553f6…
03-16 15:06:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,390	2¢	$25	0xf163cd…
03-16 15:06:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	377	2¢	$7	0x4d18b9…
03-16 15:06:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	259	2¢	$5	0x04f91d…
03-16 15:00:57	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	699	0¢	$3	0xe856f8…
03-16 15:00:57	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	926	0¢	$4	0x20c50b…
03-16 14:51:35	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	1,625	0¢	$6	0x3bab1f…
03-16 05:27:41	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	901	5¢	$46	0xa5202c…
03-16 05:27:41	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	155	5¢	$8	0x536230…
03-16 05:20:03	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,056	5¢	$52	0x4cf543…
03-14 16:11:31	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 sev	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x20207b…
03-14 15:58:55	nba was bos 2026 03 14	Celtics	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x72e480…
03-14 15:45:57	nba mil atl 2026 03 14 1h spread home 4pt5	Bucks	BUY	195	46¢	$90	0x74e6f4…
03-14 14:48:13	chi ron hai 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	85	66¢	$56	0xd6afdf…
03-14 14:48:13	chi ron hai 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	140	66¢	$92	0x74c07e…