Same-Darn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$321

Unrealized P&L

+$113

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

21,292

Trades

21,704

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-28 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 56% +$414

Other

12% 58% -$32

Politics

0% 0% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+69	-$61	82¢	$56	+$117	10-06 03:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down		+3	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 20:00
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down		+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 20:00
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	—	+3	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 19:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-28 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-28 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	9	$1.1K	1,000	931	+69	open	—	10-06 03:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$139	257	257	+0	Yes	-$62	10-06 03:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 05:15 UTC	1	$64	122	0	+122	Up	+$58	07-07 05:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 00:15 UTC	1	$64	107	0	+107	Up	+$43	07-12 00:15
solana up or down july 24 2026 11am et	1	$32	70	0	+70	Up	+$38	07-24 15:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	1	$32	58	0	+58	Up	+$26	07-27 23:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	1	$32	54	0	+54	Down	-$32	07-12 00:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:05 UTC	1	$32	61	0	+61	Down	-$32	07-27 23:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 05:00 UTC	1	$32	60	0	+60	Down	-$32	07-07 05:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 01:45 UTC	1	$32	61	0	+61	Up	+$29	07-05 01:45
xrp up or down july 24 2026 1pm et	1	$32	55	0	+55	Up	+$23	07-24 17:00
xrp up or down july 27 2026 11pm et	1	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	07-28 03:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 02:30 UTC	1	$32	49	0	+49	Up	+$17	08-03 02:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:35 UTC	1	$16	25	0	+25	Down	+$9	07-05 22:35
xrp up or down july 24 2026 12pm et	1	$16	25	0	+25	Down	-$16	07-24 16:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	1	$16	48	0	+48	Down	-$16	07-27 23:00
solana up or down july 8 2026 3am et	1	$16	30	0	+30	Up	+$14	07-08 07:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 15:30 UTC	1	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$13	07-31 15:30
xrp up or down july 27 2026 10pm et	1	$16	29	0	+29	Down	-$16	07-28 02:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC	1	$16	26	0	+26	Up	+$10	07-23 13:30
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:10 UTC	1	$16	31	0	+31	Up	+$15	07-27 23:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 18:45 UTC	1	$16	34	0	+34	Up	+$18	08-01 18:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 01:30 UTC	1	$16	37	0	+37	Down	-$16	07-05 01:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 00:15 UTC	1	$16	27	0	+27	Up	+$11	07-12 00:15
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 20:45 UTC	1	$16	24	0	+24	Up	+$8	08-01 20:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 04:45 UTC	1	$16	30	0	+30	Down	-$16	07-07 04:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 16:00 UTC	1	$16	28	0	+28	Down	+$12	07-04 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$16	31	0	+31	Down	+$15	07-21 13:15
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 8pm et	1	$16	29	0	+29	Up	+$13	08-01 00:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	1	$16	27	0	+27	Down	-$16	07-27 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd950de…
10-28 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x48e762…
10-28 20:00:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x440e37…
10-28 19:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d742d…
10-28 19:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37e122…
10-28 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x34b928…
10-28 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa156b6…
10-28 19:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7499c4…
10-28 19:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x71a9d0…
10-28 19:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x59fe59…
10-28 19:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf0a4e9…
10-28 18:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x91de60…
10-28 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x458b48…
10-28 18:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x11f2ce…
10-28 18:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcd2033…
10-28 18:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xba5016…
10-28 17:55:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2b373f…
10-28 17:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea6fc8…
10-28 17:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x641c76…
10-28 17:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf643f1…
10-28 17:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9c82e9…
10-28 12:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbde50d…
10-28 12:15:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2ba70b…
10-28 12:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x51ad2f…
10-28 12:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4ef7f2…
10-28 11:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x048afa…
10-28 08:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d21d5…
10-28 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cffb9…
10-28 08:30:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x35621f…
10-28 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd113bf…
10-28 08:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x75194a…
10-28 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x551cd6…
10-28 08:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c8665…
10-28 08:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x720a68…
10-28 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xac8f18…
10-28 08:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee77c3…
10-28 08:10:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x723f95…
10-28 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4be10b…
10-28 08:05:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x90e44b…
10-28 08:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7f57f1…
10-28 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4d9348…
10-28 08:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd5ad64…
10-28 08:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x126b76…
10-28 07:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x96422e…
10-28 03:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x88f250…
10-28 03:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x32caa3…
10-28 03:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff5db3…
10-28 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb648de…
10-28 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf44862…
10-28 02:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x62b9f2…
10-27 21:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5e47f…
10-27 15:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdead63…
10-27 15:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2b3d03…
10-27 12:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfcab6f…
10-27 12:55:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x92eb08…
10-27 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c24b0…
10-27 12:50:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf9915…
10-27 12:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73d228…
10-27 12:50:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x527e09…
10-27 12:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea56aa…
10-27 12:45:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9f3934…
10-27 12:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb73c75…
10-27 12:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x97d148…
10-27 12:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c14da…
10-27 12:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb98837…
10-27 12:40:05	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x381869…
10-27 12:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x002024…
10-27 12:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78ca79…
10-27 12:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xadc713…
10-27 12:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3f3e31…
10-27 12:30:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6759e2…
10-27 12:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x287d1d…
10-27 12:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x58e99d…
10-27 12:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e9be6…
10-27 10:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0d17a8…
10-27 10:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0f1a11…
10-27 07:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2e7a9a…
10-27 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce8a2a…
10-27 00:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcbdaa6…
10-27 00:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4684be…
10-27 00:10:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xca0ff1…
10-27 00:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x98d381…
10-27 00:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x54144f…
10-27 00:05:05	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x16d2bc…
10-27 00:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x305a1d…
10-26 23:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6cb2f1…
10-26 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd7cc01…
10-26 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc12d33…
10-26 21:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9b890e…
10-26 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ba162…
10-26 21:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd88cc4…
10-26 18:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3b6400…
10-26 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x676b91…
10-26 17:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x16c47e…
10-26 15:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc4f0dc…
10-26 15:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5dd28a…
10-26 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x98ade5…
10-26 15:25:05	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x71766c…
10-26 15:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5c1186…
10-26 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa3021f…