Required-Crane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.84K

Unrealized P&L

+$165

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

163

Trades

1,658

lifetime

Volume

$475.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

$2.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-03 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

93% 77% +$7,337

Crypto

4% 80% +$834

Politics

3% 71% -$349

Tech

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+2,277	$2,056	98¢	$2.2K	+$165	11-02 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	70	$23.4K	16,345	14,969	+1,376	No	-$2,097	04-30 11:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	33	$15.9K	10,681	10,579	+102	No	+$262	04-20 07:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	38	$15.1K	7,756	7,756	+0	No	+$357	07-03 22:59
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	49	$14.6K	8,984	6,457	+2,527	Yes	+$790	06-24 12:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	65	$13.6K	9,024	9,024	+0	No	+$711	06-15 23:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	20	$12.9K	6,727	6,727	+0	No	+$20	07-28 22:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	28	$11.9K	10,170	10,002	+168	No	+$86	04-20 13:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	47	$10.5K	7,283	7,233	+50	Yes	+$81	04-30 03:32
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	21	$9.4K	5,209	5,209	+0	No	+$2	07-29 13:07
will trump visit china by march 31	12	$7.7K	3,897	3,897	+0	No	+$16	03-25 14:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	21	$7.4K	6,059	4,925	+1,134	Yes	+$44	04-17 13:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	31	$7.3K	8,011	6,034	+1,977	Yes	-$539	04-28 09:17
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	10	$7.3K	3,720	3,720	+0	No	+$97	07-01 15:00
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	19	$6.9K	3,496	3,496	+0	No	+$44	03-24 22:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	27	$6.4K	3,660	3,660	+0	No	+$330	05-30 15:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	19	$5.9K	3,303	3,303	+0	No	+$183	05-31 14:02
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$5.7K	6,322	0	+6,322	Yes	+$653	07-05 01:15
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	30	$5.6K	4,877	2,621	+2,255	No	-$246	06-28 22:35
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	7	$5.6K	2,916	2,916	+0	No	+$128	06-26 21:36
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$5.6K	2,822	2,822	+0	No	+$47	03-31 14:26
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	12	$5.6K	2,830	2,830	+0	No	+$75	08-01 04:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	33	$5.6K	4,440	3,998	+441	Yes	-$278	04-29 13:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?	23	$5.5K	3,056	3,056	+0	No	+$275	06-24 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	9	$5.2K	3,274	3,244	+30	Yes	+$283	04-17 12:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	21	$4.7K	2,558	2,558	+0	No	+$143	06-19 18:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	16	$4.6K	2,826	2,826	+0	No	+$35	05-30 00:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$4.5K	2,515	2,497	+18	Yes	+$424	04-14 23:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	11	$4.4K	2,856	2,834	+23	No	-$193	04-25 04:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	25	$4.3K	2,456	2,450	+6	No	-$3	04-30 04:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	20	$4.3K	2,450	2,450	+0	No	-$40	06-19 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:54:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	SELL	580	100¢	$579	0x2bb01c…
11-02 15:24:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xa63da0…
11-02 10:19:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xd39ccb…
11-02 10:19:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8f499c…
09-22 14:50:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	SELL	363	51¢	$185	0x0b33c6…
09-20 15:06:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	SELL	363	89¢	$321	0x9e402c…
09-19 15:39:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x798892…
09-19 15:37:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x8221ec…
09-19 15:36:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,490	0xeb13ae…
09-19 15:19:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xca49f2…
09-17 01:32:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	126	93¢	$117	0xa67a65…
09-16 20:45:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	253	93¢	$236	0x04b60c…
09-16 20:12:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x801499…
09-16 20:10:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x35c8d3…
09-16 19:41:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$934	0x2260ab…
09-15 14:54:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x1477ed…
09-14 15:54:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xafbe7d…
09-14 15:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,484	0xbdd0d7…
09-14 15:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xf7ea5e…
09-14 15:51:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x91b980…
09-14 15:49:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x521882…
08-02 07:47:09	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2fe673…
08-02 03:21:44	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	511	90¢	$460	0xc7c087…
08-02 03:21:26	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	319	53¢	$169	0xe8b148…
08-02 03:21:14	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	106	57¢	$60	0x96ee68…
08-02 02:31:38	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	208	57¢	$118	0x78a7f4…
08-02 02:31:38	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	217	55¢	$120	0x5d5a83…
08-02 02:29:50	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0xeab5fb…
08-02 02:29:48	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,522	88¢	$1,340	0x304ee0…
08-02 02:29:30	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	569	88¢	$500	0x1481fb…
