Rare-Drawbridge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

812

Trades

3,084

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Other

75% 52% -$1,239

Crypto

15% 76% -$82

Politics

10% 52% -$394

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$1.1K	916	916	+0	No	-$237	02-04 15:20
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	6	$695	500	500	+0	No	+$5	03-19 17:28
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$563	310	310	+0	No	+$55	02-03 14:50
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	10	$536	662	230	+432	No	+$35	01-29 16:36
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$423	230	230	+0	No	+$14	01-27 12:18
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	8	$381	212	212	+0	Yes	+$22	01-23 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	6	$369	200	200	+0	Yes	+$27	02-03 16:05
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	7	$368	300	300	+0	Yes	+$46	01-20 16:40
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$360	216	216	+0	Yes	+$50	01-29 05:00
white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 200plus	18	$349	327	326	+1	Yes	-$49	04-07 14:31
Immunefi FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$346	180	180	+0	No	+$12	01-23 15:32
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	5	$342	200	200	+0	No	+$50	02-02 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	2	$323	192	192	+0	Yes	+$23	06-06 12:06
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	12	$310	260	260	+0	No	-$7	03-13 15:51
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	5	$307	169	169	+0	Yes	+$25	01-29 12:58
googl close above 335 on february 6 2026	1	$294	300	0	+300	No	+$6	02-06 16:26
Elsa FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$288	150	150	+0	No	+$11	01-22 03:56
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	14	$274	180	180	+0	No	+$3	03-14 14:17
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	2	$268	200	200	+0	Yes	+$52	03-30 08:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	14	$261	340	340	+0	Yes	-$7	04-03 15:35
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	14	$258	190	190	+0	No	-$22	03-12 15:49
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 15 be greater than 2000000	2	$258	150	150	+0	Yes	-$33	01-16 03:44
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	4	$253	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	02-05 04:01
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	16	$246	500	497	+3	No	-$12	04-07 11:12
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	15	$241	480	450	+30	No	-$10	04-05 12:46
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$236	178	300	-122	Yes	-$32	01-20 15:04
will melania opening weekend box office be greater than 3m	4	$235	200	200	+0	Yes	-$81	01-25 07:06
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	9	$232	330	330	+0	No	-$51	03-31 15:07
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 100 119	9	$226	225	225	+0	Yes	+$20	04-09 03:50
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	6	$224	155	155	+0	Yes	-$31	02-20 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 08:23:54	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x1c7a73…
07-22 08:23:42	Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xfd5b32…
07-22 08:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	49¢	$19	0x8deb22…
07-22 08:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xa331ae…
07-22 07:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x5db254…
07-22 06:41:40	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x3e06c2…
07-22 06:29:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x060404…
07-22 06:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7e2526…
07-22 05:43:28	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xacb382…
07-22 04:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$8	0xe6438b…
07-22 04:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x59c820…
07-22 04:23:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1660ab…
07-22 04:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x219f1a…
07-22 03:41:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xf0737c…
07-22 03:41:24	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x4248d8…
07-22 03:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x0bba7e…
07-21 16:07:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xae1258…
07-21 16:07:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xe07f4a…
07-21 07:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x6dcd8c…
07-21 07:31:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x112b80…
07-21 07:07:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x4d133d…
07-21 07:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	27¢	$17	0x606b75…
07-21 03:28:31	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x2dc954…
07-21 03:27:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x902118…
07-21 03:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf5caa2…
07-21 03:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x1888f9…
07-21 03:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0xe797ee…
07-20 15:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9bd077…
07-20 12:59:19	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x10405a…
07-20 11:42:28	Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$12	0x99a38b…
07-20 11:37:24	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x34261e…
07-20 08:32:49	Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x4c5b81…
07-20 04:26:31	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x12d415…
07-20 04:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb8ff50…
07-20 04:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x99fb69…
07-20 04:21:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb4cf44…
07-17 07:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xf34a36…
07-17 03:18:43	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xc43cf9…
07-16 12:03:40	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xa81434…
07-16 03:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xff8352…
07-16 03:26:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x5e2c79…
07-16 03:25:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x43d8d4…
07-16 03:24:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x3a8634…
07-16 01:33:10	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xa8a53f…
07-16 01:16:26	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x86111e…
07-15 17:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x60a82c…
07-15 17:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x004400…
07-15 17:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xaa064b…
07-15 17:45:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd72390…
07-15 16:27:50	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x2717d7…
07-15 16:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xe19778…
07-15 10:43:49	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0x30c45a…
07-15 10:43:49	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x029b6d…
07-15 08:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x571772…
07-15 03:25:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x29874a…
07-15 03:25:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xfdd7ae…
07-15 03:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x0aade8…
07-15 03:22:41	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0x3ad316…
07-15 02:24:08	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xa985e6…
07-14 18:17:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xab6597…
07-14 18:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa8ac2b…
07-14 18:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x09d1cd…
07-14 18:16:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf7347c…
07-14 17:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x3bbd0e…
07-14 17:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x57e658…
07-14 17:18:17	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xac7848…
07-14 16:02:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x6937c1…
07-14 11:51:25	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x7651ed…
07-13 21:32:58	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3a68d5…
07-13 21:10:40	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x20e519…
07-13 18:47:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xf92765…
07-13 18:46:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x252878…
07-13 18:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x01b08d…
07-13 15:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x25cdaf…
07-13 14:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	47¢	$31	0xc5c6fc…
07-13 14:29:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc9ef0a…
07-12 15:09:35	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xb9790d…
07-12 07:53:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeb7a11…
07-12 07:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x599a4e…
07-12 07:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xfe90bd…
07-11 20:24:19	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x311542…
07-11 15:29:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x3197f4…
07-11 15:13:52	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0xa43ee6…
07-11 15:13:46	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xf05ca8…
07-11 07:08:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xdf83ad…
07-10 20:40:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x209e5e…
07-10 17:23:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x86b0e3…
07-10 15:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x2569a4…
07-10 15:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x19365f…
07-10 04:54:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xade2a1…
07-10 04:53:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0x50038d…
07-09 10:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x42a105…
07-09 10:57:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xe68238…
07-09 10:55:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xcc38db…
07-09 07:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x6d1e65…
07-09 06:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x86ea5b…
07-09 03:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x357b78…
07-08 19:55:25	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x82d913…
07-08 17:05:56	Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x3404f4…
07-08 16:25:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x3202b9…