08-02 02:29:21	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	601	83¢	$500	0x9ed804…
08-02 00:54:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	545	92¢	$500	0x8444dc…
08-01 21:59:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	76	80¢	$61	0x66b42d…
08-01 21:59:02	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	224	80¢	$179	0xcf5bfb…
08-01 21:55:08	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x11d604…
08-01 21:54:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd2a2e0…
08-01 21:54:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x7eddd3…
08-01 04:27:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	2,830	100¢	$2,827	0xf00bd4…
08-01 03:18:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	112	87¢	$97	0x0850f6…
07-31 21:49:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa0f4a5…
07-31 21:47:56	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc6f16b…
07-31 15:56:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4b70c…
07-31 15:56:20	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf40ace…
07-31 15:53:53	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0x1f703a…
07-31 05:52:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x6ccaf7…
07-31 04:51:41	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5b4cd8…
07-31 04:37:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0x30d4df…
07-30 16:51:03	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	217	94¢	$203	0x61c006…
07-30 11:23:05	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	794	98¢	$779	0x9310f2…
07-30 11:22:47	will wti reach 105 by july 27 2026	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xafc51a…
07-30 11:22:00	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	284	94¢	$267	0xb4a960…
07-30 11:21:03	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	811	99¢	$802	0x95da17…
07-29 14:31:24	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	SELL	1,331	100¢	$1,330	0xe26d2c…
07-29 14:31:24	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x218f9e…
07-29 13:11:02	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	109	90¢	$98	0x116e85…
07-29 13:10:36	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0xa0e61f…
07-29 13:07:54	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	Yes	BUY	1,170	94¢	$1,100	0x697c16…
07-29 13:07:18	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	1,071	96¢	$1,028	0x713c09…
07-28 22:15:10	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0x6f83f3…
07-28 22:14:52	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	255	86¢	$220	0xd2c54f…
07-28 22:14:02	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	280	85¢	$238	0xd6091d…
07-28 22:13:35	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	572	98¢	$562	0xa87a77…
07-28 22:07:59	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x12d639…
07-28 22:07:55	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xc7fd65…
07-28 22:07:49	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xb11811…
07-28 22:07:29	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xecd0f5…
07-28 22:06:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	572	99¢	$564	0x357384…
07-28 22:06:20	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x1686f9…
07-28 20:47:44	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x375786…
07-28 16:45:52	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x01860d…
07-28 16:44:31	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0xa4afd9…
07-28 16:43:38	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	703	97¢	$682	0xe15e42…
07-28 16:43:26	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1,144	99¢	$1,131	0x29a2ba…
07-28 16:15:58	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	583	94¢	$548	0x0fec6c…
07-28 16:15:28	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1,244	99¢	$1,231	0x218a3f…
07-28 16:15:01	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,094	94¢	$1,028	0xa2f488…
07-28 16:14:41	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1,043	99¢	$1,031	0xb239f1…
07-28 16:09:43	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	968	94¢	$910	0x399a52…
07-28 15:58:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x29f1d2…
07-28 15:58:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x31c9e7…
07-28 15:58:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0xd277b7…
07-28 15:57:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1,525	98¢	$1,501	0x1ee583…
07-27 16:19:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	2,694	97¢	$2,606	0x0df423…
07-27 16:18:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x80f4b1…
07-27 16:14:55	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	2,545	86¢	$2,189	0x1fc984…
07-27 16:13:00	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	501	97¢	$485	0x327565…
07-27 16:12:49	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	532	98¢	$521	0x17254c…
07-27 11:29:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x48d3b7…
07-27 11:29:24	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	532	99¢	$526	0xd621f4…
07-27 04:52:18	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x70975a…
07-27 04:51:40	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	355	98¢	$348	0x52bcba…
07-27 04:51:09	will wti reach 100 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	481	94¢	$450	0x17a43a…
07-27 04:50:37	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	473	98¢	$464	0x853888…
07-27 04:49:34	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0xc44217…
07-27 04:47:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,762	96¢	$1,700	0x6e88eb…
07-26 16:29:15	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x2c7d2f…
07-26 16:19:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x20330c…
07-26 16:01:43	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x80d619…
07-26 16:00:58	will wti reach 105 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xe31a0b…
07-26 16:00:00	will wti dip to 90 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0d9011…